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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $183.2000 (0.13%) ($182.6400 - $184.0900) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Range Bound
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD advance at 0.1% a week (87% probability)
  SLV(88%)    GDXJ(82%)    SIL(82%)    GDX(80%)    SILJ(79%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will advance at least 0% in a week (41% probabilities).
  UUP(-60%)    VXX(-34%)    VIXM(-28%)    TBT(-10%)    XLC(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Range Trading
 
Valuation to SPY   1.7
 
Relative Volatility   -1.5 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.6
Hourly Trend   -0.35% [$182.81(-0.53), $183.45(-0.13)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.11% [$183.27, $183.47]


GLD Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  1.2%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -1.2%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $183.2000
Next Day Open Price  $182.8(-0.22%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $183.15(-0.03%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $183.08 - $183.2
Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $183.49(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average  $182.87(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average  $182.78(0.23%)
To recent high  -5.5%
To recent low  12.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GLD price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 1.17%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GLD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201018

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-5.5%-12.9% -0.1%,-0.2(0)0%,0(0.1)0.1%,0.1-1.5-0.11%0%0.3-0.61.70.60.81%2.19.86   183.2(0.13%)182.64-184.09Range Bound 183.15(-0.03%)183.08-183.244
2Sep_17_2020-5.6%-12.8% -0.1%,-0.2(-0.1)-0%,-0(0.1)0.1%,0.1-0.60.02%-0.1%0.1-0.60.80.60.93%2.18.78   182.96(-0.55%)181.48-183.09Rebound 182.87(-0.05%)182.96-182.8457
3Sep_16_2020-5.1%-13.4% -0.1%,-0.1(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.2)0.1%,0.10.9-0.09%-0.1%10.80.70.60.99%1.412.85   183.97(0.28%)183.33-185.01Range Bound 183.75(-0.12%)183.47-183.9751
4Sep_15_2020-5.4%-13.1% 0.1%,0.1(0.2)0%,0(-0.1)0.2%,0.30.6-0.06%-0.1%0.30.10.40.80.92%0.89.09   183.45(-0.24%)182.92-184.67Range Bound 183.41(-0.02%)183.28-183.5457
5Sep_14_2020-5.2%-13.3% -0.1%,-0.1(0.3)0.1%,0.1(0)0.3%,0.20.30.06%-0.1%0.41.10.70.91.07%0.89.49   183.89(0.79%)183.39-184.3Range Bound 183.82(-0.04%)183.61-183.9859
 
6Sep_11_2020-5.9%-12.5% -0.3%,-0.3(0.3)0.1%,0.1(0.2)0.1%,0.11.20%-0.1%-0.3-0.210.90.88%0.17.25   182.45(-0.01%)182.01-183.55Rebound 182.83(0.21%)182.45-183.0152
7Sep_10_2020-5.9%-12.5% -0.6%,-0.6(0.3)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.1)-0%,-01.8-0.22%-0.2%-0.300.80.90.98%-0.79.05   182.46(-0.32%)182.28-184.68Downtrend 182.35(-0.06%)182.27-182.5547
8Sep_9_2020-5.6%-13.5% -0.9%,-0.8(0.2)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)-0.2%,-0.200.04%-0%0.11.40.311.02%-0.78.2   183.05(0.97%)182.19-183.22Rebound 182.81(-0.13%)182.74-182.8452
9Sep_8_2020-6.5%-13.5% -1.1%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.2(0.1)-0.4%,-0.3-0.9-0.13%-0.1%-0.7-0.80.711.04%-1.213.21   181.29(-0.19%)179.02-182.27Downtrend 181(-0.16%)180.76-181.5635
10Sep_4_2020-6.3%-15% -0.9%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.2-1.50.2%-0.3%-0.5-0.7-0.61.41.05%-1.111.56   181.64(0.28%)180.05-182.1Downtrend 181.31(-0.18%)181.03-181.9440
 
