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     Mon. Jan. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: IVW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Mon. Jan. 25, 2021)

(iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF)

IVW latest price $66.1500 (0.79%) ($64.9000 - $66.4800) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Overbought
Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.95 (1.48% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.13% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.3% (StdDev 1.13%)
Daily Moving Force  0.6%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.26%
Trend Strength  0.7%
Latest Price  $66.1500(0.79%)
Forecasted Low Price  65.95(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price  66.94(1.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(1.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  1.7% (65.06)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.2%
Hourly Trend   0.3% [$65.77(0.18), $65.5(0.58)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  5
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  IVW advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IVW advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IVW advance at 0.5% a week (98% probability)
  VUG(98%)    IWF(97%)    XLK(97%)    QQQ(96%)    XLC(90%)  
Factors Impacting IVW price  IVW will decline at least -0.1% in a week (51% probabilities).
  VXX(-72%)    VIXM(-55%)    UUP(-35%)    CNCR(-21%)    UNG(-18%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.7
 
Relative Volatility   2.9 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.7% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV   3.5 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $66.19(0.06%)
Support Level  $64.05
5 Day Moving Average  $65.29(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average  $64.5(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average  $64.05(3.28%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  17.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IVW price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.13%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IVW price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jan_25_202164.05 (0.2%)64.5 (0.2%)65.29 (1%) 65.5 65.77(0%)66.15(0.79%)64.9-66.482(2.2)3.5 0.6%0.3%0%0.26%0.7% Overbought  Higher(0.9%)5681.31.72.2Approaching Top 66.1(-0.08%)65.05-66.962.39   0%-17.8% 
2Jan_22_202163.87 (0.2%)64.34 (0.2%)64.67 (0.7%) 64.92 65.59(0%)65.63(-0.02%)65.44-65.871.9(2.1)4.4 0.7%0.2%0%0.18%0.7% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)5591.21.22.1Growing Uptrend 65.84(0.32%)65.31-65.981.47   -0%-16.8% 
3Jan_21_202163.73 (0.2%)64.17 (0.2%)64.23 (0.5%) 64.31 65.23(0%)65.64(0.63%)65.33-65.82.2(2.5)1.9 1.1%0.4%-0.5%0.14%0.7% Overbought  Range(-0.5%)56010.82.4Growing Uptrend 65.76(0.18%)65.31-65.871.44   0%-16.9% 
4Jan_20_202163.58 (0%)63.88 (0%)63.9 (0.5%) 63.86 64.25(0%)65.23(2.21%)64.4-65.462.2(2.5)1.2 0.9%0.3%-0.4%0.08%0.5% Overbought  Range(-0.4%)4580.90.12.3Breakout 65.24(0.01%)64.95-65.362.31   0%-16.1% 
5Jan_19_202163.47 (0%)63.67 (0%)63.59 (-0%) 63.6 63.4(0%)63.82(1.24%)63.23-63.880.5(0.7)1 -0.1%0.1%0%0.04%0.3% N/A  Range(0%)3500.8-0.92.3N/A 63.77(-0.08%)63.66-63.861.88   -1.4%-13.6% 
 
6Jan_15_202163.44 (0.2%)63.58 (0%)63.61 (-0.5%) 63.63 63.47(0%)63.04(-0.58%)62.82-63.56-0.6(-0.7)-3.4 -0.5%-0.1%0%0.04%0.2% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)3520.8-1.62.5Downtrend Reversal 62.88(-0.26%)62.83-63.071.7   -2.6%-12.2% 
7Jan_14_202163.43 (0.2%)63.67 (0%)63.95 (-0.2%) 63.85 63.81(0%)63.41(-0.92%)63.33-64.17-0(-0)-6.6 -0.1%-0%0%0.12%0.4% Correction  Range(0.4%)3560.8-22.5Uptrend Consolidation 63.43(0.03%)63.41-63.481.78   -2.1%-12.9% 
8Jan_13_202163.39 (0.2%)63.69 (0.2%)64.09 (0.4%) 64.03 63.79(0%)64(0.5%)63.6-64.21(1.1)0 %0.1%0%0.14%0.5% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)4570.8-1.31.9Growing Uptrend 64.12(0.18%)63.89-64.171.45   -1.2%-13.9% 
9Jan_12_202163.28 (0.2%)63.65 (0.2%)63.83 (0.1%) 63.98 63.89(0%)63.68(-0.36%)63.21-64.060.7(0.7)0 -0.2%0%0%0.12%0.6% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0%)5570.8-1.82Uptrend 63.76(0.12%)63.61-63.822.18   -1.7%-13.4% 
10Jan_11_202163.19 (0.2%)63.66 (0.2%)63.75 (0.3%) 63.74 64.27(0%)63.91(-1.3%)63.83-64.431(1.1)0 0.3%0.1%0%0.12%0.7% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)6560.9-1.31.6Growing Uptrend 64.02(0.17%)63.77-64.082.21   -1.3%-13.8% 
 
