Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $176.5000 (-0.37%) ($176.0900 - $177.4400) on Tue. Nov. 17, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   N/A
Trend Narrative   Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing   $2.27 (1.28% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.1% (StdDev 1.07%)
Daily Moving Force   %
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.06%
Latest Price   $176.5000(-0.37%)
Forecasted Low Price   175.88(-0.35%)
Forecasted High Price   177.21(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.4%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   0.5% ((177.42))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.1%
Hourly Trend -0.2% [$177.05(-0.27), $176.9(0.49)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   6
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at -0% a week (87% probability)
SLV(87%)    SIL(83%)    GDX(82%)    GDXJ(82%)    SILJ(79%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will advance at least 0.3% in a week (39% probabilities).
UUP(-62%)    VXX(-19%)    UNG(-14%)    TBT(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)
Trading Plan   Buy the rebound

Valuation to SPY -1.6

Relative Volatility 1.5 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.2% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 1.9 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Next Day Open Price   $176.39(-0.06%)
Resistance Level   $177.83
5 Day Moving Average   $176.33(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $177.64(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177.83(-0.75%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.07% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GLD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201217

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Nov_17_2020	177.83 (-0.3%)	177.64 (-0.2%)	176.33 (0.1%)	176.9	177.05(0%)	176.5(-0.37%)	176.09-177.44	-0.5(-0.6)	1.9	%	-0.1%	0%	-0.06%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	6	52	1.2	-1.6	1.8	Downtrend	176.41(-0.05%)	176.27-176.73	8.17	-6.2%-1%
2	Nov_16_2020	177.97 (-0.3%)	177.88 (-0.2%)	176.17 (0.2%)	176.41	177.32(0%)	177.15(-0.01%)	176.87-177.91	-0.4(-0.4)	1.5	0.2%	-0%	0%	-0.06%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	6	46	1.1	-1.8	1.9	Rebound	177.56(0.23%)	176.93-177.82	8.35	-5.9%-1.4%
3	Nov_13_2020	178.04 (-0.4%)	177.97 (-0.4%)	175.75 (-0.7%)	176.15	176.76(0%)	177.16(0.68%)	176.84-177.8	-0.4(-0.4)	-0.1	0.3%	0%	0%	-0.1%	Confirmed Rebound	Range(0.3%)	6	48	1.1	-1.6	1.1	Growing Downtrend	176.86(-0.17%)	176.6-177.33	6.46	-5.9%-1.4%
4	Nov_12_2020	178.1 (-0.3%)	177.9 (-0.2%)	176.96 (-0.8%)	175.65	175.49(0%)	175.96(0.61%)	175.84-176.77	-1(-1)	-2.8	-0.5%	-0%	0%	-0.06%	N/A	Range(-0.5%)	5	45	1.1	-1.5	0.7	Growing Downtrend	175.84(-0.07%)	175.63-176.35	7.16	-6.5%-0.7%
5	Nov_11_2020	178.25 (-0.1%)	177.89 (0%)	178.35 (-0.4%)	177.38	175.53(0%)	174.9(-0.43%)	174.44-175.28	-1.5(-1.5)	-4.1	-0.5%	-0.1%	0%	-0%	N/A	Range(-0.4%)	5	42	1.1	-2.2	1.3	Oversold	175.91(0.58%)	174.85-176.18	9	-7.1%-0.1%

