Trading Signals: JMIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 20, 2020

Trading Signals: JMIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Apr. 12, 2019 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Jumia Technologies)
JMIA latest price $15.3700 (0.33%) ($15.0000 - $17.1300) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.57% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $15.3700(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JMIA advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JMIA advances 33.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JMIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(71%)    IBUY(71%)    IPO(69%)    ONLN(67%)    ACES(64%)
Factors Impacting JMIA price   JMIA will decline at least -4.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    VXX(-33%)    UUP(-25%)    DRIV(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.785% (StdDev 9.57%)
Hourly BBV -0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.34(7.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.71(20.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10.38(48.07%)
To recent high   -26.8%
To recent low   111.7%
Market Cap   $1.66b

Jumia Technologies AG engages in the provision of logistic services. It operates though e-Commerce platform segment. The e-Commerce platform segment consists of marketplace, which connects sellers with consumers to its logistics service, which enables the shipment and delivery of packages from sellers to consumers, and payment service, which facilitates transactions among participants active on platform in selected markets. The company was by Jeremy Hodara, Sacha Poignonnec, Peter Allerstorfer, Manuel Koser , Tunde Kehinde and Raphael Afaedor founded on June 26, 2012 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.

$. JMIA price fluctuates within 26.97% (three month std-dev: 9.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 8.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.53%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 36.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -9.83%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 44.08%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -14.72%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2020	9.33	10.38	12.71	14.34	14.4	15.39	15.37(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	490	14	215	27.37	67%	0.65	71.3	9.57%	-0.2	1.8	94	0.6
2	Oct_19_2020	9.27	10	11.97	13.74	13.71	14.78	15.32(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	64	540	18	200	15.15	67%	0.65	71	9.92%	0.7	2.1	92	0.7
3	Oct_16_2020	9.21	9.61	11.25	13.12	13.02	13.42	15.22(17.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	190	22	195	36.47	67%	0.77	70.3	9.93%	1.6	2.5	92	1.4
4	Oct_15_2020	9.14	9.21	10.52	12.15	12.26	12.65	12.91(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	250	10	166	10.91	64%	0.44	65.6	9.71%	0.5	2	90	1.6
5	Oct_14_2020	9.1	8.95	10.03	11.67	11.83	12.61	12.87(4.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	59	500	23	166	17.43	64%	0.44	63.3	9.71%	0.8	2.3	91	2

6	Oct_13_2020	9.06	8.71	9.52	10.81	11.04	11.87	12.36(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	55	590	26	140	13.43	64%	0.33	53.7	9.71%	1.1	2.6	91	2.1
7	Oct_12_2020	9.03	8.46	9.08	9.92	10.04	11.06	12.26(18.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	45	750	26	103	24.33	64%	0.44	40.5	9.71%	1.6	3.3	74	2.7
8	Oct_9_2020	8.99	8.24	8.6	9.09	9.2	10.21	10.36(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	31	800	19	66	28.07	62%	0.11	27.2	9.52%	0.7	2.7	71	2.6
9	Oct_8_2020	8.98	8.12	8.33	8.64	8.56	9.03	10.52(23.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	26	360	19	48	35.24	67%	0.22	8.2	9.52%	1.9	3.9	73	1.7
10	Oct_7_2020	8.96	8.12	7.99	8.15	8.09	8.19	8.53(7.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	6	60	3	14	4.9	64%	-0.11	-37.2	10.12%	1.4	1.6	55	1

11	Oct_6_2020	8.97	8	7.87	8.04	8.02	8.08	7.92(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	40	-1	1	4.38	64%	-0.11	-57.6	10.09%	-0.7	-0.2	46	0.3
12	Oct_5_2020	8.98	8.02	7.9	8.09	8.02	7.99	8.14(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-60	2	7	3.18	64%	-0.11	-64.6	10.09%	2.4	0.4	55	0.6
13	Oct_2_2020	8.99	8.03	7.87	8.01	8.04	7.95	8.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-70	1	1	1.93	64%	-0.11	-81.7	10.17%	0	0.1	49	0.4
14	Oct_1_2020	9	8.07	7.83	7.95	8.03	8.09	8.08(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	80	4	-4	3.31	64%	-0.11	-77.6	10.17%	-0.3	0	49	0.8
15	Sep_30_2020	9.01	8.13	7.82	7.8	7.94	8.13	7.99(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	220	5	-11	6.52	64%	0.33	-74.1	10.21%	-0.5	-0.3	46	0.8

16	Sep_29_2020	8.98	8.19	7.85	7.66	7.7	7.97	8.15(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	260	1	-22	8.98	64%	0.34	-78.9	10.21%	1.1	-0.1	44	0.9
17	Sep_28_2020	8.95	8.24	7.81	7.68	7.6	7.75	7.76(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	110	1	-24	2.38	64%	-0.11	-81.2	10.2%	0.5	-0.8	46	0.7
18	Sep_25_2020	8.96	8.33	7.85	7.71	7.6	7.44	7.77(5.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-220	0	-26	2.68	64%	-0.22	-79.1	10.22%	1.2	-0.9	44	0.6
19	Sep_24_2020	8.98	8.39	7.9	7.7	7.66	7.46	7.35(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-200	-6	-33	2.73	61%	-0.22	-91.2	10.21%	-1.1	-1.6	34	0.3
20	Sep_23_2020	9	8.51	8.01	7.84	7.83	7.89	7.26(-12.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	50	-5	-33	4.87	63%	-0.22	-94.6	10.37%	-2	-1.9	30	0.1

21	Sep_22_2020	9.02	8.67	8.01	8.05	7.93	7.86	8.27(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-110	3	-26	3.63	65%	-0.11	-87.1	10.4%	2	-0.5	35	0.7
22	Sep_21_2020	9.03	8.77	8.15	7.96	7.94	7.77	7.88(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-160	-3	-38	3.22	65%	-0.11	-90.8	10.41%	-0.2	-1.1	35	0.8
23	Sep_18_2020	9.04	8.87	8.21	8.03	8.05	8	7.72(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-40	-3	-42	3.96	65%	-0.22	-104.7	10.41%	-1.6	-1.4	30	1.1
24	Sep_17_2020	9.06	9.03	8.33	8.13	8.13	8.12	8.09(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10	-2	-39	3.28	65%	-0.11	-108	10.39%	-0.3	-1.1	40	1.1
25	Sep_16_2020	9.07	9.18	8.45	8.2	8.2	8.1	8.29(5.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-90	-3	-39	4.58	65%		-104.6	10.39%	1.5	-0.9	36	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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