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     Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: KWEB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF)

KWEB latest price $84.8200 (0.06%) ($80.3500 - $85.5950) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Relative Oversold
Average Daily Price Swing  $5.78 (6.06% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.44% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -1.5% (StdDev 2.44%)
Daily Moving Force  -3%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  -3.02%
Trend   -1.04%
Trend Strength  -4.9%
Trend Clarity  -0.25(-1.5/5.78/95.32)
RSI   22
Momentum  2.5
Latest Price  $84.8200(0.06%)
Forecasted Low Price  80.49(-5.1%)
Forecasted High Price  85.33(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-5.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  11.2% ((94.28))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  8.1%
Hourly Trend   -4% [$85.01(-3.38), $88.28(-2.2)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  KWEB declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  KWEB declines -6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support KWEB decline at-0.6% a week (92% probability)
  MCHI(95%)    EEM(87%)    FXI(87%)    VWO(87%)    IPO(85%)  
Factors Impacting KWEB price  KWEB will decline at least -0.7% in a week (41% probabilities).
  UUP(-55%)    VXX(-42%)    VIXM(-41%)    TBT(-24%)    XLE(-16%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for faster decline
 
Valuation to SPY   -2
 
Relative Volatility   1.9 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.8% (StdDev 2.44%)
Hourly BBV   -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.8%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $85.55(0.86%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $78.4(-7.57%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $95.32
5 Day Moving Average  $88.73(-4.41%)
10 Day Moving Average  $90.68(-6.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $95.32(-11.02%)
To recent high  -18.1%
To recent low  17.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. KWEB price fluctuates within 6.06% (three month std-dev: 2.44%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. KWEB price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210405

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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1Mar_5_202195.32 (-0.2%)90.68 (-1.4%)88.73 (-1.1%) 88.28 85.01(0%)84.82(0.06%)80.35-85.6-1.6(-1.8)-0.5 -3%-1.5%0%-3.02%-1.04%-4.9%222.5 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-4.5%)2-2-0.3Relative Oversold 84.59(-0.27%)78.65-89.453.22   -18.1%-17.5% 
2Mar_4_202195.87 (-0.2%)92.35 (-1.2%)89.73 (-1.2%) 90.48 88.39(0%)84.77(-4.89%)83.39-87.99-1.5(-2.1)-1.6 -2.3%-1.4%0%-2.58%-0.94%-3.7%212.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.3%)2-20.3Growing Downtrend 83.03(-2.05%)81.3-86.53.53   -18.1%-17.4% 
3Mar_3_202196.4 (0%)93.95 (-1.2%)90.86 (-0.8%) 91.35 91.55(0%)89.13(-2.56%)88.8-92.82-1.2(-1.6)-2.1 -0.8%-1.1%0%-0.76%-0.82%-2.5%322 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(-0.6%)2-1.50.1Downtrend 87.55(-1.77%)86.37-90.31.83   -13.9%-23.4% 
4Mar_2_202196.63 (0%)95.36 (-1%)91.63 (-1%) 91.64 92.57(0%)91.47(-2.14%)91.44-93.42-1.1(-1.2)-0.4 0.5%-0.9%0%1.09%-0.68%-1.3%411.9 Rebound  Range(0.7%)2-1.30.5Correction 85.72(-6.29%)84.85-89.191.39   -11.7%-26.7% 
5Mar_1_202196.66 (0%)96.54 (-0.8%)92.53 (-0.6%) 91.72 91.15(0%)93.47(4.1%)91.87-93.55-0.9(-0.7)0.9 %-0.5%0%0.1%-0.5%-0.1%492 Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.5%)2-10.3Correction 88.69(-5.11%)87.93-91.761.62   -9.7%-29.4% 
 
6Feb_26_202196.66 (0%)97.4 (-0.6%)93.06 (-2.5%) 92.07 90.71(0%)89.79(-0.71%)87.73-90.68-0.8(-1.4)-1 -2%-0.9%0%-1.32%-0.4%1%422.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.5%)3-1.10.4Correction 84.73(-5.63%)83.92-87.983.18   -13.3%-24.3% 
7Feb_25_202196.66 (0.2%)98.7 (-0.2%)95.46 (-2.1%) 94.02 92.3(0%)90.43(-2.75%)90.27-93.86-0.3(-1.2)-2.3 -1.8%-0.7%0%-0.83%-0.08%2.4%462.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.1%)4-1.20.5Correction 87.3(-3.46%)86.69-89.732.9   -12.7%-25.2% 
8Feb_24_202196.4 (0.4%)99.75 (0.2%)97.51 (-2.1%) 96.52 93.44(0%)92.99(-3.11%)90.96-93.380.1(-0.7)-0.8 -2.2%-0.4%0%-2.04%0.2%3.5%532.3 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-1%)5-1.11.1Downtrend Reversal 91.91(-1.16%)91.52-93.483.05   -10.2%-28.8% 
9Feb_23_202196.36 (0.6%)100.33 (0.4%)99.62 (-1.5%) 98.38 95.73(0%)95.97(-0.14%)90.58-96.410.6(-0.1)-0.6 -3.1%0%0%-2.68%0.5%4.1%632.4 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-3%)6-0.11.5Uptrend Consolidation 96.32(0.36%)95.97-97.343.06   -7.3%-32.9% 
10Feb_22_202196.23 (0.8%)100.38 (0.8%)101.14 (-1.2%) 100.79 99.6(0%)96.1(-5.6%)96.03-98.811(-0)-2.1 -1.4%0%0%-0.64%0.76%4.3%672.4 Downtrend Reversal  Higher(1.4%)701.7Uptrend Consolidation 96.43(0.34%)95.84-98.172.4   -7.2%-33.1% 
 
