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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020



Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $169.9600 (0.22%) ($169.8100 - $170.5100) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Relative Oversold
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  GLD declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GLD declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD decline at-1% a week (88% probability)
  SLV(87%)    SIL(85%)    GDX(83%)    GDXJ(83%)    SILJ(82%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will decline at least -0.1% in a week (42% probabilities).
  UUP(-68%)    VXX(-26%)    XLE(-24%)    JETS(-23%)    XOP(-21%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for faster decline
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.7
 
Relative Volatility   2.2 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   -1.4
Hourly Trend   -1.47% [$169.71(-1.76), $172.24(-1.16)]
Last Hour Trend   0.15% [$170.01, $169.75]


GLD Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  40%
Bullish Price Move  1%
Bearish Probability  60%
Bearish Price Move  -1%
Recommended Position Size  -20%
Latest Price  $169.9600
Next Hour Price  $170.47(0.3%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $170.62(0.39%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $167.58(-1.4%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $167.16 - $173.46
Resistance Level  $176.06
5 Day Moving Average  $172.53(-1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average  $174.34(-2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average  $176.06(-3.46%)
To recent high  -8.2%
To recent low  0.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.03%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GLD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_25_2020-8.2%-0.2-0.9%,-0.5(-0)-1.7%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.3-2.40.15%-1%-1.9-1.4-1.71.8NAN%1.33.08   169.96(0.22%)169.81-170.51Relative Oversold 170.62(0.39%)167.16-173.4619
2Nov_24_2020-8.4%-0-0.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.5-2.1-0.01%-0.9%-2.3-1.6-1.91.6NAN%1.518.91   169.59(-1.53%)168.86-169.69Growing Downtrend 168.91(-0.4%)168.03-170.8734
3Nov_23_2020-6.9%-0-0.6%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.3%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.4-0.3-0.03%-0.8%-1.9-2.2-1.51.40.78%1.315.42   172.23(-1.97%)171.78-175.24Downtrend 171.73(-0.29%)171.13-173.1537
4Nov_20_2020-5.1%-0.5-0.5%,-0.3(-0)-1.2%,-0.9(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.1-0.60.01%-0.8%-0.7-0.4-11.30.75%1.46.38   175.69(0.3%)175.58-176.38Growing Downtrend 175.2(-0.28%)174.78-175.9746
5Nov_19_2020-5.3%-0.2-0.4%,-0.3(-0)-0.8%,-0.6(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.1-1.20.04%-0.5%-1-1.6-1.41.30.77%1.76.94   175.16(-0.19%)174.17-175.22Growing Downtrend 174.91(-0.14%)174.6-175.6150
 
6Nov_18_2020-6.7%-0.4-0.4%,-0.3(-0)-0.3%,-0.3(-0.1)0.1%,0.1-0.6-0.06%-0.2%-0.9-1.7-1.31.20.69%1.97.37   175.49(-0.57%)175.35-176.86Downtrend 175.37(-0.07%)175.15-175.8952
7Nov_17_2020-6.2%-1-0.3%,-0.3(-0)-0.2%,-0.2(0.1)0.1%,0.10.3-0.03%-0.1%-0.60.6-1.61.20.7%1.88.17   176.5(-0.37%)176.09-177.44Downtrend 176.43(-0.04%)176.27-176.7852
8Nov_16_2020-5.9%-1.4% -0.3%,-0.3(0.1)-0.3%,-0.2(0.1)0.2%,0.21.2-0.05%-0.1%-0.40.8-1.81.10.8%1.98.35   177.15(-0.01%)176.87-177.91Rebound 177.56(0.23%)176.93-177.8246
9Nov_13_2020-5.9%-1.4% -0.5%,-0.4(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.50.9-0.03%-0%-0.40-1.61.10.75%1.16.46   177.16(0.68%)176.84-177.8Growing Downtrend 176.86(-0.17%)176.6-177.3348
10Nov_12_2020-6.5%-0.7-0.3%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.6-0.3-0.03%-0.1%-1-0.6-1.51.10.84%0.77.16   175.96(0.61%)175.84-176.77Growing Downtrend 175.84(-0.07%)175.63-176.3545
 
