Trading Signals: HLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: HLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc)
HLT latest price $122.9800 (-3.36%) ($121.0900 - $128.2800) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $122.9800(-3.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   HLT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   HLT advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support HLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(76%)    JETS(72%)    IWM(66%)    IYT(66%)    IWN(65%)
Factors Impacting HLT price   HLT will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-38%)    UUP(-23%)    VXX(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV -0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $121.81(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.31(4.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.59(9.23%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   24.7%
Market Cap   $34.103b

Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of hospitality businesses. It operates through the following segments: Ownership and Management & Franchise. The Ownership segment includes owned, leased, and joint venture hotels. The Management & Franchise segment manages hotels and timeshare properties, and license its brands to franchisees. The company was founded by Conrad Hilton on March 18, 2010 and is headquartered in McLean, VA.

$. HLT price fluctuates within 6% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.73%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.08%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.76%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.79%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.32%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	104.04	112.59	117.31	121.81	122.69	125.07	122.98(-3.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	116	160	93	185	5.26	63%	0.31	70	2.1%	-0	1.5	70	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	103.72	111.38	115.95	120.04	120.45	123.08	127.26(4.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	154	160	141	191	4.48	70%	0.39	55.3	2.07%	2.2	2.3	82	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	103.32	110.18	114.17	116.87	117.1	120.32	121.95(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	119	200	109	147	3.7	69%	0.33	46.8	2.05%	1.3	2	80	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	102.98	109.3	113.13	115.21	114.74	117.83	119.96(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	138	180	131	157	4.37	69%	0.32	40.7	2.08%	1	2	83	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	102.65	108.5	112.23	113.64	113.12	113.89	116.91(2.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	30	87	145	3.45	67%	0.3	29.4	2.06%	1.2	1.8	81	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	102.34	108.05	111.55	112.16	111.76	111.65	114.12(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	25	-20	-2	107	2.69	66%	0.29	19.7	2.05%	1	1.4	70	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	102.04	107.69	110.81	111.2	111.31	112.36	111.43(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	70	21	126	3.55	60%	0.26	9.1	2.03%	-0.6	0.9	75	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	101.78	107.49	110.29	110.99	110.83	111.88	113.61(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	60	48	138	2.87	60%	0.41	1.9	2.05%	1.3	1.6	63	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	101.36	107.19	109.16	110.73	110.39	110.26	112.14(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-20	6	111	2.13	63%	0.29	-7	2.08%	2.1	1.3	60	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	101.07	107.13	108.12	110.64	110.78	109.79	109.5(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-60	-25	92	1.76	61%	0.27	-9.3	2.07%	-0.8	0.6	58	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	100.8	107.21	107.59	110.84	111.19	110.51	109.34(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-30	-22	87	2.75	61%	0.25	-6.2	2.07%	-1.4	0.6	50	1
12	Feb_9_2021	100.55	107.32	106.58	110.29	110.99	111.76	110.35(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	70	23	76	1.59	69%	0.25	-5.2	2.07%	-1.7	0.8	53	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	100.3	107.41	105.98	109.38	109.81	111.86	112.32(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	140	69	64	2.06	69%	0.24	-5	2.56%	1.1	1.2	55	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	100.06	107.44	105.19	107.3	107.94	110.23	111.67(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	78	170	90	40	2.28	69%	0.21	-15.6	2.56%	1.3	1	54	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	99.85	107.47	104.44	105.24	105.68	107.77	110.52(3.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	53	150	73	-6	2.06	70%	0.17	-25.3	2.56%	1.7	0.7	46	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	99.68	107.45	104.15	103.94	103.86	105.65	106.6(0.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	40	120	64	-33	2.37	70%	0.15	-30.9	2.55%	0.6	-0.2	40	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	99.53	107.52	104.19	102.34	102.88	103.59	105.79(3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	60	42	-70	2.55	70%	0.14	-40.8	2.57%	1.3	-0.4	38	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	99.39	107.62	104.35	102.11	101.95	102.08	101.92(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	0	-15	-109	2.84	68%	0.15	-42.2	2.53%	-0.1	-1.3	28	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	99.24	108.1	105	102.75	102.66	102.16	101.39(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-40	-7	-110	4.84	69%	0.12	-34.8	2.54%	-0.2	-1.6	26	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	99.12	108.57	106.04	103.47	103.34	101.82	104(5.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-64	-110	-45	-121	6.54	65%	0.14	-24.6	2.53%	0.5	-1.2	31	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	98.98	108.8	106.8	104.43	104.25	103.16	98.59(-5.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-83	-80	-70	-120	4.59	59%	0.07	-14	2.51%	-2.6	-2.7	25	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	98.91	109.31	108.23	106.25	106.1	104.86	104.67(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-90	-22	-75	2.8	60%	0.06	3.8	2.42%	-0	-1.6	45	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	98.85	109.46	109.07	106.91	106.65	105.35	105.12(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-90	-57	-69	5.31	60%	0.15	14.8	2.49%	-0.6	-1.6	47	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	98.7	109.57	109.98	107.56	107.65	107.35	104.96(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-20	-33	-46	2.8	64%	0.14	27	2.49%	-2	-1.8	38	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	98.56	109.53	110.84	108.99	108.54	107.96	108.82(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-50	-16	-16	1.8	67%		43	2.56%	1.4	-0.3	48	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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