11Feb_19_202195.97 (1%)100.44 (1%)102.36 (-0.1%) 102.42 101.02(0%)101.8(1.1%)101.38-102.941.4(1.1)0.2 -0.5%0.7%0%-0.45%1.04%4.7%882.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)81.31.9Uptrend 105.21(3.35%)100.67-107.162   -1.7%-41% 
12Feb_18_202195.34 (1%)99.75 (1.2%)102.45 (0.2%) 102.41 101.97(0%)100.69(-2.77%)98.54-100.861.6(1)-0.7 -1%0.6%0%-1.12%1.2%4.6%822.6 Confirmed Correction  Range(1%)91.11.9After Top 104.46(3.74%)97.75-109.942.55   -2.8%-39.4% 
13Feb_17_202194.75 (1.2%)99.1 (1.4%)102.3 (1.2%) 102.91 103.81(0%)103.56(0.03%)102.44-104.941.8(1.7)1.2 1%1.1%0%0.23%1.32%4.6%872.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.1%)101.82.1Uptrend 108.35(4.63%)101.97-111.092.11   0%-43.4% 
14Feb_16_202193.82 (1.2%)98.01 (1.4%)101.14 (1.6%) 101.81 102.86(0%)103.53(1.3%)102.81-104.561.8(1.8)1.7 1.2%1.3%0%0.41%1.26%4.5%752.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.5%)101.92Growing Uptrend 108.98(5.26%)101.79-110.771.72   0%-43.4% 
15Feb_12_202192.69 (1%)96.73 (1.2%)99.53 (1.3%) 100.16 102.01(0%)102.2(-0.09%)100.92-103.151.7(1.8)0.4 1.3%1.4%0%0.82%1.1%4.4%682.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.7%)91.62.1Overbought 100.77(-1.4%)95.63-108.471.23   -0.1%-41.5% 
 
16Feb_11_202191.65 (1%)95.23 (1%)98.23 (1.6%) 98.6 100.77(0%)102.29(2.35%)101.19-102.941.6(2)1.1 2.1%1.4%0%1.52%0.94%3.9%722.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(3.5%)81.92.2Growing Uptrend 106.5(4.12%)100.32-108.051.22   0%-41.7% 
17Feb_10_202190.56 (1%)93.79 (0.8%)96.67 (1.3%) 96.88 98.32(0%)99.94(2.23%)97.86-100.761.5(1.8)1.2 1.6%1.2%0%1.43%0.8%3.6%712.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.8%)71.72.2Growing Uptrend 103.33(3.39%)98.19-104.621.63   0%-38.5% 
18Feb_9_202189.56 (1%)92.66 (0.6%)95.45 (1.1%) 95.66 96.44(0%)97.76(2.39%)96.31-98.061.4(1.6)1.8 1%0.8%0%0.7%0.68%3.5%692.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.8%)61.42Uptrend 100.11(2.4%)96.18-101.791.22   0%-35.4% 
19Feb_8_202188.65 (1%)91.97 (0.6%)94.4 (1%) 94.84 95.44(0%)95.48(-0.21%)95.35-96.141.4(1.3)-0.3 0.8%0.5%0%0.5%0.7%3.7%732.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)61.11.8After Top 96.8(1.38%)91.64-101.020.95   -0.2%-32.3% 
20Feb_5_202188 (1%)91.67 (0.8%)93.46 (1.9%) 93.96 94.88(0%)95.68(1.24%)93.91-95.831.4(1.5)2.1 1.1%0.7%0%0.54%0.8%4.2%792.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.8%)61.41.7Uptrend 98.4(2.84%)94.28-100.161.18   0%-32.6% 
 
21Feb_4_202187.14 (0.8%)91.1 (0.8%)91.72 (1.4%) 92.71 94.24(0%)94.51(0.74%)94.16-94.951.2(1.4)1.4 1.5%0.7%0%1.01%0.76%4.5%762.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.2%)61.41.5Uptrend 97.04(2.68%)93.1-98.731.77   0%-30.9% 
22Feb_3_202186.31 (0.8%)90.53 (0.8%)90.44 (1.1%) 90.85 93.03(0%)93.82(1.41%)93.4-94.371.1(1.4)1.1 1.7%0.6%0%1.88%0.78%4.9%762.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.3%)61.51.7Uptrend 96.17(2.51%)92.4-97.82.03   0%-30.5% 
23Feb_2_202185.61 (0.8%)90.03 (0.8%)89.46 (0.3%) 89.4 91.18(0%)92.52(1.94%)91.29-92.691(1.4)1.5 1.7%0.8%0%1.82%0.84%5.2%762.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.5%)61.41.4Uptrend 94.83(2.5%)91.29-96.351.82   -0.6%-28.6% 
24Feb_1_202184.81 (0.8%)89.29 (1%)89.23 (-0.5%) 88.68 88.68(0%)90.76(4.35%)89.32-90.871(1.2)2.1 0.4%1%0%0.43%0.94%5.3%752.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)61.41.1Uptrend 93.31(2.81%)89.66-94.871.29   -2.5%-26.2% 
25Jan_29_202184.12 (1%)88.36 (1%)89.69 (-0.7%) 89.07 87.62(0%)86.98(-1.28%)86.2-88.281.2(0.6)-1.2 -1.3%0.5%0%-0.89%0.98%5%612.5 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.2%)71.20.2Uptrend 89.75(3.18%)86.46-91.151.49   -6.5%-21.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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