Trading Signals: IVE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IVE: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 1, 2020

Trading Signals: IVE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 15, 2021)

(iShares S&P 500 Value ETF)
IVE latest price $112.5700 (0.11%) ($111.9250 - $113.4000) on Thu. Oct. 1, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Downtrend Consolidation
Trend Narrative   Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing   $2.1 (1.85% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.2% (StdDev 0.97%)
Daily Moving Force   0.5%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   -0.12%
Trend   -0.26%
Trend Strength   -1.4%
Trend Clarity   -0.11(-0.2/2.1/113.3)
RSI   45
Momentum   1.9
Latest Price   $112.5700(0.11%)
Forecasted Low Price   112.23(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price   113.13(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(0.9%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   0.8% ((113.48))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   -0.3%
Hourly Trend 0.4% [$112.58(0.43), $112.32(0.73)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   IVE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IVE declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IVE advance at 0.2% a week (97% probability)
IWD(99%)    VYM(98%)    DIA(94%)    SDY(93%)    XLF(92%)
Factors Impacting IVE price   IVE will advance at least 0.4% in a week (49% probabilities).
VXX(-62%)    VIXM(-61%)    TLT(-36%)    SHY(-30%)    BND(-22%)
Explanation The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Buy the rebound

Valuation to SPY -1.1

Relative Volatility 1.1 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.4% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Next Day Open Price   $112.3(-0.24%)
Resistance Level   $113.3
5 Day Moving Average   $111.92(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.7(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.3(-0.64%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IVE price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.97% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IVE price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201101

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Oct_1_2020	113.3 (-0.2%)	111.7 (-0.2%)	111.92 (0.6%)	112.32	112.58(0%)	112.57(0.11%)	111.93-113.4	-0.7(-0.3)	1.1	0.5%	-0.2%	0%	-0.12%	-0.26%	-1.4%	45	1.9	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	4	-1.1	0.9	Downtrend	111.94(-0.56%)	111.63-112.67	0.68	-4.8%-5.4%
2	Sep_30_2020	113.56 (-0.2%)	111.95 (-0.4%)	111.29 (0.6%)	111.59	112.15(0%)	112.45(0.82%)	111.8-113.56	-1.1(-0.5)	-0.6	0.4%	-0.2%	0%	-0.27%	-0.28%	-1.4%	47	2.1	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	4	-0.6	0.8	After Bottom	112.06(-0.35%)	110.72-113.14	0.84	-4.9%-5.3%
3	Sep_29_2020	113.74 (-0.2%)	112.27 (-0.4%)	110.66 (-0.1%)	110.8	112.06(0%)	111.53(-0.77%)	111.1-112.46	-1.5(-0.9)	0.5	0.5%	-0.3%	0%	0.17%	-0.32%	-1.3%	39	2.2	Confirmed Rebound	Higher(0.6%)	4	-0.7	0.9	Downtrend	110.57(-0.86%)	110.01-111.88	0.42	-5.7%-4.5%
4	Sep_28_2020	113.98 (-0.2%)	112.63 (-0.4%)	110.78 (0.1%)	110.47	111.02(0%)	112.4(1.56%)	111.83-112.93	-1.7(-0.7)	0.9	0.7%	-0.2%	0%	-0.06%	-0.3%	-1.2%	46	2.1	Rebound	Higher(0.5%)	4	-0.5	0.9	After Bottom	111.94(-0.41%)	110.3-113.28	0.52	-4.9%-5.3%
5	Sep_25_2020	114.21 (-0.2%)	112.92 (-0.4%)	110.71 (-0.7%)	110.45	109.54(0%)	110.67(1.16%)	108.71-110.93	-2.2(-1.5)	1.3	-0.5%	-0.3%	1.3%	0.26%	-0.32%	-1.1%	35	2.1	Downtrend Pop	Range(0.5%)	3	-0.3	1.1	Downtrend	109.7(-0.88%)	109.03-111.26	0.71	-6.4%-5.2%