11Nov_11_2020-7.1%-0.1-0.1%,-0.1(-0.1)0%,0(-0)-0.4%,-0.4-2.40%-0.2%-1.5-1-2.21.10.85%1.39   174.9(-0.43%)174.44-175.28Oversold 175.91(0.58%)174.85-176.1842
12Nov_10_2020-7.6%-0.50.1%,0(-0.1)0.1%,0.1(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.3-4.8-0.1%-0.2%-1.4-1-2.10.90.99%0.711.36   175.66(0.33%)175.66-176.91Oversold 176.56(0.51%)175.66-176.7739
13Nov_9_2020-7.9%-0.20.2%,0.1(-0.1)0.3%,0.2(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.3-0.90.17%-0.1%-1.7-1.5-2.60.91.07%-0.429.76   175.08(-4.43%)173.64-176.45Oversold 176.11(0.59%)175.13-176.3642
14Nov_6_2020-5.5%-4.8% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)0.4%,0.4(0.4)0.8%,0.730%-0%2.31.400.90.98%1.910.37   183.19(0.14%)182.19-183.53Uptrend 183.21(0.01%)182.31-183.5863
15Nov_5_2020-5.7%-4.7% 0.1%,0.1(0.3)0%,0(0.5)0.9%,0.91.80.08%-0.2%2.52.1-0.10.81.05%0.916.19   182.93(2.3%)180.97-183.29N/A 181.98(-0.52%)180.51-183.1863
 
16Nov_4_2020-7.8%-2.3% -0.1%,-0.2(0.1)-0.5%,-0.6(0.1)0.3%,0.41.80.1%-0.3%0.31.5-0.30.60.96%0.511.08   178.82(-0.06%)177.66-179.19Downtrend 178.69(-0.07%)178.68-178.7549
17Nov_3_2020-7.7%-2.4% -0.2%,-0.3(0)-0.5%,-0.7(-0.1)-0%,-02.4-0.04%-0.2%0.41.210.61.29%-1.67.46   178.92(0.57%)178.3-179.39Downtrend 178.74(-0.1%)178.71-178.8152
18Nov_2_2020-8.2%-1.8% -0.2%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.6(0.1)-0.1%,-0.11.50.04%-0.2%-0.30.51.60.61.27%-2.56.48   177.91(0.97%)177.13-177.93Downtrend Consolidation 177.87(-0.02%)178.05-177.8251
19Oct_30_2020-9.1%-0.8-0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.7(-0)-0.3%,-0.4-1.50.01%-0.2%-1.5-11.90.61.2%-2.27.45   176.2(0.46%)175.95-177.36Downtrend 176.18(-0.01%)175.99-176.6234
20Oct_29_2020-9.5%-0.30%,0(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.7(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.5-3.30.03%-0.1%-2.3-210.61.13%-2.48.46   175.4(-0.41%)174.83-176.14Correction 174.52(-0.5%)174.36-175.2130
 
21Oct_28_2020-9.2%-0.80.2%,0.3(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.4(-0.5)-0.5%,-0.8-1.5-0.05%-0%-2.2-21.90.51.14%-2.411.73   176.13(-1.61%)175.44-176.85Correction 175.57(-0.32%)175.44-176.0747
22Oct_27_2020-7.7%-2.4% 0.4%,0.7(0)0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-0%,-00.3-0.03%0.1%0.3-0.10.90.51.03%-0.65.8   179.02(0.26%)178.51-179.43Uptrend 179.04(0.01%)178.97-179.0757
23Oct_26_2020-7.9%-2.2% 0.4%,0.7(0.1)0.1%,0.2(-0.1)0%,0-1.2-0.01%0%-0.1-0.10.50.51.09%-0.25.1   178.55(-0.05%)178.22-179.14Uptrend 178.6(0.03%)178.58-178.6156
24Oct_23_2020-7.9%-2.2% 0.3%,0.4(0.3)0.2%,0.2(-0.1)0%,0.1-1.20.01%0.2%0-0.1-0.80.61.06%0.85.91   178.64(-0.11%)177.76-179.2Uptrend Consolidation 178.66(0.01%)178.64-178.7348
25Oct_22_2020-7.8%-2.3% 0.1%,0.2(0.2)0.3%,0.3(0)-0%,-00.60.05%0.4%0.3-0.1-0.70.70.75%0.68.38   178.83(-0.98%)177.72-179.03Uptrend 178.87(0.02%)178.75-178.9151
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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