11Jan_8_202163.09 (0%)63.57 (0%)63.55 (0.3%) 63.47 64.07(0%)64.75(1.01%)63.95-64.792(2.3)2.6 0.9%0.3%0%0.1%0.8% Overbought  Higher(1.2%)5621-0.11Breakout 64.76(0.02%)64.45-64.92.27   0%-15.3% 
12Jan_7_202162.94 (0%)63.36 (0%)63.36 (0.2%) 63.47 63.2(0%)64.1(2.25%)63.16-64.231.6(1.8)1.5 0.3%0.2%0%0.06%0.7% N/A  Range(0.5%)6610.9-0.90.6Uptrend 64.11(0.01%)63.88-64.21.96   0%-14.1% 
13Jan_6_202162.94 (0%)63.25 (0%)63.26 (-0.3%) 63.17 62.87(0%)62.69(-0.99%)62.26-63.49-0.3(-0.3)-0.8 -0.4%-0%0%0.06%0.6% Confirmed Correction  Range(0.1%)5540.9-2.1-0.8Uptrend Consolidation 62.75(0.09%)62.75-62.733.21   -1.8%-11.6% 
14Jan_5_202162.86 (0.2%)63.27 (0.2%)63.45 (-0.1%) 63.43 63.14(0%)63.32(0.72%)62.66-63.390.7(0.7)-1.1 -0.4%0%0%0.12%0.7% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.4%)5680.90.4-0.3Uptrend Consolidation 63.19(-0.2%)63.12-63.413.42   -0.8%-12.7% 
15Jan_4_202162.82 (0.2%)63.25 (0.2%)63.54 (-0.1%) 63.65 63.48(0%)62.87(-1.49%)62.09-64.110.1(0.1)-1.2 -0.2%-0%0%0.16%0.7% Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)5630.90.4-0.7After Top 63.01(0.22%)62.82-63.168.31   -1.5%-11.9% 
 
16Dec_31_202062.78 (0.2%)63.28 (0.2%)63.57 (0.4%) 63.74 63.71(0%)63.82(0.38%)63.38-63.921.4(1.6)2.9 0.1%0.2%0%0.2%0.8% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)7750.90.81.1Uptrend 63.93(0.17%)63.64-64.051.47   0%-13.6% 
17Dec_30_202062.7 (0.2%)63.18 (0.2%)63.35 (0.2%) 63.55 63.81(0%)63.58(-0.11%)63.54-63.981.3(1.5)4 0.2%0.2%0%0.2%0.8% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)8740.81.10.9Growing Uptrend 63.72(0.22%)63.43-63.791.28   -0.3%-13.2% 
18Dec_29_202062.63 (0.2%)63.07 (0.2%)63.23 (0.3%) 63.35 63.76(0%)63.65(-0.2%)63.57-64.191.5(1.8)2 0.5%0.3%0%0.18%0.7% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)8590.81.61.2Growing Uptrend 63.78(0.2%)63.48-63.851.48   -0.2%-13.3% 
19Dec_28_202062.52 (0.2%)62.88 (0.2%)63.07 (0.2%) 63.11 63.29(0%)63.78(1.19%)63.28-63.911.9(2.2)2.7 0.5%0.3%0%0.16%0.6% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)7620.81.80.8Approaching Top 63.63(-0.24%)63.13-64.041.22   0%-13.5% 
20Dec_24_202062.41 (0.2%)62.69 (0.2%)62.93 (-0%) 62.82 62.93(0%)63.03(0.53%)62.81-63.161(1.2)1.1 %0.2%0%0.12%0.4% Correction  Range(0.2%)6560.71.41Uptrend 63.07(0.07%)62.92-63.140.86   -0.2%-13.4% 
 
21Dec_23_202062.32 (0.2%)62.57 (0.2%)62.95 (-0%) 62.84 62.92(0%)62.7(-0.49%)62.7-63.150.6(0.7)0.4 0.1%0.1%0%0.14%0.4% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)5580.71.31Uptrend 62.78(0.12%)62.63-62.841.7   -0.7%-13.2% 
22Dec_22_202062.25 (0.2%)62.49 (0.2%)62.97 (0.2%) 62.9 62.7(0%)63.01(0.27%)62.57-63.161.2(1.3)0.9 %0.1%0%0.12%0.4% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)4610.82.71.2Uptrend 63.07(0.1%)62.87-63.161.5   -0.2%-13.8% 
23Dec_21_202062.12 (0.2%)62.45 (0%)62.87 (0.4%) 62.84 62.77(0%)62.84(-0.36%)61.75-62.941(1)1.3 -0.2%0.1%0%0.12%0.5% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)5580.92.20.1Relative Overbought 62.8(-0.07%)62.42-63.11.93   -0.5%-13.5% 
24Dec_18_202062 (0.2%)62.41 (0%)62.64 (0.4%) 62.79 63.1(0%)63.07(-0.13%)62.59-63.321.3(1.4)3 0.3%0.1%0%0.1%0.7% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)66912.51.9Relative Overbought 62.94(-0.21%)62.48-63.31.93   -0.1%-13.9% 
25Dec_17_202061.89 (0.2%)62.35 (0%)62.4 (0.4%) 62.52 62.92(0%)63.15(0.57%)62.97-63.281.5(1.7)1.9 0.6%0.2%0%0.08%0.7% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)67010.71.8Uptrend 63.19(0.06%)62.92-63.311.41   0%-14.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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