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     Tue. Nov. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $176.5000 (-0.37%) ($176.0900 - $177.4400) on Tue. Nov. 17, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.27 (1.28% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.07% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.1% (StdDev 1.07%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.06%
Latest Price  $176.5000(-0.37%)
Forecasted Low Price  175.88(-0.35%)
Forecasted High Price  177.21(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.4%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  0.5% ((177.42))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.1%
Hourly Trend   -0.2% [$177.05(-0.27), $176.9(0.49)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  6
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GLD declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD advance at -0% a week (87% probability)
  SLV(87%)    SIL(83%)    GDX(82%)    GDXJ(82%)    SILJ(79%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will advance at least 0.3% in a week (39% probabilities).
  UUP(-62%)    VXX(-19%)    UNG(-14%)    TBT(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.6
 
Relative Volatility   1.5 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV   1.9 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.4%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $176.39(-0.06%)
Resistance Level  $177.83
5 Day Moving Average  $176.33(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $177.64(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average  $177.83(-0.75%)
To recent high  -6.2%
To recent low  1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.07%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GLD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201217

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_17_2020177.83 (-0.3%)177.64 (-0.2%)176.33 (0.1%) 176.9 177.05(0%)176.5(-0.37%)176.09-177.44-0.5(-0.6)1.9 %-0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0.1%)6521.2-1.61.8Downtrend 176.41(-0.05%)176.27-176.738.17   -6.2%-1
2Nov_16_2020177.97 (-0.3%)177.88 (-0.2%)176.17 (0.2%) 176.41 177.32(0%)177.15(-0.01%)176.87-177.91-0.4(-0.4)1.5 0.2%-0%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(0.2%)6461.1-1.81.9Rebound 177.56(0.23%)176.93-177.828.35   -5.9%-1.4% 
3Nov_13_2020178.04 (-0.4%)177.97 (-0.4%)175.75 (-0.7%) 176.15 176.76(0%)177.16(0.68%)176.84-177.8-0.4(-0.4)-0.1 0.3%0%0%-0.1% Confirmed Rebound  Range(0.3%)6481.1-1.61.1Growing Downtrend 176.86(-0.17%)176.6-177.336.46   -5.9%-1.4% 
4Nov_12_2020178.1 (-0.3%)177.9 (-0.2%)176.96 (-0.8%) 175.65 175.49(0%)175.96(0.61%)175.84-176.77-1(-1)-2.8 -0.5%-0%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.5%)5451.1-1.50.7Growing Downtrend 175.84(-0.07%)175.63-176.357.16   -6.5%-0.7
5Nov_11_2020178.25 (-0.1%)177.89 (0%)178.35 (-0.4%) 177.38 175.53(0%)174.9(-0.43%)174.44-175.28-1.5(-1.5)-4.1 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0% N/A  Range(-0.4%)5421.1-2.21.3Oversold 175.91(0.58%)174.85-176.189   -7.1%-0.1
 
6Nov_10_2020178.44 (0%)178.07 (0.1%)179.14 (-0.4%) 179.18 175.81(0%)175.66(0.33%)175.66-176.91-1.2(-1.4)-0.8 -1.1%-0.2%0%0.02% N/A  Lower(-1.3%)5390.9-2.10.7Oversold 176.38(0.41%)175.66-176.5711.36   -7.6%-0.5
7Nov_9_2020178.56 (0.1%)178.43 (0.2%)179.79 (-0.3%) 179.79 179.23(0%)175.08(-4.43%)173.64-176.45-1.6(-1.7)-1.1 -1.1%-0.2%0%0.04% N/A  Higher(0.9%)6420.9-2.6-0.4After Top 176.2(0.64%)175.23-17729.76   -7.9%-0.2
8Nov_6_2020178.85 (0.3%)178.81 (0.4%)180.35 (0.8%) 180.67 182.56(0%)183.19(0.14%)182.19-183.532.1(2.3)1.6 1%0.2%-0.2%0.08% Overbought  Higher(1%)6630.901.9Uptrend 183.23(0.02%)182.41-183.5810.37   -5.5%-4.8% 
9Nov_5_2020178.71 (0.1%)178.3 (0%)178.96 (0.9%) 179.3 180.35(0%)182.93(2.3%)180.97-183.292.3(2.5)2.4 0.8%0.2%-0.5%0.02% Overbought  Lower(-0.7%)5630.8-0.10.9N/A 182.03(-0.49%)180.64-183.1816.19   -5.7%-4.7% 
10Nov_4_2020178.43 (-0.2%)177.83 (-0.6%)177.45 (0.3%) 177.95 178.77(0%)178.82(-0.06%)177.66-179.190.3(0.3)3.1 0.3%-0%0%-0.08% N/A  Range(0.3%)5490.6-0.30.5Downtrend 178.69(-0.07%)178.68-178.7511.08   -7.8%-2.3% 
 