11Sep_3_2020-6.6%-14.6% -0.7%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0)-0%,-0-1.20.08%-0.5%-0.7-1.3-11.71.18%-2.410.99   181.14(-0.81%)180.49-182.82Downtrend 180.92(-0.12%)180.59-181.6949
12Sep_2_2020-5.8%-15.6% -0.5%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0-00.11%-0.7%-0.4-0.3-1.71.81.11%0.211.49   182.62(-1.31%)181.5-183.86N/A 182.84(0.12%)182.03-183.5149
13Sep_1_2020-4.6%-17.1% -0.3%,-0.1(-0)0%,0(-0.1)0.4%,0.20.6-0.11%-0.9%0.10.9-1.11.81.02%010.66   185.05(0.12%)184.33-186.99Range Bound 185.05(0%)185.05-185.0561
14Aug_31_2020-4.7%-17% -0.3%,-0.1(0)0.2%,0.1(0.2)0.4%,0.20.9-0.06%-0.9%01.4-11.81.11%0.19.92   184.83(0.24%)184.28-185.53Rebound 184.89(0.03%)185.03-184.8359
15Aug_28_2020-4.9%-16.7% -0.3%,-0.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.1(0.2)0.3%,0.10.9-0.01%-0.8%-0.11.4-1.31.81.09%0.813.43   184.39(1.74%)183.41-185.4Rebound 184.61(0.12%)184.19-184.842
 
16Aug_27_2020-6.5%-14.7% -0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.4(0.2)-0.3%,-0.10.30.14%-1%-0.9-0.7-1.81.81.2%0.716.53   181.24(-1.16%)179.37-185.17Downtrend Consolidation 181.19(-0.03%)182.64-180.7137
17Aug_26_2020-5.4%-16% 0%,0(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.5(0.3)0.1%,0.1-0.30.05%-0.9%-0.40.6-1.51.81.29%1.312.69   183.36(1.18%)180.2-183.58Downtrend 182.75(-0.33%)182.37-183.6635
18Aug_25_2020-6.5%-14.7% 0.2%,0.1(-0.2)-1.9%,-0.9(0)-0.8%,-0.4-0.30.21%-1.2%-1-0.8-1.71.81.19%1.610.03   181.22(0.12%)179.73-181.25Downtrend 180.33(-0.49%)179.66-181.937
19Aug_24_2020-6.6%-14.5% 0.7%,0.3(-0.2)-2%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.3-0.6-0.1%-1.3%-1.1-1.2-1.81.71.19%1.711.41   181(-0.57%)180.69-182.93Correction 177.02(-2.2%)176.37-179.6540
20Aug_21_2020-6.1%-15.2% 1.1%,0.5(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0-1.50.01%-0.9%-0.8-1-1.31.81.28%1.712.6   182.03(-0.8%)180.47-182.81Correction 179.34(-1.48%)178.82-181.4347
 
21Aug_20_2020-5.4%-16.1% 1.4%,0.6(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.5(-0.2)0%,0-1.20.22%-0.4%-0.4-0.2-0.81.91.36%1.516.55   183.5(0.69%)180.93-183.71Correction 181.37(-1.16%)180.89-183.2849
22Aug_19_2020-6%-15.3% 1.6%,0.6(-0)-0.7%,-0.3(-0)0.3%,0.10.6-0.49%0.3%-0.6-1-12.11.57%1.624.76   182.24(-3.16%)181.71-187.46Correction 180.76(-0.81%)180.35-182.4850
23Aug_18_2020-2.9%-19.1% 1.7%,0.6(0.1)-0.6%,-0.2(0.1)0.9%,0.31.2-0.01%0.9%0.61.602.51.26%1.616.2   188.18(0.9%)185.63-189.4N/A 188.12(-0.03%)186.54-189.4155
24Aug_17_2020-3.8%-18% 1.5%,0.5(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.10.6-0.11%1.3%0.40.8-0.22.81.34%1.815.49   186.5(2.17%)184.66-187.01Correction 185.03(-0.79%)184.08-186.255
25Aug_14_2020-5.9%-15.5% 1.7%,0.5(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.30.30.07%1.7%-0.1-0.5-0.63.21.13%1.811.72   182.54(-0.43%)181.49-183.72Correction 180.51(-1.11%)179.93-182.8753
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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