Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 2, 2019

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $28.3400 (7.35%) ($26.1900 - $28.4897) on Thu. May. 2, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.68% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $28.3400(7.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    IPO(32%)    XBI(30%)    ARKG(28%)    ARKK(25%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -2.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-6%)    USO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    IYT(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.34% (StdDev 4.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.43(7.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.54(10.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.41(11.53%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   74.2%
Market Cap   $11.145b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 5.79% (three month std-dev: 4.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.59%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.11%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.13%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 5.03%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.52%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2019	19.69	25.41	25.54	26.43	26.31	26.88	28.34(7.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	140	20	58	1.08	71%	0.51	105.2	4.68%	0	2	58	-4.6
2	May_1_2019	19.59	25.06	25.04	25.91	26.04	26	26.4(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	0	6	23	1.12	69%	0.46	96.6	4.64%	0	0.9	48	0.4
3	Apr_30_2019	19.5	24.75	24.77	25.79	25.92	25.74	26.03(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-30	2	3	0.62	71%	0.36	77.5	4.75%	0	0.7	46	0.9
4	Apr_29_2019	19.43	24.49	24.72	25.52	25.81	26.08	25.14(-4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	110	7	-9	1.06	71%	0.36	70.9	4.75%	0	0.3	41	1
5	Apr_26_2019	19.36	24.27	24.66	25.22	25.41	26.09	26.26(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	210	24	-17	0.59	71%	0.36	64.9	4.7%	0	0.9	51	1.3

6	Apr_25_2019	19.29	23.95	24.58	24.47	24.64	25.53	25.74(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	270	21	-28	0.6	71%	0.36	52.6	4.73%	0	0.7	61	0.9
7	Apr_24_2019	19.22	23.64	24.65	24.02	23.91	24.72	25.76(4.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	220	20	-17	0.7	71%	0.37	43.3	4.73%	0	0.8	67	1.1
8	Apr_23_2019	19.15	23.35	24.72	23.62	23.49	23.75	24.7(4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	60	2	-4	0.62	69%	0.31	37.3	4.72%	0	0.5	70	1.6
9	Apr_22_2019	19.09	23.1	24.95	23.85	23.65	23.1	23.63(4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-190	-8	30	0.49	66%	0.26	34	4.76%	0	0.2	63	1.6
10	Apr_18_2019	19.04	22.89	25.19	24.05	24.18	23.24	22.51(-4.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-260	-24	57	0.74	65%	0.21	29.8	4.82%	0	-0.1	62	1.9

11	Apr_17_2019	19	22.75	25.31	24.69	24.74	24.2	23.5(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-150	-24	97	0.92	65%	0.26	33.8	4.78%	0	0.3	67	1.8
12	Apr_16_2019	18.95	22.58	25.15	25.35	25.36	25.13	23.78(-7.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-60	-15	137	0.96	65%	0.26	40.9	4.78%	0	0.4	70	2.1
13	Apr_15_2019	18.9	22.41	24.81	25.96	25.88	25.29	25.84(5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	34	-170	-11	170	0.64	68%	0.43	50	4.66%	0	1.2	73	2.1
14	Apr_12_2019	18.82	22.21	24.31	26.24	26.34	25.59	24.61(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	37	-190	-17	197	0.71	67%	0.37	58.9	4.61%	0	0.8	72	2.4
15	Apr_11_2019	18.75	22.06	23.92	26.51	26.82	26.47	25.73(-3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	62	-60	4	235	1.03	67%	0.43	65.5	4.6%	0	1.3	78	1.6

16	Apr_10_2019	18.67	21.79	23.33	25.98	26.5	27.1	26.8(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	220	27	238	0.64	67%	0.54	62.9	4.57%	0	1.9	80	1.3
17	Apr_9_2019	18.57	21.43	22.57	24.88	25.28	27.17	26.82(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	91	570	51	210	1.05	67%	0.54	53.7	4.56%	0	2.2	74	0.6
18	Apr_8_2019	18.47	21.03	21.85	23.46	23.65	25.9	27.23(4.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	89	690	65	162	2.67	67%	0.6	37.4	4.59%	0	2.9	73	1.2
19	Apr_5_2019	18.36	20.66	21.03	22.13	21.9	23.38	25.96(12.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	62	440	52	93	1.98	66%	0.49	23.8	4.59%	0	3.4	60	1.3
20	Apr_4_2019	18.27	20.37	20.29	21.01	20.86	21.39	23.08(8.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	30	160	30	29	1.71	65%	0.33	-0.2	4.37%	0	2.7	53	1.2

21	Apr_3_2019	18.21	20.23	19.89	20.33	20.37	20.42	21.33(8.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	20	13	-13	0.91	63%	0.22	-33.7	4.41%	0	1.3	52	1
22	Apr_2_2019	18.17	20.19	19.74	19.91	20.05	20.34	19.7(-4.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	120	0	-35	0.55	61%	0.11	-55	4.3%	0	-0.6	50	1.2
23	Apr_1_2019	18.15	20.27	19.79	19.95	19.91	20.32	20.59(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	140	13	-23	0.55	63%	0.17	-65.7	4.26%	0	0.4	59	1.2
24	Mar_29_2019	18.12	20.29	19.92	19.72	19.7	19.77	20.35(3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	20	11	-21	0.66	65%	0.17	-68.3	4.36%	0	0.1	50	1
25	Mar_28_2019	18.09	20.38	20.04	19.45	19.43	19.5	19.66(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	20	1	-30	0.45	65%		-59	4.38%	0	-0.7	44	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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