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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: IBB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(Biotech large cap etf)

IBB latest price $136.2850 (0.45%) ($133.2600 - $136.5100) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  IBB advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IBB advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IBB advance at 0.2% a week (85% probability)
  XBI(91%)    ARKG(79%)    XLV(77%)    ROBT(73%)    IWO(72%)  
Factors Impacting IBB price  IBB will decline at least -0.1% in a week (33% probabilities).
  VXX(-45%)    VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-28%)    TLT(-25%)    BJK(-24%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.4
 
Relative Volatility   1.8 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0.5
Hourly Trend   -0.32% [$135.49(-0.5), $135.93(0.45)]
Last Hour Trend   0.41% [$135.4, $134.85]


IBB Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  55%
Bullish Price Move  1.6%
Bearish Probability  45%
Bearish Price Move  -1.6%
Recommended Position Size  6%
Latest Price  $136.2850
Next Day Open Price  $137.4(0.82%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $136.71(0.31%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $135.51 - $137.22
Support Level  $132.47
5 Day Moving Average  $135.8(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $132.18(3.11%)
20 Day Moving Average  $132.47(2.88%)
To recent high  -6.5%
To recent low  7.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $160.07 (17.45%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IBB price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.59%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IBB price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201018

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-6.5%-7.4% 0.4%,0.2(0.2)1.2%,0.5(0.4)1.3%,0.5-0.30.41%-0.2%1.30.52.41.41.28%2.12.64   136.29(0.45%)133.26-136.51Uptrend 136.71(0.31%)135.51-137.2355
2Sep_17_2020-6.9%-6.9% 0%,0(0.2)0.3%,0.2(0.3)1.3%,0.60.60.12%-0.6%1.20.71.71.41.5%2.12.66   135.68(-0.38%)133.91-136.33Rebound 133.93(-1.29%)136.13-132.9954
3Sep_16_2020-6.5%-7.3% -0.3%,-0.2(0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(0.3)1.1%,0.53-0.16%-0.6%1.411.71.31.4%1.42.51   136.2(0.04%)135.88-138.05Rebound 133.97(-1.64%)136.2-13355
4Sep_15_2020-6.6%-7.2% -0.5%,-0.2(0.2)-0.8%,-0.4(0.2)1.4%,0.73.9-0.15%-0.8%1.51.61.61.31.35%0.82.96   136.14(1.07%)135.4-137Downtrend Consolidation 135.61(-0.39%)134.58-135.9554
5Sep_14_2020-7.6%-6.1% -0.9%,-0.4(0.2)-1.3%,-0.6(0.2)0.8%,0.41.2-0.04%-0.9%12.21.41.31.36%0.84.99   134.7(5.32%)130.65-135.06Downtrend Consolidation 134.11(-0.44%)133.72-134.2356
 
6Sep_11_2020-12.2%-0.7-1.2%,-0.6(0)-1.8%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.2-0.30.09%-1%-1.5-0.6-0.51.41.29%0.12.57   127.89(0.61%)126.57-129.3Downtrend 127.3(-0.46%)126.71-128.6842
7Sep_10_2020-12.8%-0.1-1.2%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.8(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.60.3-0.72%-0.9%-2-1.4-0.81.21.53%-0.73.22   127.12(-1.7%)126.79-130.78Growing Downtrend 126.64(-0.38%)126.01-128.0439
8Sep_9_2020-11.3%-1.9% -1%,-0.6(0)-1.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.3-1.20.05%-0.7%-1.5-0.5-0.91.11.63%-0.71.9   129.32(1.87%)127.99-130Downtrend 129.05(-0.21%)128.66-129.9841
9Sep_8_2020-12.9%-0-1%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.6(-0.2)-1.3%,-0.8-3.3-0.29%-0.5%-2.7-1.5-0.91.11.66%-1.23.75   126.95(-1.87%)126.22-129.18Growing Downtrend 126.73(-0.17%)126.23-128.0232
10Sep_4_2020-11.2%-1.6% -0.8%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.4-3.30.58%-0.5%-2.1-1.5-1.30.91.61%-1.14.65   129.37(-0.59%)126-130.65Oversold 130.44(0.83%)129.2-130.7534
 
