Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JPM: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 15, 2021

Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(JPMorgan Chase )
JPM latest price $139.4300 (-1.23%) ($137.0100 - $141.6500) on Fri. Jan. 15, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   After Top
Average Daily Price Swing   $7.11 (5.47% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.8% (StdDev 2.45%)
Daily Moving Force   0.1%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   1.04%
Latest Price   $139.4300(-1.23%)
Forecasted Low Price   138.59(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price   142.36(2.1%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(1.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   2% (136.72)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   3.9%
Hourly Trend -0.2% [$139.97(-0.29), $139.86(0.66)]
Complacency   10
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   JPM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JPM advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JPM advance at 0.3% a week (84% probability)
XLF(95%)    IVE(81%)    IWD(81%)    IWN(81%)    JETS(81%)
Factors Impacting JPM price   JPM will decline at least -0.4% in a week (52% probabilities).
BNDX(-56%)    TLT(-55%)    BND(-52%)    SHY(-51%)    VIXM(-45%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.6

Relative Volatility 1.9 (options are extremely expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.7% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0.1 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Next Hour Price   $138.73(-0.5%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Support Level   $129.97
5 Day Moving Average   $139.84(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $135.74(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $129.97(7.28%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   44.4%
Market Cap   $424.927b

Option Sentiment

Earning Release Date   Fri. Jan. 15, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price   $118.35 ($80.00 - $144.00)
  24 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 18, 2020)
% to Average Target Price   -15.12%
% to Low Target Price   -42.62%
% to High Target Price   3.28%

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company, which provides financial and investment banking services. It offers a range of investment banking products and services in all capital markets, including advising on corporate strategy and structure; capital raising in equity and debt markets; sophisticated risk management; market making in cash securities and derivative instruments; and prime brokerage and research. It operates its business through the following segments: Consumer and Community Banking; Corporate and Investment Bank; Commercial Banking; and Asset and Wealth Management. The Consumer and Community Banking segment serves consumers and businesses through personal service at bank branches and through automated teller machine, online, mobile, and telephone banking. The Corporate and Investment Bank segment offers a suite of investment banking, market-making, prime brokerage, and treasury and securities products and services to a global client base of corporations, investors, financial institutions, government and municipal entities. The Commercial Banking segment delivers services to U.S. and its multinational clients, including corporations, municipalities, financial institutions, and non profit entities. It also provides financing to real estate investors and owners as well as financial solutions, including lending, treasury services, investment banking, and asset management. The Asset and Wealth Management segment provides asset and wealth management services. It offers investment management across all major asset services, including equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. JPM price fluctuates within 5.47% (three month std-dev: 2.45% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. JPM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jan_15_2021	129.97 (0.8%)	135.74 (1%)	139.84 (0.5%)	139.86	139.97(0%)	139.43(-1.23%)	137.01-141.65	1.2(1.3)	0.1	0.1%	0.8%	0%	1.04%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	10	85	2.2	1.6	2.5	After Top	142.46(2.17%)	134.28-149.16	16.87	-1.2%-44.4%
2	Jan_14_2021	129.02 (0.7%)	134.53 (1%)	139.16 (0.8%)	139.2	140.26(0%)	141.17(0.58%)	140-142.75	1.5(1.7)	2.1	0.6%	1.1%	0%	1.04%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	10	88	2.2	1.9	2.5	Uptrend	145.09(2.78%)	138.84-147.78	18.31	0%-46.2%
3	Jan_13_2021	127.95 (0.7%)	132.96 (1.1%)	138.1 (1.3%)	137.83	139.75(0%)	140.35(0.09%)	138.1-140.79	1.6(1.8)	2	1%	1.1%	0%	1.02%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.1%)	10	89	2.1	1.9	1.9	Growing Uptrend	144.93(3.26%)	138.14-146.62	14.73	0%-45.4%
4	Jan_12_2021	126.82 (0.7%)	131.4 (1%)	136.34 (2.2%)	137.01	138.14(0%)	140.22(1.57%)	138.83-141.66	1.9(2.1)	2.3	1.8%	1.1%	0%	0.92%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.9%)	10	81	2	2.2	2	Growing Uptrend	144.16(2.81%)	137.8-145.75	17.98	0%-45.2%
5	Jan_11_2021	125.74 (0.6%)	129.86 (1%)	133.43 (1.9%)	134.64	135.91(0%)	138.05(1.49%)	134.11-138.2	1.9(2.2)	6.2	1%	1%	0%	0.78%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2%)	10	84	1.8	2.2	1.6	Overbought	134.56(-2.53%)	129.33-142.41	15.64	0%-43%