6	Nov_10_2020	178.44 (0%)	178.07 (0.1%)	179.14 (-0.4%)	179.18	175.81(0%)	175.66(0.33%)	175.66-176.91	-1.2(-1.4)	-0.8	-1.1%	-0.2%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Lower(-1.3%)	5	39	0.9	-2.1	0.7	Oversold	176.38(0.41%)	175.66-176.57	11.36	-7.6%-0.5%
7	Nov_9_2020	178.56 (0.1%)	178.43 (0.2%)	179.79 (-0.3%)	179.79	179.23(0%)	175.08(-4.43%)	173.64-176.45	-1.6(-1.7)	-1.1	-1.1%	-0.2%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Higher(0.9%)	6	42	0.9	-2.6	-0.4	After Top	176.2(0.64%)	175.23-177	29.76	-7.9%-0.2%
8	Nov_6_2020	178.85 (0.3%)	178.81 (0.4%)	180.35 (0.8%)	180.67	182.56(0%)	183.19(0.14%)	182.19-183.53	2.1(2.3)	1.6	1%	0.2%	-0.2%	0.08%	Overbought	Higher(1%)	6	63	0.9	0	1.9	Uptrend	183.23(0.02%)	182.41-183.58	10.37	-5.5%-4.8%
9	Nov_5_2020	178.71 (0.1%)	178.3 (0%)	178.96 (0.9%)	179.3	180.35(0%)	182.93(2.3%)	180.97-183.29	2.3(2.5)	2.4	0.8%	0.2%	-0.5%	0.02%	Overbought	Lower(-0.7%)	5	63	0.8	-0.1	0.9	N/A	182.03(-0.49%)	180.64-183.18	16.19	-5.7%-4.7%
10	Nov_4_2020	178.43 (-0.2%)	177.83 (-0.6%)	177.45 (0.3%)	177.95	178.77(0%)	178.82(-0.06%)	177.66-179.19	0.3(0.3)	3.1	0.3%	-0%	0%	-0.08%	N/A	Range(0.3%)	5	49	0.6	-0.3	0.5	Downtrend	178.69(-0.07%)	178.68-178.75	11.08	-7.8%-2.3%

11	Nov_3_2020	178.36 (-0.3%)	177.97 (-0.7%)	176.91 (-0%)	177.13	178.24(0%)	178.92(0.57%)	178.3-179.39	0.4(0.4)	1.6	0.4%	0%	0%	-0.08%	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.4%)	5	52	0.6	1	-1.6	Downtrend	178.74(-0.1%)	178.71-178.81	7.46	-7.7%-2.4%
12	Nov_2_2020	178.28 (-0.3%)	177.98 (-0.6%)	176.93 (-0.1%)	176.46	177.13(0%)	177.91(0.97%)	177.13-177.93	-0.3(-0.3)	0.8	0.2%	-0%	0%	-0.08%	Correction	Range(0.2%)	5	51	0.6	1.6	-2.5	After Bottom	177.93(0.01%)	177.7-178.12	6.48	-8.2%-1.8%
13	Oct_30_2020	178.35 (-0.2%)	178.03 (-0.7%)	177.06 (-0.3%)	176.79	176.02(0%)	176.2(0.46%)	175.95-177.36	-1.4(-1.5)	-2.9	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.08%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.2%)	5	34	0.6	1.9	-2.2	Downtrend	176.16(-0.02%)	175.99-176.58	7.45	-9.1%-0.8%
14	Oct_29_2020	178.48 (0%)	178.26 (-0.7%)	177.55 (-0.4%)	177.29	175.79(0%)	175.4(-0.41%)	174.83-176.14	-2.1(-2.3)	-1.8	-0.7%	-0.2%	0.2%	-0.08%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.5%)	6	30	0.6	1	-2.4	Correction	174.52(-0.5%)	174.36-175.21	8.46	-9.5%-0.3%
15	Oct_28_2020	178.66 (0.3%)	178.64 (-0.4%)	178.23 (-0.5%)	178.12	177.57(0%)	176.13(-1.61%)	175.44-176.85	-2(-2.2)	-2.1	-0.5%	-0.1%	0%	-0.02%	Oversold	Range(0.2%)	6	47	0.5	1.9	-2.4	Correction	175.57(-0.32%)	175.44-176.07	11.73	-9.2%-0.8%

