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     Mon. Jan. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: JMIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Apr. 12, 2019 - Mon. Jan. 25, 2021)

(Jumia Technologies)

JMIA latest price $58.7900 (3.21%) ($48.1200 - $60.6720) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Overbought
Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $6.46 (15.14% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  9.46% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  3.9% (StdDev 9.46%)
Daily Moving Force  8.7%
Correction Force  Weak (-4.4%)
Trend   2.84%
Trend Strength  8.9%
Latest Price  $58.7900(3.21%)
Forecasted Low Price  54.62(-7.1%)
Forecasted High Price  61.35(4.35%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-1.4%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  52.3% (38.59)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  31.2%
Hourly Trend   11.3% [$53.8(6.09), $49.21(2.97)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  JMIA advances 6.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  JMIA advances 18.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support JMIA advance at 1.7% a week (53% probability)
  IBUY(57%)    ONLN(56%)    IPO(54%)    ARKK(48%)    SKYY(47%)  
Factors Impacting JMIA price  JMIA will advance at least 1.6% in a week (21% probabilities).
  TBT(-29%)    ROBT(-20%)    EWP(-18%)    UNG(-16%)    SDY(-16%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.5
 
Relative Volatility   3.1 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  7.2% (StdDev 9.46%)
Hourly BBV   2 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $62.83(6.88%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $42.66
5 Day Moving Average  $50.11(17.32%)
10 Day Moving Average  $46.46(26.54%)
20 Day Moving Average  $42.66(37.81%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  355.4%
Market Cap  $6.349b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Mar. 2, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $11.63 ($6.77 - $15.73)
  5 analysts (last updated on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -80.22%
% to Low Target Price  -88.48%
% to High Target Price  -73.24%
 
 


Jumia Technologies AG engages in the provision of logistic services. It operates though e-Commerce platform segment. The e-Commerce platform segment consists of marketplace, which connects sellers with consumers to its logistics service, which enables the shipment and delivery of packages from sellers to consumers, and payment service, which facilitates transactions among participants active on platform in selected markets. The company was by Jeremy Hodara, Sacha Poignonnec, Peter Allerstorfer, Manuel Koser , Tunde Kehinde and Raphael Afaedor founded on June 26, 2012 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. JMIA price fluctuates within 15.14% (three month std-dev: 9.46%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. JMIA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
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Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jan_25_202142.66 (1%)46.46 (3.6%)50.11 (6.5%) 49.21 53.8(0%)58.79(3.21%)48.12-60.670.6,2.2(2.5)2 8.7%3.9%-4.4%2.84%8.9% Overbought  Range(-4.7%)8761.62.52.2Growing Uptrend 62.66(6.59%)55.01-64.5820.01   0%-355.4% 
2Jan_22_202141.93 (0.8%)44.24 (2.8%)47.05 (4.5%) 46.24 47.71(0%)56.96(24.99%)45.02-57.430.1,2.5(2.8)2.5 5.1%3.6%-9.3%2.12%5.5% Overbought  Lower(-15.5%)8661.32.72.1Growing Uptrend 58.83(3.29%)53.35-60.2125.86   0%-341.2% 
3Jan_21_202141.35 (0.6%)42.23 (2%)45.03 (1%) 44.73 44.63(0%)45.57(4.3%)41.26-46.55-0.1,0.9(1.1)1.1 -0.2%2.1%0%1.62%2.1% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(1.9%)75410.82.4Growing Uptrend 46.6(2.26%)44.84-47.0410.98   -4.4%-253% 
4Jan_20_202141.13 (0.8%)41.04 (1.6%)44.58 (1.5%) 45.15 44.78(0%)43.69(-4.1%)42.62-47.650.1,0.5(0.7)-0.7 0.7%1.3%0%1.38%-0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(4.1%)75610.42.3Uptrend 44.43(1.69%)43.28-44.927.7   -8.3%-238.4% 
5Jan_19_202141.05 (0.8%)40.31 (1.2%)43.92 (4.3%) 44.43 44.84(0%)45.56(4.81%)42.22-45.750.2,0.9(1.1)1.8 1.1%2%0%1.12%-1.8% Growing Uptrend  Range(3.1%)7571.112.3Uptrend 46.28(1.59%)44.76-46.946.92   -4.4%-252.9% 
 
