Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: LLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Eli Lilly and Company)
LLY latest price $212.3500 (3.01%) ($208.0880 - $212.5300) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $212.3500(3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   LLY advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   LLY advances 10.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support LLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(44%)    SPLV(39%)    DIA(34%)    IBB(34%)    SPY(33%)
Factors Impacting LLY price   LLY will decline at least -1.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    VXX(-5%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TBT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.5% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $204.12(4.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $195.45(8.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $181.55(16.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   62.8%
Market Cap   $203.209b

Eli Lilly & Co. engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. It operates through the following segments: Human Pharmaceutical Products and Animal Health Products. The Human Pharmaceutical products segment includes the discovery, development, manufacturing, marketing and sales of human pharmaceutical products worldwide in the following therapeutic areas: neuroscience, endocrinology, oncology, cardiovascular and other. The Animal health Products segment operating through the Elanco Animal Health division, develops, manufactures, and markets products for both food and companion animals. The Animal health products include Rumensin, Tylan, Posilac, Paylean and other products for livestock and poultry, as well as Trifexis, Comfortis, and other products for companion animals. The company was founded by Eli Lilly on May 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, IN.

$. LLY price fluctuates within 8.85% (three month std-dev: 3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.81%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.92%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.44%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -2.75%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 7.12%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.68%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2021	154.97	181.55	195.45	204.12	204.11	207.06	212.35(3.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	153	100	115	265	5.56	81%	0.41	61.6	3%	1.5	1.9	85	0.8
2	Jan_22_2021	154.33	179.1	190.92	199.8	200.79	203.01	206.14(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	118	90	81	229	6.11	80%	0.39	56.8	2.99%	1.5	1.8	79	1.5
3	Jan_21_2021	153.73	177.03	186.94	195.91	197.09	201.16	202.35(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	125	160	95	215	8.69	78%	0.36	53.6	2.99%	1.6	1.9	78	1.8
4	Jan_20_2021	153.18	175.24	183.16	192.54	193.14	198.57	201.26(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	168	210	151	218	5.33	78%	0.37	55.6	3%	1	2.1	78	1.7
5	Jan_19_2021	152.62	173.61	179.6	188.05	188.89	193.03	198.48(4.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	150	170	138	187	7.06	76%	0.37	57.1	3%	1.6	2.3	77	1.3

6	Jan_15_2021	152.05	172.17	176.2	185.54	184.84	187.71	190.77(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	96	100	78	151	6.56	74%	0.28	69.5	2.96%	1.5	2.2	74	0.7
7	Jan_14_2021	151.62	171.12	173.89	180.67	183.83	184.75	186.69(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	120	90	114	138	4.38	74%	0.26	71.7	2.96%	0.8	2.1	73	1.2
8	Jan_13_2021	151.23	170.09	171.82	176.5	178.74	181.97	185.5(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	57	160	47	85	7.27	71%	0.25	78	2.97%	0.6	2.4	70	1.4
9	Jan_12_2021	150.86	168.68	169.81	172.26	174.15	182.91	178.8(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	159	390	176	107	7.15	68%	0.2	81.8	2.96%	0.1	2	62	1.1
10	Jan_11_2021	150.56	167.73	168.5	169.76	170.04	175.52	185.94(11.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	208	230	240	111	11.3	72%	0.25	78.5	2.93%	1.3	3.5	66	0.2

11	Jan_8_2021	150.18	166.41	166.37	165.68	165.12	165.38	166.41(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	0	12	-18	3.44	69%	0.1	108.7	2.55%	0.6	0	32	1.6
12	Jan_7_2021	150.03	166.03	166.29	166.16	165.31	164.56	165.83(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-50	-16	-34	2.99	71%	0.09	123.4	2.58%	1.2	-0.1	33	1.5
13	Jan_6_2021	149.89	165.29	166.38	166.4	166.08	164.87	164.32(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-60	-33	-40	3.55	69%	0.08	117.2	2.61%	-0.2	-0.2	45	-0.4
14	Jan_5_2021	149.77	164.55	166.83	166.85	166.83	166.06	166.32(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-30	-28	-22	2.29	69%	0.1	92	2.61%	0.5	0.3	67	-0.5
15	Jan_4_2021	149.62	163.72	167.29	166.89	167.18	167.3	165.5(-1.98%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-5	10	-7	1	3.16	69%	0.1	76.9	2.61%	-1	0.3	62	-1.6

16	Dec_31_2020	149.47	162.74	167.98	167.12	167.14	167.61	168.84(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	17	27	1.64	66%	0.11	62.7	2.6%	2.5	0.7	65	1.2
17	Dec_30_2020	149.31	161.61	168.25	166.45	166.84	167.05	167.01(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	20	10	37	1.37	66%	0.11	56.9	2.62%	0.6	0.6	67	1.3
18	Dec_29_2020	149.14	160.59	168.32	166.39	166.65	166.67	166.58(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	10	-2	56	1.71	66%	0.09	55.6	2.62%	0.4	0.6	76	0.2
19	Dec_28_2020	149	159.58	167.58	166.83	166.76	166.67	166.5(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10	-9	72	1.48	65%	0.07	55.5	2.63%	0.4	0.7	77	1.2
20	Dec_24_2020	148.9	158.64	167.02	167.81	167.13	166.63	166.66(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-30	-24	92	0.63	65%	0.08	60.1	2.62%	-2.4	0.8	75	1.3

21	Dec_23_2020	148.78	157.57	166.51	169	168.34	166.89	165.48(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-70	-37	123	1.69	65%	0.07	65.5	2.62%	-1.7	0.8	77	0.5
22	Dec_22_2020	148.67	156.55	165.86	170.32	169.77	167.64	166.72(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-100	-51	151	2.4	65%	0.09	71	2.62%	-1.1	1	77	-0.7
23	Dec_21_2020	148.53	155.39	164.26	170.46	170.6	169.78	168.78(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	-30	-17	178	3.37	63%	0.13	73.2	2.61%	-1	1.3	79	-1.6
24	Dec_18_2020	148.34	154.19	162.23	168.28	169.38	171.9	171.4(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	120	53	195	7.35	63%	0.12	71.5	2.62%	-0.7	1.7	83	1.2
25	Dec_17_2020	148.16	152.74	159.95	166.01	166.44	171.42	172.63(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	153	220	133	214	3.47	63%		71.1	2.62%	0.9	2.1	80	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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