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     Thu. Nov. 5, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $182.9300 (2.3%) ($180.9700 - $183.2850) on Thu. Nov. 5, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Overbought
Trend Narrative  N/A
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.66 (0.93% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.23% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 1.23%)
Daily Moving Force  0.8%
Correction Force  Weak (-0.5%)
Trend   0.02%
Latest Price  $182.9300(2.3%)
Forecasted Low Price  181.1(-1%)
Forecasted High Price  183.66(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  4.3% (175.36)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.2%
Hourly Trend   0.9% [$180.35(1.58), $179.3(1.35)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  5
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  GLD advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD advance at 0.8% a week (88% probability)
  SLV(88%)    SIL(85%)    GDX(83%)    GDXJ(83%)    SILJ(81%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will advance at least 0.7% in a week (36% probabilities).
  UUP(-57%)    VXX(-22%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    XLF(-13%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.1
 
Relative Volatility   -0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  1.7% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV   2.4 ()
Intraday Trend   1.1%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $183.22(0.16%)
Support Level  $178.71
5 Day Moving Average  $178.96(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average  $178.3(2.6%)
20 Day Moving Average  $178.71(2.36%)
To recent high  -5.7%
To recent low  4.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 1.23%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GLD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201205

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_5_2020178.71 (0.1%)178.3 (0%)178.96 (0.9%) 179.3 180.35(0%)182.93(2.3%)180.97-183.292.3(2.5)2.4 0.8%0.2%-0.5%0.02% Overbought  Lower(-0.7%)5630.8-0.10.9N/A 182.03(-0.49%)180.64-183.1816.19   -5.7%-4.7% 
2Nov_4_2020178.43 (-0.2%)177.83 (-0.6%)177.45 (0.3%) 177.95 178.77(0%)178.82(-0.06%)177.66-179.190.3(0.3)3.1 0.3%-0%0%-0.08% N/A  Range(0.3%)5490.6-0.30.5Downtrend 178.69(-0.07%)178.68-178.7511.08   -7.8%-2.3% 
3Nov_3_2020178.36 (-0.3%)177.97 (-0.7%)176.91 (-0%) 177.13 178.24(0%)178.92(0.57%)178.3-179.390.4(0.4)1.6 0.4%0%0%-0.08% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.4%)5520.61-1.6Downtrend 178.74(-0.1%)178.71-178.817.46   -7.7%-2.4% 
4Nov_2_2020178.28 (-0.3%)177.98 (-0.6%)176.93 (-0.1%) 176.46 177.13(0%)177.91(0.97%)177.13-177.93-0.3(-0.3)0.8 0.2%-0%0%-0.08% Correction  Range(0.2%)5510.61.6-2.5After Bottom 177.93(0.01%)177.7-178.126.48   -8.2%-1.8% 
5Oct_30_2020178.35 (-0.2%)178.03 (-0.7%)177.06 (-0.3%) 176.79 176.02(0%)176.2(0.46%)175.95-177.36-1.4(-1.5)-2.9 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.08% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)5340.61.9-2.2Downtrend 176.16(-0.02%)175.99-176.587.45   -9.1%-0.8
 
6Oct_29_2020178.48 (0%)178.26 (-0.7%)177.55 (-0.4%) 177.29 175.79(0%)175.4(-0.41%)174.83-176.14-2.1(-2.3)-1.8 -0.7%-0.2%0.2%-0.08% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)6300.61-2.4Correction 174.52(-0.5%)174.36-175.218.46   -9.5%-0.3
7Oct_28_2020178.66 (0.3%)178.64 (-0.4%)178.23 (-0.5%) 178.12 177.57(0%)176.13(-1.61%)175.44-176.85-2(-2.2)-2.1 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.02% Oversold  Range(0.2%)6470.51.9-2.4Correction 175.57(-0.32%)175.44-176.0711.73   -9.2%-0.8
8Oct_27_2020178.73 (0.7%)178.89 (0.1%)179.13 (-0%) 178.72 178.79(0%)179.02(0.26%)178.51-179.430.1(0.3)-0.4 %0.1%0%0.04% Correction  Range(0.1%)6570.50.9-0.6Uptrend 179.06(0.02%)178.99-179.075.8   -7.7%-2.4% 
9Oct_26_2020178.69 (0.7%)178.77 (0.2%)179.17 (0%) 179.15 178.67(0%)178.55(-0.05%)178.22-179.140(-0.1)-0.4 %-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(-0.1%)6560.50.5-0.2Uptrend 178.59(0.02%)178.55-178.615.1   -7.9%-2.2% 
10Oct_23_2020178.61 (0.4%)178.95 (0.2%)179.14 (0%) 179.21 178.65(0%)178.64(-0.11%)177.76-179.20.2(0)-0.1 -0.3%-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(-0.3%)7480.6-0.80.8Uptrend 178.71(0.04%)178.57-178.785.91   -7.9%-2.2% 
 