6Jan_15_202140.71 (0.6%)39.3 (0.4%)42.11 (3.1%) 42.95 45.51(0%)43.47(-7.23%)42.02-480.9,0.6(0.7)0.8 3.7%0.8%0%0.44%-3.5% Uptrend Dip  Higher(8.1%)65010.72.5Uptrend 43.78(0.72%)43.05-44.19.58   -8.8%-236.7% 
7Jan_14_202140.49 (0.6%)38.92 (-0.2%)40.86 (4.6%) 40.82 44.03(0%)46.86(8.22%)44.51-47.880.8,1.5(1.6)2.3 6.5%1.4%0%-0.02%-3.9% Growing Uptrend  Higher(7.9%)6501.11.52.5N/A 45.38(-3.15%)43.16-47.213.23   -1.7%-264.1% 
8Jan_13_202139.95 (0.2%)38.35 (-1%)39.06 (5.5%) 38.83 40.39(0%)43.3(7.1%)38.8-45.960.4,0.8(0.9)1.8 5.5%1%0%-0.6%-4% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(6.5%)54410.71.9N/A 42.35(-2.19%)41.55-43.0118.08   -9.2%-250.3% 
9Jan_12_202139.63 (0%)37.94 (-1.6%)37.04 (2.3%) 37.46 37.61(0%)40.43(10.83%)36.26-40.990.2,0.2(0.2)2.1 1.7%0.2%0%-1.1%-4.3% Uptrend Reversal  Range(1.9%)450102Downtrend 39.89(-1.34%)39.69-40.349.77   -15.2%-229.8% 
10Jan_11_202139.52 (0.2%)37.88 (-2%)36.2 (0.4%) 36.46 37.27(0%)36.48(-1.99%)35.44-38.260.3,-0.7(-0.8)-0.8 0.2%-1.3%0%-1.32%-4.2% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)3441-11.6Correction 33.61(-7.87%)33.1-35.645.77   -23.5%-197.6% 
 
11Jan_8_202139.62 (0.2%)38.56 (-1.8%)36.04 (-1.7%) 36.22 37.31(0%)37.22(-1.66%)35.68-39.990.4,-0.5(-0.7)0.4 1.9%-1.5%0%-1.22%-2.7% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(1.2%)2511-0.81Correction 34.34(-7.74%)33.83-36.379.09   -21.9%-259.3% 
12Jan_7_202139.48 (0.4%)39.42 (-1.4%)36.67 (-2.5%) 36.19 35.64(0%)37.85(13.97%)34.6-39.35-0.3,-0.3(-0.5)0.7 -0.8%-1.6%0%-0.88%-0.1% Downtrend Pop  Range(-2.4%)3511-0.50.6Correction 35.23(-6.91%)34.75-37.1613.41   -20.6%-343.7% 
13Jan_6_202139.39 (0.6%)40.34 (-0.6%)37.61 (-3.4%) 37.38 35.13(0%)33.21(-8.36%)33-36.69-0.6,-1.4(-1.6)-5 -4.4%-1.7%0%-0.3%2.4% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.9%)4501-1.6-0.8Correction 31.33(-5.65%)30.94-32.8910.38   -30.3%-319.3% 
14Jan_5_202139.46 (0.8%)41.28 (-0.2%)38.95 (-2.1%) 39.14 36.75(0%)36.24(1.57%)34.11-37.44-0.6,-0.8(-0.9)-1.5 -5.2%-1%0%0.16%4.6% Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-6.2%)5531-0.9-0.3Correction 35.2(-2.88%)34.89-36.417.29   -24%-357.6% 
15Jan_4_202139.28 (0.8%)41.96 (0.2%)39.77 (-3.8%) 40.3 39.62(0%)35.68(-11.57%)35.52-40.57-0,-0.9(-0.9)-1.6 -3.9%-0.7%0%0.46%6.8% Downtrend Reversal  Range(1.2%)5501.1-0.8-0.7Uptrend Consolidation 36.63(2.67%)36.91-35.811.35   -25.2%-350.5% 
 