6	Sep_24_2020	114.5 (-0.2%)	113.28 (-0.4%)	111.5 (-1.1%)	111.04	109.92(0%)	109.4(0.11%)	108.2-110.44	-2.2(-2.2)	-1.4	-1.3%	-0.4%	1.3%	-0.18%	-0.28%	-1.1%	30	2	Oversold	Range(-0.4%)	3	0	1.2	Downtrend	108.65(-0.69%)	107.97-110.22	0.66	-7.5%-4%
7	Sep_23_2020	114.83 (-0.2%)	113.72 (-0.2%)	112.72 (-1.2%)	112.48	111.37(0%)	109.28(-2.54%)	109.25-112.09	-1.8(-2.8)	-3.5	-0.9%	-0.5%	0%	-0.47%	-0.22%	-1%	25	1.6	Breakdown	Range(-0.1%)	3	0.1	1.3	Growing Downtrend	108.9(-0.35%)	108.34-110.17	0.64	-7.6%-3.9%
8	Sep_22_2020	115.18 (-0%)	114.35 (-0.2%)	114.09 (-0.6%)	113.64	112.16(0%)	112.13(0.04%)	111.51-112.92	-1.2(-2)	-0.5	-1%	-0.2%	0%	0.13%	-0.14%	-0.7%	39	1.3	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.2%)	3	0.3	1.6	Downtrend	111.98(-0.13%)	111.69-112.67	0.5	-5.2%-6.6%
9	Sep_21_2020	115.38 (-0%)	114.55 (-0.2%)	114.72 (-0.6%)	114.65	113.6(0%)	112.08(-2.2%)	110.79-112.93	-0.7(-2.5)	-1.1	-1%	-0.3%	0%	0.02%	-0.1%	-0.7%	39	1.1	Breakdown	Range(-0.2%)	3	1.1	1.6	Downtrend	112.02(-0.05%)	111.76-112.65	0.96	-5.2%-6.5%
10	Sep_18_2020	115.38 (0%)	114.96 (-0.2%)	115.41 (0.1%)	115.54	115.11(0%)	114.6(-0.8%)	114.12-115.76	-0.1(-0.8)	-0.8	-0.3%	-0.1%	0%	-0.02%	-0.06%	-0.5%	42	1	Growing Downtrend	Range(0%)	4	2	2.1	Downtrend	114.58(-0.02%)	114.49-114.76	0.57	-3.1%-8.9%

11	Sep_17_2020	115.52 (-0%)	115.08 (-0.2%)	115.31 (0.4%)	115.59	115.71(0%)	115.52(-0.51%)	114.39-115.98	-0.1(0)	0.2	%	-0.1%	0%	0.03%	-0.08%	-0.4%	48	1	Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop	Range(0.2%)	5	1.5	2.1	Downtrend	115.4(-0.1%)	115.35-115.52	0.96	-2.3%-9.8%
12	Sep_16_2020	115.49 (-0%)	115.32 (-0.2%)	114.88 (0.2%)	115.27	115.96(0%)	116.11(0.7%)	115.7-117.26	-0.4(0.6)	0	0.4%	0%	0%	0.05%	-0.1%	-0.2%	53	1	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.4%)	4	1.3	1.4	Downtrend	115.95(-0.14%)	115.94-115.97	0.44	-1.8%-10.3%
13	Sep_15_2020	115.45 (-0%)	115.31 (-0.2%)	114.68 (0.3%)	114.82	115.48(0%)	115.3(-0.19%)	115.14-116.3	-0.7(-0.1)	-0.1	0.5%	-0.1%	0%	-0.16%	-0.12%	-0.1%	49	1	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.5%)	3	0.4	0.8	Downtrend	115.15(-0.13%)	115.08-115.3	0.61	-2.5%-9.6%
14	Sep_14_2020	115.48 (-0%)	115.39 (-0.2%)	114.39 (-0.1%)	114.66	114.59(0%)	115.52(1.26%)	114.7-116.07	-1.1(0)	1.3	0.2%	-0.1%	0%	-0.07%	-0.14%	-0.1%	49	1	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.1%)	3	0.9	0.8	Growing Downtrend	115.35(-0.15%)	115.24-115.49	0.36	-2.3%-9.8%
15	Sep_11_2020	115.51 (-0%)	115.53 (-0.2%)	114.47 (-0.3%)	114.46	114.15(0%)	114.08(0.61%)	113.16-114.48	-1.3(-1.3)	-0.8	-0.5%	-0.2%	0%	0.07%	-0.1%	0%	51	1	Downtrend Pop	Lower(-0.7%)	4	0.6	0.1	Downtrend	113.99(-0.08%)	113.86-114.3	0.62	-3.5%-8.4%

