Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 3, 2021

Trading Signals: MP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 22, 2020 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MP Materials Corp)
MP latest price $45.8200 (-7.32%) ($44.9000 - $51.0100) on Wed. Mar. 3, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.03% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $45.8200(-7.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MP advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MP advances 9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(62%)    IWO(62%)    IWC(61%)    REMX(60%)    IDRV(59%)
Factors Impacting MP price   MP will decline at least -3.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.515% (StdDev 7.03%)
Hourly BBV -1.2 ()
Intraday Trend -9.7%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $45.79(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.99(4.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.21(13.95%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   107.2%
Market Cap   $7.423b

$. MP price fluctuates within 12.43% (three month std-dev: 7.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 2.97%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.43%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 4.58%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -6.29%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 6.44%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.11%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2021	26.82	40.21	43.99	45.79	47.04	48.89	45.82(-7.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	360	8	81	5.58	74%	1.25	85.7	7.03%	-1.2	1.1	61	0.3
2	Mar_2_2021	26.49	39.5	43.54	45.33	46.72	48.33	49.44(7.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	330	47	107	8.86	76%	1.42	81.2	6.96%	1.2	1.9	68	1
3	Mar_1_2021	26.12	38.56	42.63	43.05	44.56	45.19	46.2(9.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	200	18	87	5.26	74%	1.28	69.4	6.93%	0.5	1.6	70	1
4	Feb_26_2021	25.79	37.71	41.56	41.99	42.09	45.12	42.03(-7.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	510	5	79	5.48	73%	1.18	59	6.8%	-0.9	0.9	68	0.5
5	Feb_25_2021	25.49	37.13	41.05	42.59	41.99	43.92	45.45(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	60	280	42	113	10.55	75%	1.31	58.7	6.76%	0.9	1.7	68	0.2

6	Feb_24_2021	25.16	36.34	40.3	41.97	41.67	39.05	43.53(14.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-460	-4	101	7.78	77%	1.25	52.7	6.75%	1.1	1.5	68	1.4
7	Feb_23_2021	24.85	35.72	39.51	41.53	41.7	40.06	38.02(-7.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-260	-39	93	6.67	77%	1.02	48.5	6.88%	-1	0.5	66	1.3
8	Feb_22_2021	24.6	35.45	39.05	42.07	42.68	44.28	40.92(-9.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	47	310	18	133	4.77	79%	1.15	53.7	6.93%	-1.2	1.2	72	1.1
9	Feb_19_2021	24.32	35.02	38.22	40.94	41.86	43.35	45.05(6.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	320	40	139	5.78	84%	1.33	47.7	6.81%	1	2.3	82	1.5
10	Feb_18_2021	24	34.41	37.05	39.24	39.49	41.08	42.35(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	300	16	118	5.8	84%	1.27	41.8	6.79%	1.4	2.1	76	1.3

11	Feb_17_2021	23.7	33.97	36.12	38.4	38.54	40.37	41.29(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	55	340	31	125	6.63	84%	1.24	40.5	6.8%	1	2.3	76	1.4
12	Feb_16_2021	23.41	33.63	35.12	37.26	37.67	37.89	40.75(15.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	70	29	110	7.42	84%	1.61	45.6	6.8%	1.6	2.5	68	1.2
13	Feb_12_2021	23.04	33.15	34.1	35.62	36.24	36.71	35.26(-3.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	140	4	75	2.47	83%	0.96	40.3	6.52%	-1.7	0.9	57	1.5
14	Feb_11_2021	22.82	33.03	33.53	35.02	35.35	37.44	36.54(-4.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	440	23	66	4.66	83%	1.06	41.2	6.49%	0.1	1.6	60	1.3
15	Feb_10_2021	22.58	32.91	32.89	34.47	34.27	35.78	38.17(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	290	33	53	9.16	84%	1.07	47.7	6.47%	1.2	2.5	59	1

16	Feb_9_2021	22.34	32.7	32.03	33.52	33.33	33.26	35.56(9.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-30	13	17	7.78	83%	0.99	55.6	6.49%	2.8	1.6	51	1.1
17	Feb_8_2021	22.12	32.4	31.59	32.69	32.92	32.77	32.56(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10	-1	-12	4.2	83%	0.82	43.2	6.45%	-0.3	0.1	38	1.1
18	Feb_5_2021	21.94	32.26	31.58	32.36	32.75	33.4	32.25(-4.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	6	180	12	-11	3.52	83%	0.83	29.7	6.46%	-1	-0	53	1.1
19	Feb_4_2021	21.76	32.14	31.6	31.75	32.08	33.06	33.8(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	250	19	-19	2.62	83%	0.88	13.1	6.41%	1.3	0.8	52	1.1
20	Feb_3_2021	21.57	31.93	31.56	31.04	31.08	32.1	33.42(6.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	230	17	-34	3.06	83%	0.89	0.8	6.41%	1.8	0.7	46	0.7

21	Feb_2_2021	21.38	31.73	31.61	30.34	30.57	31.1	31.41(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	140	9	-49	3.05	83%	0.8	-18.9	6.39%	1	-0.2	41	-0.1
22	Feb_1_2021	21.21	31.63	31.99	30.38	30.2	30.07	30.93(6.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-50	-5	-40	3.19	83%	0.86	-30.6	6.39%	1.4	-0.3	57	-1.3
23	Jan_29_2021	21.03	31.7	32.1	30.71	30.63	30.04	29.17(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-140	-12	-32	3.1	83%	0.72	-33.7	6.39%	-1.5	-1.2	54	-2.7
24	Jan_28_2021	20.88	31.89	32.53	31.41	31.21	30.33	30.28(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-220	-17	-15	1.76	80%	0.77	-39.4	6.36%	-0.6	-0.8	56	-2.2
25	Jan_27_2021	20.72	31.92	32.98	32.13	31.83	31.22	29.9(-5.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-160	-21	8	4.68	79%		-41.6	6.48%	-1.6	-1	56	-3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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