11Nov_3_2020178.36 (-0.3%)177.97 (-0.7%)176.91 (-0%) 177.13 178.24(0%)178.92(0.57%)178.3-179.390.4(0.4)1.6 0.4%0%0%-0.08% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.4%)5520.61-1.6Downtrend 178.74(-0.1%)178.71-178.817.46   -7.7%-2.4% 
12Nov_2_2020178.28 (-0.3%)177.98 (-0.6%)176.93 (-0.1%) 176.46 177.13(0%)177.91(0.97%)177.13-177.93-0.3(-0.3)0.8 0.2%-0%0%-0.08% Correction  Range(0.2%)5510.61.6-2.5After Bottom 177.93(0.01%)177.7-178.126.48   -8.2%-1.8% 
13Oct_30_2020178.35 (-0.2%)178.03 (-0.7%)177.06 (-0.3%) 176.79 176.02(0%)176.2(0.46%)175.95-177.36-1.4(-1.5)-2.9 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.08% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)5340.61.9-2.2Downtrend 176.16(-0.02%)175.99-176.587.45   -9.1%-0.8
14Oct_29_2020178.48 (0%)178.26 (-0.7%)177.55 (-0.4%) 177.29 175.79(0%)175.4(-0.41%)174.83-176.14-2.1(-2.3)-1.8 -0.7%-0.2%0.2%-0.08% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)6300.61-2.4Correction 174.52(-0.5%)174.36-175.218.46   -9.5%-0.3
15Oct_28_2020178.66 (0.3%)178.64 (-0.4%)178.23 (-0.5%) 178.12 177.57(0%)176.13(-1.61%)175.44-176.85-2(-2.2)-2.1 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.02% Oversold  Range(0.2%)6470.51.9-2.4Correction 175.57(-0.32%)175.44-176.0711.73   -9.2%-0.8
 
16Oct_27_2020178.73 (0.7%)178.89 (0.1%)179.13 (-0%) 178.72 178.79(0%)179.02(0.26%)178.51-179.430.1(0.3)-0.4 %0.1%0%0.04% Correction  Range(0.1%)6570.50.9-0.6Uptrend 179.06(0.02%)178.99-179.075.8   -7.7%-2.4% 
17Oct_26_2020178.69 (0.7%)178.77 (0.2%)179.17 (0%) 179.15 178.67(0%)178.55(-0.05%)178.22-179.140(-0.1)-0.4 %-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(-0.1%)6560.50.5-0.2Uptrend 178.59(0.02%)178.55-178.615.1   -7.9%-2.2% 
18Oct_23_2020178.61 (0.4%)178.95 (0.2%)179.14 (0%) 179.21 178.65(0%)178.64(-0.11%)177.76-179.20.2(0)-0.1 -0.3%-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(-0.3%)7480.6-0.80.8Uptrend 178.71(0.04%)178.57-178.785.91   -7.9%-2.2% 
19Oct_22_2020178.44 (0.2%)179.18 (0.3%)179.07 (-0%) 179.26 179.63(0%)178.83(-0.98%)177.72-179.030.1(0.3)-0.1 %0.1%0%0.04% Correction  Range(0.6%)8510.7-0.70.6Uptrend 178.87(0.02%)178.79-178.918.38   -7.8%-2.3% 
20Oct_21_2020178.29 (-0.1%)179.1 (0.3%)179.09 (0.3%) 179.3 179.77(0%)180.6(0.75%)180.23-181.311.2(1.4)2.2 0.4%0.2%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.6%)7560.700.1Uptrend Reversal 181.14(0.3%)180.68-181.447.53   -6.9%-4.4% 
 
21Oct_20_2020178 (-0.4%)178.76 (0.1%)178.63 (0.2%) 178.72 178.9(0%)179.25(0.48%)178.08-179.670.7(0.8)0.9 0.1%0.1%0%-0% N/A  Range(0.2%)6580.7-0.40.2Rebound 178.69(-0.31%)179.25-178.467.12   -7.6%-4.9% 
22Oct_19_2020177.96 (-0.6%)178.57 (-0%)178.32 (-0.2%) 178.7 178.83(0%)178.39(0.05%)178.37-179.480.3(0.3)-2.7 0.1%-0%0%-0.04% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)6510.7-0.51.2N/A 178.1(-0.16%)178.03-178.156.09   -8%-4.4% 
23Oct_16_2020178.01 (-0.5%)178.67 (0.2%)178.75 (-0.3%) 178.47 178.54(0%)178.3(-0.35%)178.13-179.320.2(0.2)-3.5 -0.1%-0%0%-0% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)6560.9-1.30.9N/A 178.09(-0.12%)178.01-178.167.25   -8%-5.7% 
24Oct_15_2020178.22 (-0.4%)178.7 (0.5%)179.31 (0.1%) 178.92 178.57(0%)178.92(0.36%)177.59-179.150.3(0.3)0 %-0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0%)6631-1.30.7N/A 178.87(-0.03%)178.59-179.087.12   -7.7%-6% 
25Oct_14_2020178.39 (-0.4%)178.67 (0.5%)179.1 (0.1%) 179.48 178.4(0%)178.27(0.31%)178.27-179.59-0(-0)-0.6 -0.2%-0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(-0.2%)7601.1-1.60.9N/A 178.47(0.11%)178.27-178.6410.57   -8.1%-5.7% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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