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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $169.5100 (-0.05%) ($169.2400 - $170.5200) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $3.26 (1.85% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.03% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 1.03%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.9%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.28%
Trend Strength  -1%
RSI   18
Momentum  1.8
Latest Price  $169.5100(-0.05%)
Forecasted Low Price  166.97(-1.5%)
Forecasted High Price  170.02(0.3%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-1.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  3.3% ((175.13))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.3%
Hourly Trend   -1.1% [$169.58(-1.89), $172.17(-1.23)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  3
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  GLD declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GLD declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD decline at-0.4% a week (88% probability)
  SLV(87%)    SIL(85%)    GDXJ(83%)    GDX(82%)    SILJ(80%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will advance at least 0% in a week (37% probabilities).
  UUP(-58%)    VXX(-19%)    UNG(-14%)    TBT(-11%)    XLE(-10%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.7
 
Relative Volatility   2.3 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.7% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV   -2.1 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $169.44(-0.04%)
Resistance Level  $176.04
5 Day Moving Average  $172.44(-1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average  $174.29(-2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average  $176.04(-3.71%)
To recent high  -8.4%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.03%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GLD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_25_2020176.04 (-0.2%)174.29 (-0.4%)172.44 (-0.7%) 172.17 169.58(0%)169.51(-0.05%)169.24-170.52-1.8(-2)-2.1 -0.9%-0.3%0%-0.28%-1%181.8 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.2%)3-1.71.4Downtrend 168.53(-0.58%)167.63-170.6110.24   -8.4%-0
2Nov_24_2020176.41 (-0.2%)174.89 (-0.4%)173.63 (-0.8%) 173.4 171.47(0%)169.59(-1.53%)168.86-169.69-2.1(-2.3)-1.6 -1.4%-0.4%0.3%-0.26%-0.9%341.6 Oversold  Lower(-0.7%)3-1.91.5Growing Downtrend 168.88(-0.42%)168.03-170.7218.91   -8.4%-0
3Nov_23_2020176.91 (-0.2%)175.55 (-0.2%)175.01 (-0.6%) 175.06 174.76(0%)172.23(-1.97%)171.78-175.24-1.7(-1.9)-2.6 -0.4%-0.2%0%-0.22%-0.8%371.4 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.4%)3-1.51.3Downtrend 171.7(-0.31%)171.13-173.0315.42   -6.9%-0
4Nov_20_2020177.24 (-0%)175.88 (-0.2%)176 (-0.2%) 175.87 175.33(0%)175.69(0.3%)175.58-176.38-0.4(-0.7)-0.6 -0.1%-0.3%0%-0.2%-0.8%461.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)3-11.4Growing Downtrend 175.18(-0.29%)174.78-175.866.38   -5.1%-0.5
5Nov_19_2020177.39 (-0%)176.56 (-0.2%)176.29 (-0.1%) 176.2 175.35(0%)175.16(-0.19%)174.17-175.22-0.7(-1)-1.5 -0.4%-0.3%0%-0.12%-0.5%501.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.6%)4-1.41.7Growing Downtrend 174.9(-0.15%)174.6-175.56.94   -5.3%-0.2
 
6Nov_18_2020177.58 (-0%)177.29 (-0%)176.45 (0.1%) 176.86 176.4(0%)175.49(-0.57%)175.35-176.86-0.8(-0.9)-2.5 -0.2%-0.2%0%-0.08%-0.2%521.2 N/A  Range(-0.1%)5-1.31.9Downtrend 175.35(-0.08%)175.15-175.837.37   -6.7%-0.4
7Nov_17_2020177.83 (-0%)177.64 (-0%)176.33 (0.1%) 176.9 177.05(0%)176.5(-0.37%)176.09-177.44-0.5(-0.6)1.9 %-0.1%0%-0.06%-0.1%521.2 N/A  Range(0.1%)6-1.61.8Downtrend 176.41(-0.05%)176.27-176.738.17   -6.2%-1
8Nov_16_2020177.97 (-0%)177.88 (-0%)176.17 (0.2%) 176.41 177.32(0%)177.15(-0.01%)176.87-177.91-0.4(-0.4)1.5 0.2%-0%0%-0.06%-0%461.1 N/A  Range(0.2%)6-1.81.9Rebound 177.56(0.23%)176.93-177.828.35   -5.9%-1.4% 
9Nov_13_2020178.04 (-0%)177.97 (-0%)175.75 (-0.7%) 176.15 176.76(0%)177.16(0.68%)176.84-177.8-0.4(-0.4)-0.1 0.3%0%0%-0.1%-0%481.1 Confirmed Rebound  Range(0.3%)6-1.61.1Growing Downtrend 176.86(-0.17%)176.6-177.336.46   -5.9%-1.4% 
10Nov_12_2020178.1 (-0%)177.9 (-0%)176.96 (-0.8%) 175.65 175.49(0%)175.96(0.61%)175.84-176.77-1(-1)-2.8 -0.5%-0%0%-0.06%-0.1%451.1 N/A  Range(-0.5%)5-1.50.7Growing Downtrend 175.84(-0.07%)175.63-176.357.16   -6.5%-0.7
 
