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     Mon. Aug. 10, 2020



Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Sep. 21, 2020)

(iShares Russell 2000)

IWM latest price $157.7900 (1.04%) ($156.6500 - $158.8300) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Overbought
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  IWM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWM advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWM advance at 1.6% a week (96% probability)
  IWN(97%)    IWO(95%)    IWD(94%)    SDY(93%)    IVE(92%)  
Factors Impacting IWM price  IWM will advance at least 0.7% in a week (58% probabilities).
  VXX(-70%)    VIXM(-69%)    TLT(-57%)    UUP(-38%)    SHY(-33%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  A pullback is expected soon.
 
Valuation to SPY   2.3
 
Relative Volatility   1.8 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1.6
Hourly Trend   0.9% [$156.12(1.88), $154.73(1.87)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.06% [$157.97, $158.07]


IWM Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  2.2%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -2.2%
Recommended Position Size  15%
Latest Price  $157.7900
Next Day Open Price  $157.6(-0.12%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $154.44(-2.12%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $150.73 - $160
Support Level  $149.17
5 Day Moving Average  $154.45(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average  $151.58(4.1%)
20 Day Moving Average  $149.17(5.78%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  28.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Average Volume  19.83 million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0
One Month Target Price  > $157.79
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $140.83
One Year Target Price   $197.98 (25.47%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -7.1% away from the target price of 157.79.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 2.15%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200910

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_10_20200%-28.6% 2.4%,0.9(0.1)2.4%,0.9(0.2)1.1%,0.40.9-0.06%1.6%2.11.62.31.8(2.8%,1.38%)1.624.63   157.79(1.04%)156.65-158.83Overbought 154.44(-2.12%)150.73-16071
2Aug_7_20200%-27.3% 2%,0.8(0.1)2%,0.8(0.3)1.2%,0.41.2-0.01%1.5%21.62.11.6(2.62%,1.39%)1.620.43   156.17(1.59%)153.15-156.25Growing Uptrend 157.17(0.64%)154.63-157.8172
3Aug_6_2020-0%-25.3% 1.7%,0.6(0.1)1.3%,0.5(0.1)0.7%,0.31.50.14%1.3%1.61.51.21.5(2.6%,1.27%)1.618.12   153.73(-0.04%)152.91-154.44Uptrend 154.21(0.31%)152.53-154.9367
4Aug_5_20200%-25.3% 1.4%,0.6(0.1)1.1%,0.4(0.1)0.6%,0.21.50.23%1.4%1.92.31.81.3(2.49%,1.23%)1.618.65   153.79(1.99%)151.78-153.89Growing Uptrend 154.27(0.31%)152.36-154.7568
5Aug_4_2020-1.5%-22.9% 1.2%,0.5(0.1)0.9%,0.4(-0)0.6%,0.30.90.01%1.4%1.41.90.81(2.34%,1.39%)1.521.03   150.79(0.69%)149.05-150.93Uptrend 150.99(0.13%)149.82-151.560
 
6Aug_3_2020-2.2%-22% 1%,0.5(-0.1)0.9%,0.4(-0.1)0.3%,0.1-00.17%1.6%1.320.60.8(2.24%,1.45%)1.620.79   149.76(1.63%)147.22-149.97Uptrend Consolidation 148.62(-0.76%)148.08-150.2169
7Jul_31_2020-3.7%-20.1% 1.2%,0.5(-0)1.2%,0.5(-0.1)0.2%,0.1-00.23%1.5%0.6-0.1-0.30.4(2.2%,1.59%)1.729.73   147.36(-0.94%)144.67-148.42Uptrend Consolidation 146.86(-0.34%)146.55-147.7970
8Jul_30_2020-2.8%-21.2% 1.2%,0.5(-0)1.4%,0.6(-0.2)0.1%,00.60.05%1.7%1.11.410.3(2.21%,1.41%)1.723.43   148.76(-0.4%)146.33-149.12Uptrend Consolidation 147.79(-0.65%)147.28-149.3167
9Jul_29_2020-2.4%-21.7% 1.3%,0.6(0)1.9%,0.9(-0.1)0.2%,0.10.30.16%1.7%1.51.510.2(2.17%,1.62%)1.919.67   149.35(2.2%)146.98-149.45Uptrend Consolidation 148.05(-0.87%)147.41-15072
10Jul_28_2020-4.5%-19.1% 1.3%,0.6(-0)2.2%,1.1(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.1-0.3-0.11%1.8%0.6-1.50.3-0.1(2.04%,1.72%)1.813.22   146.13(-1%)146.06-148.04Uptrend Consolidation 145.72(-0.28%)145.38-146.7360
 