16Dec_31_202039.22 (1%)42.41 (0.8%)41.36 (-2.9%) 41.25 41.54(0%)40.35(-5.19%)39.84-42.60,0.2(0.3)-1.2 -0.6%0.4%0%0.86%8.1% Correction  Range(2.4%)7581.20.31.1Uptrend Consolidation 40.13(-0.55%)39.91-40.798.56   -15.4%-409.5% 
17Dec_30_202038.86 (1.4%)42.36 (1.4%)42.58 (-2.3%) 42.16 40.98(0%)42.56(6.61%)40.06-44-0.4,0.7(0.8)0.2 -1.4%1.5%0%1.4%9% Correction  Range(0.1%)6701.30.90.9Uptrend 43.37(1.9%)41.82-44.0313.46   -10.7%-437.4% 
18Dec_29_202038.15 (1.4%)41.79 (1.8%)43.6 (-0.8%) 43.46 40.95(0%)39.92(-1.09%)38.47-41.68-0.5,0.3(0.4)-2.1 -3.9%0.7%0%1.74%9.5% Confirmed Correction  Range(-2.7%)7611.40.41.2Uptrend 41.11(2.99%)39.66-41.748.72   -16.3%-404% 
19Dec_28_202037.78 (1.8%)41.57 (2.2%)43.97 (-1%) 44.7 43.34(0%)40.36(-7.47%)38.05-44.3-0.1,0.5(0.5)-1.4 -3.3%0.4%0%2.1%10% Correction Correction Range(0.8%)8661.50.50.8Uptrend Consolidation 39.95(-1.01%)39.27-41.9914.41   -15.3%-420.1% 
20Dec_24_202037.6 (2.2%)41.39 (2.8%)44.4 (2.1%) 44.86 45.96(0%)43.62(-6.07%)41.7-47.50.3,1.1(1.2)0.5 1%1.2%0%2.64%10.1% Uptrend Dip  Higher(5.2%)9741.51.31Uptrend Dip 48.71(11.66%)40.99-50.649.98   -8.5%-493.5% 
 
21Dec_23_202037.26 (2.6%)40.81 (2.8%)43.5 (3.4%) 43.82 46.06(0%)46.44(-2.58%)44.13-490.5,1.7(1.9)1.7 4.4%2.9%0%2.8%9.5% Growing Uptrend  Higher(8.6%)9721.521Relative Overbought 47.03(1.26%)40.57-52.3112.73   -2.6%-539.7% 
22Dec_22_202036.44 (2.8%)39.52 (2.6%)42.07 (5.7%) 41.95 43.76(0%)47.67(14.15%)42.25-48.160.4,2.2(2.5)3.4 4.8%3%-3.8%2.66%8.4% Overbought  Lower(-4.9%)9751.42.61.2Uptrend 49.61(4.06%)45.16-51.5117.06   0%-556.6% 
23Dec_21_202035.53 (3%)38.23 (2.4%)39.8 (2.5%) 40.19 41.59(0%)41.76(-1.76%)41.03-44.480.5,1.4(1.6)1.6 3.3%2.3%0%2.56%7.6% Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.5%)9781.21.70.1Uptrend 43.3(3.68%)40.51-44.4913.94   -1.8%-475.2% 
24Dec_18_202034.69 (3.4%)37.39 (2.2%)38.85 (2.3%) 38.77 40.14(0%)42.51(8.61%)37.7-43.710.3,1.6(1.9)2.5 2.6%2.9%0%2.52%7.8% Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.5%)9661.41.71.9Growing Uptrend 44.66(5.05%)40.83-45.6120   0%-485.5% 
25Dec_17_202033.79 (3.6%)36.28 (1.6%)37.98 (0.7%) 38.1 38.8(0%)39.14(-0.38%)38.52-40.920.2,1.1(1.2)0.9 2.2%1.9%0%2.26%7.4% Growing Uptrend  Range(4.3%)9541.41.11.8Growing Uptrend 41.14(5.1%)38-41.9211.22   -0.4%-439.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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