11Sep_3_2020-10.7%-2.2% -0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.3-1.5-0.07%-0.4%-2-2.2-1.40.81.59%-2.44.6   130.14(-3.66%)129.5-134.94Oversold 131.17(0.79%)130.02-131.4545
12Sep_2_2020-7.3%-6.1% -0.5%,-0.4(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)0.3%,0.300.21%-0.4%0.71.5-1.40.81.3%0.22.84   135.08(1.5%)132.63-135.2Rebound 134.47(-0.45%)135-134.2552
13Sep_1_2020-8.7%-4.5% -0.6%,-0.4(0)-0.3%,-0.2(-0.2)0%,01.50.01%-0.6%-0.5-0.2-1.60.91.32%03.21   133.08(-1.98%)132.65-135.62Growing Downtrend 133.01(-0.05%)132.9-133.2649
14Aug_31_2020-6.8%-6.7% -0.6%,-0.4(0.2)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)0.7%,0.50.90.09%-0.6%0.82.5-0.81.11.16%0.12.93   135.77(2.16%)133.1-136.04Rebound 134.89(-0.65%)135.67-134.5462
15Aug_28_2020-8.8%-4.4% -0.9%,-0.6(0.1)-0.4%,-0.3(0.2)0.1%,000.11%-0.7%-0.71-1.611.35%0.82.43   132.9(0.13%)131.95-133.1Rebound 133.64(0.56%)132.6-134.0945
 
16Aug_27_2020-8.9%-4.3% -1%,-0.6(0)-0.7%,-0.4(0.1)-0.1%,-0.10.60.24%-0.8%-0.80.8-1.51.11.38%0.72.26   132.73(-0.04%)131.69-133.55Downtrend 132.54(-0.14%)132.33-133.0340
17Aug_26_2020-8.9%-4.3% -1%,-0.7(0.1)-0.8%,-0.5(0.1)-0.1%,-0.10.6-0.03%-0.8%-0.90.3-1.61.11.2%1.32.22   132.78(-0.23%)132.19-133.39Rebound 133.62(0.63%)132.27-134.239
18Aug_25_2020-8.7%-4.5% -1.2%,-0.7(0)-1%,-0.6(0.1)-0.3%,-0.2-0.60.11%-0.9%-0.8-0.1-1.41.11.23%1.63.13   133.08(1.61%)130.55-133.39Rebound 133.77(0.52%)132.45-134.3338
19Aug_24_2020-10.1%-2.9% -1.2%,-0.7(-0)-1.2%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.4-1.2-0.05%-1.1%-1.7-1.6-1.91.21.28%1.73.46   130.98(-1.18%)130.19-133.38Downtrend 130.57(-0.31%)130.08-131.7131
20Aug_21_2020-9%-4.1% -1.2%,-0.8(0.1)-1.1%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1-1.20.19%-1.2%-1.4-0.8-1.51.11.17%1.72.04   132.55(-0.6%)131.62-133.21Growing Downtrend 132.3(-0.19%)131.93-133.1231
 
21Aug_20_2020-8.5%-4.8% -1.5%,-0.9(0)-0.9%,-0.6(-0)-0.1%,-0.1-1.20.12%-1.1%-1.1-1.3-1.31.11.14%1.53.07   133.35(-0.3%)132.36-133.59Downtrend 133.06(-0.22%)132.72-133.8249
22Aug_19_2020-8.2%-5.1% -1.5%,-0.8(0)-0.9%,-0.5(-0)0%,00-0.19%-1.1%-0.9-0.5-1.21.21.33%1.62.57   133.75(-1.13%)133.36-135.2Downtrend 133.38(-0.28%)133.04-134.1743
23Aug_18_2020-7.2%-6.3% -1.5%,-0.8(0)-0.9%,-0.4(0.2)0.5%,0.30.9-0.01%-1.1%-0.40.7-1.11.31.13%1.62.07   135.28(-0.53%)133.99-136.51Rebound 135.82(0.4%)134.62-136.3447
24Aug_17_2020-6.7%-6.8% -1.6%,-0.7(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.5(0.1)0.2%,0.10.30.1%-1.2%-0.21.9-11.61.26%1.81.84   136(2.06%)133.53-136.25Downtrend 135.25(-0.55%)134.86-136.1645
25Aug_14_2020-8.6%-4.7% -1.4%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.4%,-0.5(-0)-0.4%,-0.20.3-0.07%-1.3%-1.1-1.2-1.51.71.29%1.83.32   133.26(-0.64%)132.8-134.28Downtrend 132.53(-0.55%)131.88-134.0434
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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