11Nov_11_2020178.25 (-0%)177.89 (0%)178.35 (-0.4%) 177.38 175.53(0%)174.9(-0.43%)174.44-175.28-1.5(-1.5)-4.1 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0%-0.2%421.1 N/A  Range(-0.4%)5-2.21.3Oversold 175.91(0.58%)174.85-176.189   -7.1%-0.1
12Nov_10_2020178.44 (0%)178.07 (0%)179.14 (-0.4%) 179.18 175.81(0%)175.66(0.33%)175.66-176.91-1.2(-1.4)-0.8 -1.1%-0.2%0%0.02%-0.2%390.9 N/A  Lower(-1.3%)5-2.10.7Oversold 176.38(0.41%)175.66-176.5711.36   -7.6%-0.5
13Nov_9_2020178.56 (0%)178.43 (0%)179.79 (-0.3%) 179.79 179.23(0%)175.08(-4.43%)173.64-176.45-1.6(-1.7)-1.1 -1.1%-0.2%0%0.04%-0.1%420.9 N/A  Higher(0.9%)6-2.6-0.4After Top 176.2(0.64%)175.23-17729.76   -7.9%-0.2
14Nov_6_2020178.85 (0%)178.81 (0%)180.35 (0.8%) 180.67 182.56(0%)183.19(0.14%)182.19-183.532.1(2.3)1.6 1%0.2%-0.2%0.08%-0%630.9 Overbought  Higher(1%)601.9Uptrend 183.23(0.02%)182.41-183.5810.37   -5.5%-4.8% 
15Nov_5_2020178.71 (0%)178.3 (0%)178.96 (0.9%) 179.3 180.35(0%)182.93(2.3%)180.97-183.292.3(2.5)2.4 0.8%0.2%-0.5%0.02%-0.2%630.8 Overbought  Lower(-0.7%)5-0.10.9N/A 182.03(-0.49%)180.64-183.1816.19   -5.7%-4.7% 
 
16Nov_4_2020178.43 (-0%)177.83 (-0%)177.45 (0.3%) 177.95 178.77(0%)178.82(-0.06%)177.66-179.190.3(0.3)3.1 0.3%-0%0%-0.08%-0.3%490.6 N/A  Range(0.3%)5-0.30.5Downtrend 178.69(-0.07%)178.68-178.7511.08   -7.8%-2.3% 
17Nov_3_2020178.36 (-0%)177.97 (-0.2%)176.91 (-0%) 177.13 178.24(0%)178.92(0.57%)178.3-179.390.4(0.4)1.6 0.4%0%0%-0.08%-0.2%520.6 Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.4%)51-1.6Downtrend 178.74(-0.1%)178.71-178.817.46   -7.7%-2.4% 
18Nov_2_2020178.28 (-0%)177.98 (-0%)176.93 (-0.1%) 176.46 177.13(0%)177.91(0.97%)177.13-177.93-0.3(-0.3)0.8 0.2%-0%0%-0.08%-0.2%510.6 Correction  Range(0.2%)51.6-2.5After Bottom 177.93(0.01%)177.7-178.126.48   -8.2%-1.8% 
19Oct_30_2020178.35 (-0%)178.03 (-0.2%)177.06 (-0.3%) 176.79 176.02(0%)176.2(0.46%)175.95-177.36-1.4(-1.5)-2.9 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.08%-0.2%340.6 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)51.9-2.2Downtrend 176.16(-0.02%)175.99-176.587.45   -9.1%-0.8
20Oct_29_2020178.48 (0%)178.26 (-0.2%)177.55 (-0.4%) 177.29 175.79(0%)175.4(-0.41%)174.83-176.14-2.1(-2.3)-1.8 -0.7%-0.2%0.2%-0.08%-0.1%300.6 Oversold  Range(-0.5%)61-2.4Correction 174.52(-0.5%)174.36-175.218.46   -9.5%-0.3
 
21Oct_28_2020178.66 (0%)178.64 (-0%)178.23 (-0.5%) 178.12 177.57(0%)176.13(-1.61%)175.44-176.85-2(-2.2)-2.1 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.02%-0%470.5 Oversold  Range(0.2%)61.9-2.4Correction 175.57(-0.32%)175.44-176.0711.73   -9.2%-0.8
22Oct_27_2020178.73 (0%)178.89 (0%)179.13 (-0%) 178.72 178.79(0%)179.02(0.26%)178.51-179.430.1(0.3)-0.4 %0.1%0%0.04%0.1%570.5 Correction  Range(0.1%)60.9-0.6Uptrend 179.06(0.02%)178.99-179.075.8   -7.7%-2.4% 
23Oct_26_2020178.69 (0%)178.77 (0%)179.17 (0%) 179.15 178.67(0%)178.55(-0.05%)178.22-179.140(-0.1)-0.4 %-0.1%0%0.04%0%560.5 N/A  Range(-0.1%)60.5-0.2Uptrend 178.59(0.02%)178.55-178.615.1   -7.9%-2.2% 
24Oct_23_2020178.61 (0%)178.95 (0%)179.14 (0%) 179.21 178.65(0%)178.64(-0.11%)177.76-179.20.2(0)-0.1 -0.3%-0.1%0%0.04%0.2%480.6 N/A  Range(-0.3%)7-0.80.8Uptrend 178.71(0.04%)178.57-178.785.91   -7.9%-2.2% 
25Oct_22_2020178.44 (0%)179.18 (0%)179.07 (-0%) 179.26 179.63(0%)178.83(-0.98%)177.72-179.030.1(0.3)-0.1 %0.1%0%0.04%0.4%510.7 Correction  Range(0.6%)8-0.70.6Uptrend 178.87(0.02%)178.79-178.918.38   -7.8%-2.3% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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