16	Sep_10_2020	115.61 (-0%)	115.76 (-0%)	114.85 (-0.8%)	115.02	114.74(0%)	113.39(-1.51%)	113.21-115.61	-1.1(-2.1)	-2.5	-0.4%	-0.2%	0%	-0.3%	-0.04%	0.1%	49	0.7	Breakdown	Range(0.2%)	5	0.2	-0.7	Downtrend	113.4(0.01%)	113.23-113.78	0.73	-4.1%-7.8%
17	Sep_9_2020	115.78 (0%)	116 (0%)	115.81 (-0.2%)	115.71	114.78(0%)	115.13(1.16%)	114.55-116.04	-0.3(-0.7)	-0.2	-0.4%	-0.1%	0%	0.06%	0.04%	0.2%	52	0.6	Correction	Range(-0.5%)	6	0	-0.7	Uptrend	115.2(0.06%)	115.25-115.18	0.64	-2.6%-9.4%
18	Sep_8_2020	115.83 (0%)	116.07 (0%)	116.02 (-0.4%)	116.27	115.3(0%)	113.81(-1.85%)	113.54-115.26	-0(-2.1)	-1.2	-0.8%	-0.2%	0%	0.02%	0.08%	0.2%	45	0.6	Breakdown	Range(-0.1%)	7	0.5	-1.2	Uptrend Consolidation	114.36(0.48%)	114.52-113.87	0.95	-4.9%-8.2%
19	Sep_4_2020	115.96 (0.2%)	116.31 (0.2%)	116.5 (-0.2%)	116.63	116.64(0%)	115.96(0.01%)	114.47-117.23	0.7(0)	-0.7	-0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.31%	0.12%	0.3%	51	0.5	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	7	-0.1	-1.1	Uptrend	116.05(0.08%)	115.98-116.09	0.98	-3.1%-10.2%
20	Sep_3_2020	115.92 (0.2%)	116.17 (0.2%)	116.73 (-0.1%)	116.74	117.24(0%)	115.95(-1.92%)	115.19-119.25	1(0)	-0.7	0.3%	0.1%	0%	-0.14%	0.14%	0.2%	49	0.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	6	-0.7	-2.4	Uptrend	116.09(0.12%)	115.97-116.14	1.27	-3.1%-10.2%

21	Sep_2_2020	115.82 (0.2%)	116.03 (0.2%)	116.8 (0.5%)	116.64	116.63(0%)	118.22(1.76%)	116.21-118.54	1.2(2.3)	1.7	0.3%	0.3%	0%	0.12%	0.12%	0.2%	61	0.7	Breakout	Range(0.6%)	5	-1.7	0.2	Breakout	118.28(0.05%)	117.79-118.49	0.88	-1.2%-12.4%
22	Sep_1_2020	115.59 (0.2%)	115.69 (0%)	116.24 (0.1%)	116.34	116.24(0%)	116.18(-0.03%)	115.47-116.22	0.8(0.6)	-0.7	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.06%	0.06%	0.1%	45	0.7	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	5	-2	0	Uptrend	116.23(0.04%)	116.08-116.28	0.99	-2.9%-10.4%
23	Aug_31_2020	115.45 (0.2%)	115.61 (0%)	116.15 (0.1%)	116.22	116.66(0%)	116.21(-0.75%)	116.19-116.94	0.8(0.6)	-2.3	0.1%	0.1%	0%	-0.02%	0.06%	0.1%	51	0.8	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.6%)	5	-1.7	0.1	N/A	116.15(-0.05%)	115.85-116.39	0.56	-2.9%-10.4%
24	Aug_28_2020	115.28 (0.2%)	115.56 (0%)	116.09 (0.5%)	116.07	116.43(0%)	117.09(0.7%)	116.04-117.16	0.9(1.4)	1.5	0.5%	0.1%	0%	0.11%	0.04%	0.2%	54	0.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.6%)	4	-1.6	0.8	Growing Uptrend	117.13(0.03%)	116.75-117.23	0.32	-2.2%-11.3%
25	Aug_27_2020	115.04 (0.2%)	115.45 (-0%)	115.53 (0.3%)	115.71	115.77(0%)	116.28(0.75%)	115.75-116.71	0.6(0.9)	0.6	0.2%	0.1%	0%	0.16%	0.02%	0.4%	57	0.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	3	-1.8	0.7	N/A	116.06(-0.19%)	115.67-116.38	0.48	-2.8%-10.5%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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