6	Jan_8_2021	124.81 (0.5%)	128.46 (0.9%)	130.99 (1.4%)	131.87	135.88(0%)	136.02(0.11%)	134.12-136.35	2(2.2)	2.4	1.7%	0.8%	0%	0.66%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.5%)	9	81	1.6	2.1	1	Overbought	132.29(-2.74%)	127.81-139.03	12.01	0%-40.9%
7	Jan_7_2021	124.01 (0.5%)	127.3 (1%)	129.2 (1.7%)	129.6	133.36(0%)	135.87(3.28%)	134.92-138.19	2.4(2.7)	1.5	3%	1%	-2.6%	0.58%	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-4%)	10	77	1.4	2.7	0.6	Approaching Top	134.78(-0.8%)	129.08-139.44	21.8	0%-40.7%
8	Jan_6_2021	123.25 (0.5%)	125.83 (1%)	127.1 (1%)	127.08	127.86(0%)	131.55(4.7%)	127.88-132.77	2.3(2.5)	1.8	1.3%	0.6%	-1.5%	0.44%	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-2.4%)	10	74	1.1	2.6	-0.8	Overbought	128.27(-2.49%)	125.13-132.98	24.61	0%-36.3%
9	Jan_5_2021	122.73 (0.5%)	124.98 (1.1%)	125.79 (0.1%)	125.79	125.84(0%)	125.65(-0.17%)	123.77-126.3	0.9(1.1)	0.6	-0.2%	0.4%	0%	0.42%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	10	71	0.9	1	-0.3	Uptrend	126.18(0.42%)	125.17-126.62	13.71	-1.1%-30.2%
10	Jan_4_2021	122.55 (0.5%)	124.37 (1.2%)	125.73 (0.2%)	125.89	126.29(0%)	125.87(-0.94%)	124.78-127.86	1.1(1.3)	0.6	0.3%	0.4%	0%	0.42%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.2%)	9	66	0.9	1.6	-0.7	Uptrend	126.35(0.38%)	125.27-126.81	16.73	-0.9%-30.4%

11	Dec_31_2020	122.3 (0.5%)	123.78 (1.2%)	125.46 (0.3%)	125.67	125.74(0%)	127.07(1.36%)	124.82-127.33	1.8(2)	3.7	0.2%	0.4%	0%	0.4%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.6%)	9	66	0.8	1.7	1.1	Uptrend	127.43(0.28%)	126.19-127.95	8.45	0%-31.6%
12	Dec_30_2020	122.02 (0.5%)	123.12 (1.3%)	125.06 (0.6%)	125.33	125.5(0%)	125.36(0.28%)	124.9-125.85	1.3(1.6)	-1.1	0.2%	0.4%	0%	0.36%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.6%)	9	61	0.7	1.3	0.9	Growing Uptrend	125.77(0.33%)	124.81-126.02	7.26	0%-30.2%
13	Dec_29_2020	121.73 (0.5%)	122.62 (1.1%)	124.32 (0.2%)	125.01	125.61(0%)	125.01(-0.26%)	124.89-126.28	1.3(1.6)	0.4	0.4%	0.5%	0%	0.3%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1%)	9	57	0.7	1.3	1.2	Growing Uptrend	125.32(0.25%)	124.48-125.54	8.38	-0.3%-31.1%
14	Dec_28_2020	121.38 (0.5%)	121.96 (0.8%)	124.03 (1%)	124.26	125.15(0%)	125.34(0.66%)	124.79-126.65	1.7(1.9)	0.8	0.7%	0.4%	0%	0.26%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	8	58	0.7	1.4	0.8	Growing Uptrend	125.63(0.23%)	124.65-125.87	8.02	0%-31.5%
15	Dec_24_2020	121.15 (0.6%)	121.36 (0.4%)	122.78 (0.8%)	123.6	124.42(0%)	124.52(-0.44%)	123.57-125.55	1.6(1.8)	2	0.9%	0.3%	0%	0.14%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	7	54	0.6	1.4	1	Growing Uptrend	124.63(0.09%)	123.95-124.8	4.16	-0.4%-34.4%

