Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MPC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: MPC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Marathon Petroleum Corporation)
MPC latest price $55.0700 (-2.79%) ($54.4400 - $56.9800) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $55.0700(-2.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MPC advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MPC advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MPC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(73%)    XLE(64%)    XOP(62%)    IWD(55%)    IWN(54%)
Factors Impacting MPC price   MPC will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    BNDX(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV -1.5 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $55.07(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.15(3.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.1(9.92%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   41.6%
Market Cap   $35.796b

Marathon Petroleum Corp. is an independent petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters in the United States. The company operates through the following segments: Refining & Marketing; Retail; and Midstream. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast and Midwest regions of the United States, purchases ethanol and refined products for resale and distributes refined products through various means, including barges, terminals and trucks that the company owns or operates. The Retail sells transportation fuels and convenience products in the retail market across the United States through company-owned and operated convenience stores, primarily under the Speedway brand, and long-term fuel supply contracts with direct dealers who operate locations mainly under the ARCO brand. The Midstream transports, stores, distributes and markets crude oil and refined products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges; gathers, processes and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores and markets NGLs. Marathon Petroleum was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, OH.

$. MPC price fluctuates within 7.78% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.79%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.06%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.99%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -3.22%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.47%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.67%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	40.68	50.1	53.15	55.07	55.46	56.12	55.07(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	100	28	168	6.78	73%	0.67	68.5	2.51%	-1.5	1.3	80	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	40.41	49.54	52.63	54.3	54.59	55.78	56.65(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	80	170	49	172	6.58	77%	0.7	60.1	2.5%	1.2	1.8	89	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	40.13	48.95	51.84	53.35	53.34	54.8	55.77(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	81	190	52	168	7.61	80%	0.7	56.3	2.51%	1.1	1.9	90	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	39.85	48.44	51.18	52.48	52.42	53.39	54.85(3.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	79	130	50	166	8.77	80%	0.71	58.5	2.67%	1.3	2	91	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	39.57	47.96	50.45	51.61	51.63	51.88	53(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	40	24	157	7.23	79%	0.66	57.1	2.67%	1.9	1.7	91	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	39.31	47.56	49.88	50.96	51.02	51.45	51.22(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	60	11	152	4.85	70%	0.59	57.1	2.64%	-0	1.3	76	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	39.08	47.29	49.5	50.68	50.56	51.38	51.89(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	110	29	167	5.51	70%	0.59	58.5	2.73%	1.3	1.8	81	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	38.85	46.98	48.83	50.07	50.01	50.59	51.46(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	60	80	28	155	10.66	74%	0.86	62.5	2.73%	1.5	1.9	71	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	38.52	46.6	48.05	49.68	49.4	49.74	50.46(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	30	15	118	3.91	71%	0.6	64.4	3.04%	1.5	1.8	63	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	38.29	46.33	47.34	49.11	49.15	49.44	49.76(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	40	16	94	3.73	71%	0.55	66.1	3.18%	0.7	1.7	64	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	38.08	46.05	46.83	48.63	48.71	49.06	49.81(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	60	14	81	4.76	71%	0.53	67.4	3.19%	1.3	2	65	1
12	Feb_9_2021	37.88	45.82	46.23	48.13	48.25	48.86	48.87(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	100	23	66	5.07	75%	0.48	78.2	3.2%	0.3	1.8	58	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	37.7	45.55	45.84	47.38	47.66	48.35	49.48(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	120	32	45	9.34	75%	0.45	78.7	3.7%	1.5	2.5	61	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	37.53	45.22	45.46	46.18	46.68	47.64	47.65(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	180	29	27	3.83	74%	0.46	71.9	3.69%	0.9	1.8	64	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	37.36	45.04	45.24	45.28	45.59	46.97	47.33(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	25	230	30	10	5.01	74%	0.4	68.4	3.69%	0.6	1.8	56	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	37.21	44.82	45.02	44.77	44.71	45.72	47.3(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	26	150	33	5	6.49	74%	0.46	67.5	3.69%	1.3	2.1	60	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	37.04	44.56	44.87	44.77	44.24	44.2	45.15(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	0	9	-17	7.11	75%	0.35	57.7	3.66%	0.9	0.5	49	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	36.91	44.35	44.95	44.09	44.02	43.7	43.45(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-60	-20	-20	5.21	74%	0.35	47.2	3.7%	-0.4	-0.6	52	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	36.78	44.27	45.03	44.65	44.67	44.27	43.16(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-60	-10	-3	6.15	75%	0.35	57.9	3.71%	-1.6	-0.8	53	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	36.65	44.21	45.29	45.17	45.05	44.35	44.77(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-120	-12	11	6.25	75%	0.36	68.9	3.7%	-0	0.4	53	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	36.52	44.02	45.26	45.29	45.14	45.08	43.92(-2.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-20	-18	16	8.83	75%	0.33	70.6	3.72%	-1.7	-0.1	56	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	36.4	43.88	45.44	45.74	45.54	45.75	45.16(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	20	5	47	4.26	72%	0.28	73.5	3.7%	-0.7	0.7	63	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	36.3	43.69	45.3	45.93	45.59	45.19	46.23(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-80	4	61	7.15	72%	0.36	74.9	3.74%	1.9	1.3	71	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	36.17	43.44	45	45.48	45.53	45.32	45.75(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-30	-7	55	3.64	72%	0.33	69.3	3.74%	0	1.2	66	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	36.05	43.14	44.84	45.43	45.38	45.98	45.39(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	90	7	70	5.2	72%		63.4	3.75%	-1	1.2	64	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.