11Oct_22_2020178.44 (0.2%)179.18 (0.3%)179.07 (-0%) 179.26 179.63(0%)178.83(-0.98%)177.72-179.030.1(0.3)-0.1 %0.1%0%0.04% Correction  Range(0.6%)8510.7-0.70.6Uptrend 178.87(0.02%)178.79-178.918.38   -7.8%-2.3% 
12Oct_21_2020178.29 (-0.1%)179.1 (0.3%)179.09 (0.3%) 179.3 179.77(0%)180.6(0.75%)180.23-181.311.2(1.4)2.2 0.4%0.2%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.6%)7560.700.1Uptrend Reversal 181.14(0.3%)180.68-181.447.53   -6.9%-4.4% 
13Oct_20_2020178 (-0.4%)178.76 (0.1%)178.63 (0.2%) 178.72 178.9(0%)179.25(0.48%)178.08-179.670.7(0.8)0.9 0.1%0.1%0%-0% N/A  Range(0.2%)6580.7-0.40.2Rebound 178.69(-0.31%)179.25-178.467.12   -7.6%-4.9% 
14Oct_19_2020177.96 (-0.6%)178.57 (-0%)178.32 (-0.2%) 178.7 178.83(0%)178.39(0.05%)178.37-179.480.3(0.3)-2.7 0.1%-0%0%-0.04% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)6510.7-0.51.2N/A 178.1(-0.16%)178.03-178.156.09   -8%-4.4% 
15Oct_16_2020178.01 (-0.5%)178.67 (0.2%)178.75 (-0.3%) 178.47 178.54(0%)178.3(-0.35%)178.13-179.320.2(0.2)-3.5 -0.1%-0%0%-0% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)6560.9-1.30.9N/A 178.09(-0.12%)178.01-178.167.25   -8%-5.7% 
 
16Oct_15_2020178.22 (-0.4%)178.7 (0.5%)179.31 (0.1%) 178.92 178.57(0%)178.92(0.36%)177.59-179.150.3(0.3)0 %-0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0%)6631-1.30.7N/A 178.87(-0.03%)178.59-179.087.12   -7.7%-6% 
17Oct_14_2020178.39 (-0.4%)178.67 (0.5%)179.1 (0.1%) 179.48 178.4(0%)178.27(0.31%)178.27-179.59-0(-0)-0.6 -0.2%-0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(-0.2%)7601.1-1.60.9N/A 178.47(0.11%)178.27-178.6410.57   -8.1%-5.7% 
18Oct_13_2020178.65 (-0.4%)178.58 (0.5%)178.89 (0.1%) 179.23 179.27(0%)177.72(-1.57%)177.1-178.6-0.3(-0.3)-0.5 -0.3%-0.1%0%0.08% Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.4%)8601.2-2.20.9N/A 178.13(0.23%)178.12-178.128.38   -8.3%-5.3% 
19Oct_12_2020178.92 (-0.3%)178.64 (0.5%)178.8 (0.1%) 178.99 180.56(0%)180.56(-0.29%)180.19-180.830.5(0.6)1.3 0.5%0.1%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)8541.3-2.11.3Uptrend Reversal 181.48(0.51%)180.7-1824.84   -6.9%-7% 
20Oct_9_2020179.05 (-0.3%)178.25 (0.3%)178.57 (0.3%) 178.53 179.18(0%)181.08(1.82%)179.93-181.170.6(0.7)1.4 0.6%0.2%0%0.04% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)7521.3-1.51.1Uptrend Reversal 182.02(0.52%)181.23-182.5618.31   -6.6%-7.3% 
 
21Oct_8_2020179.09 (-0.3%)177.63 (-0%)178.06 (-0.1%) 178.23 177.41(0%)177.85(0.36%)176.67-178.45-0.5(-0.4)-0.5 -0.2%0.1%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(-0.1%)6351.3-2.21.1Rebound 178.6(0.42%)177.55-179.046.52   -8.3%-5.4% 
22Oct_7_2020179.31 (-0.3%)177.41 (-0.2%)178.23 (0%) 178.45 177.88(0%)177.22(-0.05%)176.43-177.42-0.7(-0.7)-1.3 -0.4%0%0%-0.08% N/A  Range(-0.4%)6341.4-2.20.7The Bottom 177.66(0.25%)176.54-178.596.39   -8.6%-5% 
23Oct_6_2020179.6 (-0.3%)177.19 (-0.5%)178.21 (-0.1%) 178.87 179.04(0%)177.3(-1.18%)177.05-180.37-0.7(-0.8)-2.6 %-0.1%0%-0.14% Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(0.5%)6321.4-1.30.3Downtrend 176.91(-0.22%)176.55-177.758.81   -8.6%-5.5% 
24Oct_5_2020179.8 (-0.4%)177.31 (-0.6%)178.39 (0.3%) 178.57 179.01(0%)179.41(0.49%)178.9-180.14-0.1(-0.1)1.9 0.2%-0%0%-0.18% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)5371.4-1.60.5Downtrend Consolidation 179.07(-0.19%)179.56-178.97.03   -7.5%-6.8% 
25Oct_2_2020179.91 (-0.5%)177.27 (-0.8%)177.85 (0.4%) 178.15 178.7(0%)178.54(-0.09%)178.16-179.29-0.3(-0.4)2.5 0.3%-0.2%0%-0.24% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)4331.4-0.30.7Downtrend 177.86(-0.38%)177.47-178.777.51   -7.9%-6.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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