11Jul_27_2020-3.6%-20.3% 1.3%,0.6(0.1)2.4%,1.2(0.1)0.2%,0.1-0.60.14%1.7%1.10.70.6-0(2.08%,1.5%)1.813.19   147.6(1.04%)145.39-147.69Growing Uptrend 148.32(0.49%)146.91-148.6865
12Jul_24_2020-4.6%-19.3% 1.2%,0.5(0)2.1%,0.9(-0)-0.1%,-0-0.30.03%1.6%0.7-10.30.1(2.28%,1.55%)1.519.95   146.08(-1.47%)145.56-147.67Uptrend 146.64(0.38%)145.58-147.0855
13Jul_23_2020-3.2%-23.2% 1.2%,0.5(0.1)2.1%,0.9(0.1)0.3%,0.10.6-0.22%1.5%1.50.80.90(2.29%,1.66%)1.421.65   148.26(0.1%)146.7-150.2Growing Uptrend 148.87(0.41%)147.24-149.2862
14Jul_22_2020-3.3%-24.3% 1%,0.4(0)1.8%,0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.10.6-0.03%1.2%1.61.6-0.1-0.1(2.26%,1.84%)1.724.88   148.11(0.05%)147.03-148.67Uptrend 148.38(0.18%)147.02-148.9562
15Jul_21_2020-3.3%-25.7% 0.9%,0.4(0.1)1.7%,0.8(0.2)0.9%,0.40.30%0.9%1.81.20.3-0.3(2.09%,1.8%)1.725.14   148.03(1.42%)147.2-149.16Growing Uptrend 148.43(0.27%)146.95-148.858
 
16Jul_20_2020-4.7%-24% 0.7%,0.4(0.1)1.2%,0.7(0)0.9%,0.500.11%0.7%1.40.6-0.6-0.6(1.89%,1.75%)2.119.57   145.96(-0.43%)145.15-146.85Uptrend 146.12(0.11%)145.2-146.5160
17Jul_17_2020-4.2%-24.5% 0.6%,0.3(-0)1.2%,0.7(0.2)0.7%,0.41.8-0.06%0.6%1.81.20.3-0.9(1.8%,1.77%)221.37   146.59(0.29%)145.51-147.59Growing Uptrend 146.82(0.16%)145.66-147.1268
18Jul_16_2020-4.5%-25% 0.6%,0.3(0.3)0.9%,0.6(0.2)1%,0.63.30.01%0.5%1.91.20.3-1.1(1.64%,1.9%)1.828.75   146.16(-0.59%)144.88-146.67Growing Uptrend 146.26(0.07%)145.26-146.5258
19Jul_15_2020-4%-25.8% 0.1%,0.1(0.3)0.6%,0.4(0.3)0.7%,0.51.80.2%0.3%2.72.10.4-1.4(1.47%,2.23%)1.840.52   147.03(3.67%)144.79-147.78Breakout 146.84(-0.13%)145.9-147.2563
20Jul_14_2020-7.4%-21.3% -0.2%,-0.2(0.3)0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.1%,0.10.90.17%0.1%0.30.7-1.7-1.8(1.26%,1.89%)1.327.42   141.83(1.66%)138.64-141.98Rebound 141.57(-0.18%)141.83-141.4748
 
21Jul_13_2020-8.9%-19.3% -0.7%,-0.5(0.2)0.1%,0.1(-0)-0.6%,-0.40.3-0.6%0.1%-1-1-1.9-2(1.26%,2.27%)134.12   139.52(-1.27%)139.39-144.64N/A 140.04(0.37%)139.39-140.5746
22Jul_10_2020-7.7%-20.9% -0.9%,-0.7(0.2)0.1%,0.1(0)-0.2%,-0.1-1.20.01%0%0.1-0.2-1.7-1.8(1.32%,1.84%)1.324.43   141.31(1.61%)138.46-141.48N/A 141.17(-0.1%)141.17-141.1750
23Jul_9_2020-9.2%-19% -1.2%,-0.7(-0.1)0.1%,0.1(-0)-0.4%,-0.2-1.80.01%0.1%-0.8-1.6-2.1-1.6(1.62%,1.98%)134.65   139.07(-2.02%)137.24-142.35N/A 139.56(0.35%)138.9-140.0950
24Jul_8_2020-7.3%-21.4% -1%,-0.6(-0.2)0.1%,0.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.1-1.20.09%-0.1%0.3-0.4-1-1.6(1.78%,1.82%)1.127.46   141.94(0.75%)139.1-142.5N/A 141.67(-0.19%)141.56-141.7550
25Jul_7_2020-8%-24.8% -0.7%,-0.3(-0.2)0.1%,0.1(-0)-0%,-00-0.3%-0.3%-0.2-2.1-1-1.3(2.26%,1.81%)123.51   140.89(-1.77%)140.48-143.44N/A 141.04(0.11%)140.65-141.3750
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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