16	Oct_27_2020	178.73 (0.7%)	178.89 (0.1%)	179.13 (-0%)	178.72	178.79(0%)	179.02(0.26%)	178.51-179.43	0.1(0.3)	-0.4	%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	Correction	Range(0.1%)	6	57	0.5	0.9	-0.6	Uptrend	179.06(0.02%)	178.99-179.07	5.8	-7.7%-2.4%
17	Oct_26_2020	178.69 (0.7%)	178.77 (0.2%)	179.17 (0%)	179.15	178.67(0%)	178.55(-0.05%)	178.22-179.14	0(-0.1)	-0.4	%	-0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	6	56	0.5	0.5	-0.2	Uptrend	178.59(0.02%)	178.55-178.61	5.1	-7.9%-2.2%
18	Oct_23_2020	178.61 (0.4%)	178.95 (0.2%)	179.14 (0%)	179.21	178.65(0%)	178.64(-0.11%)	177.76-179.2	0.2(0)	-0.1	-0.3%	-0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(-0.3%)	7	48	0.6	-0.8	0.8	Uptrend	178.71(0.04%)	178.57-178.78	5.91	-7.9%-2.2%
19	Oct_22_2020	178.44 (0.2%)	179.18 (0.3%)	179.07 (-0%)	179.26	179.63(0%)	178.83(-0.98%)	177.72-179.03	0.1(0.3)	-0.1	%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	Correction	Range(0.6%)	8	51	0.7	-0.7	0.6	Uptrend	178.87(0.02%)	178.79-178.91	8.38	-7.8%-2.3%
20	Oct_21_2020	178.29 (-0.1%)	179.1 (0.3%)	179.09 (0.3%)	179.3	179.77(0%)	180.6(0.75%)	180.23-181.31	1.2(1.4)	2.2	0.4%	0.2%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0.6%)	7	56	0.7	0	0.1	Uptrend Reversal	181.14(0.3%)	180.68-181.44	7.53	-6.9%-4.4%

21	Oct_20_2020	178 (-0.4%)	178.76 (0.1%)	178.63 (0.2%)	178.72	178.9(0%)	179.25(0.48%)	178.08-179.67	0.7(0.8)	0.9	0.1%	0.1%	0%	-0%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	6	58	0.7	-0.4	0.2	Rebound	178.69(-0.31%)	179.25-178.46	7.12	-7.6%-4.9%
22	Oct_19_2020	177.96 (-0.6%)	178.57 (-0%)	178.32 (-0.2%)	178.7	178.83(0%)	178.39(0.05%)	178.37-179.48	0.3(0.3)	-2.7	0.1%	-0%	0%	-0.04%	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	6	51	0.7	-0.5	1.2	N/A	178.1(-0.16%)	178.03-178.15	6.09	-8%-4.4%
23	Oct_16_2020	178.01 (-0.5%)	178.67 (0.2%)	178.75 (-0.3%)	178.47	178.54(0%)	178.3(-0.35%)	178.13-179.32	0.2(0.2)	-3.5	-0.1%	-0%	0%	-0%	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.1%)	6	56	0.9	-1.3	0.9	N/A	178.09(-0.12%)	178.01-178.16	7.25	-8%-5.7%
24	Oct_15_2020	178.22 (-0.4%)	178.7 (0.5%)	179.31 (0.1%)	178.92	178.57(0%)	178.92(0.36%)	177.59-179.15	0.3(0.3)	0	%	-0%	0%	0.06%	N/A	Range(0%)	6	63	1	-1.3	0.7	N/A	178.87(-0.03%)	178.59-179.08	7.12	-7.7%-6%
25	Oct_14_2020	178.39 (-0.4%)	178.67 (0.5%)	179.1 (0.1%)	179.48	178.4(0%)	178.27(0.31%)	178.27-179.59	-0(-0)	-0.6	-0.2%	-0%	0%	0.06%	N/A	Range(-0.2%)	7	60	1.1	-1.6	0.9	N/A	178.47(0.11%)	178.27-178.64	10.57	-8.1%-5.7%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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