16	Dec_23_2020	121 (0.6%)	120.9 (0.1%)	121.81 (0.7%)	122.2	123.36(0%)	125.07(2.79%)	122.35-126.52	2.2(2.4)	2.5	0.6%	0.3%	-0.5%	0.08%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	6	59	0.6	2.1	1	Uptrend	124.97(-0.08%)	124.33-125.24	14.9	0%-35%
17	Dec_22_2020	120.88 (0.8%)	120.9 (-0.3%)	120.93 (0.2%)	121.28	122.77(0%)	121.67(-1.52%)	121.61-123.52	0.5(0.5)	0.5	0.9%	0%	0%	0.02%	Uptrend Dip	Higher(1.7%)	5	48	0.5	0.4	1.2	Correction	121.37(-0.25%)	121.07-121.75	11.16	-1.5%-31.3%
18	Dec_21_2020	120.7 (0.7%)	120.45 (-0.2%)	120.66 (0.9%)	120.76	121.03(0%)	123.55(3.75%)	121.09-125	1.6(1.7)	1.6	0.9%	0.2%	0%	0.02%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	4	61	0.6	1.4	0.1	N/A	122.94(-0.49%)	122.05-123.68	27.49	0%-33.3%
19	Dec_18_2020	120.26 (0.4%)	120.23 (-0.3%)	119.61 (-0.1%)	119.96	119.79(0%)	119.08(-0.49%)	118.27-119.88	-0.5(-0.6)	-1	-0.3%	-0.2%	0%	-0.02%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.3%)	4	57	0.7	-1.2	1.9	Correction	118.29(-0.66%)	118.1-119.08	28.38	-3.4%-28.5%
20	Dec_17_2020	120.12 (0.5%)	120.55 (-0.2%)	119.7 (-0.1%)	120.13	120.48(0%)	119.67(-0.83%)	119.58-121.45	-0.2(-0.2)	0.3	0.2%	-0%	0%	-0%	N/A	Range(0.6%)	5	46	0.8	-1.4	1.8	N/A	119.85(0.15%)	119.67-120	11.59	-3%-29.1%

21	Dec_16_2020	119.93 (0.4%)	120.71 (-0.2%)	119.82 (-0.1%)	119.82	120.13(0%)	120.67(0.29%)	119.86-121.08	0.3(0.3)	1.5	0.2%	-0%	0%	0%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	5	46	0.9	-0.5	2.2	N/A	120.5(-0.14%)	120.3-120.67	10.29	-2.1%-30.2%
22	Dec_15_2020	119.71 (0.4%)	120.84 (-0.2%)	119.9 (-0.3%)	119.74	119.78(0%)	120.32(1.71%)	118.62-120.9	0.2(0.2)	-0.5	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	-0%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	5	41	0.9	-0.6	2.3	Correction	120.03(-0.24%)	119.8-120.32	12.3	-2.4%-29.9%
23	Dec_14_2020	119.57 (0.5%)	120.8 (-0.1%)	120.24 (-0.6%)	120.3	119.51(0%)	118.3(-1.05%)	118.11-121.42	-0.5(-0.5)	-4.4	-0.3%	0%	0%	0.04%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.2%)	4	54	0.9	-0.9	1.4	Correction	117.26(-0.88%)	117-118.3	11.63	-4.1%-27.7%
24	Dec_11_2020	119.39 (0.7%)	120.82 (0.2%)	120.95 (-0.5%)	120.72	119.69(0%)	119.56(-0.59%)	118.37-120.02	0.1(0.1)	-1.2	-0.8%	-0%	0%	0.16%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.5%)	4	63	1	-0.2	1.5	Uptrend Consolidation	119.52(-0.03%)	119.42-119.85	9.8	-3%-29%
25	Dec_10_2020	119.11 (0.8%)	120.99 (0.4%)	121.51 (-0.2%)	121.25	121.08(0%)	120.27(-0.64%)	119.56-120.78	0.4(0.4)	-1.8	-0.5%	-0%	0%	0.28%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	5	62	1.1	0.1	1.4	Uptrend Consolidation	120.04(-0.19%)	119.79-120.8	13.46	-2.5%-29.8%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low