Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 27, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Fri. Apr. 19, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $161.5600 (-0.66%) ($160.4100 - $162.0000) on Mon. Apr. 27, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $161.5600(-0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(80%)    GDXJ(79%)    SLV(79%)    SIL(75%)    BWX(47%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-32%)    TBT(-19%)    VXX(-6%)    VIXM(-6%)    JETS(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV -0.8 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $161.58(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $161.25(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $158(2.25%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(58%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.71%(55%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(39%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(61%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2020	149.28	158	161.25	161.58	161.96	161.98	161.56(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	10	-2	44	9.02	56%	0.17	56.7	1.64%	-0.8	0.8	61	1.4
2	Apr_24_2020	149.03	157.54	161.23	161.2	161.12	162.64	162.64(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	60	42	76	11.18	56%	0.17	66.4	1.64%	0.5	1.1	70	0.9
3	Apr_23_2020	148.78	157.06	160.84	160.39	160.31	161.94	163.34(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	93	70	90	100	14.91	56%	0.17	79	1.64%	1.1	1.4	73	0.4
4	Apr_22_2020	148.53	156.45	160.01	160.06	159.39	159.61	161.73(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-0	25	83	12.87	56%	0.16	90.9	1.64%	1.5	1.2	74	0.3
5	Apr_21_2020	148.29	156.02	159.45	160.09	159.58	158.68	158.61(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-50	-38	79	12.44	55%	0.15	106.2	1.62%	-0.3	0.6	74	-0.2

6	Apr_20_2020	148.07	155.44	159.32	160.9	160.49	159.18	159.7(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-21	-60	-59	92	10.64	55%	0.15	107.6	1.62%	-0.3	0.9	62	0.6
7	Apr_17_2020	147.85	154.51	158.67	161.24	161.41	160.47	158.57(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-40	-47	105	14.53	55%	0.08	90.7	1.63%	-1.6	0.7	62	1.2
8	Apr_16_2020	147.73	153.54	158.07	161.27	161.73	161.8	161.71(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	10	11	131	9.13	57%	0.18	71.8	1.61%	-0.8	1.2	65	1.1
9	Apr_15_2020	147.47	152.51	156.88	159.86	160.84	162.34	161.85(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	78	80	60	130	12.11	57%	0.17	54.9	1.61%	-0.2	1.4	68	1.1
10	Apr_14_2020	147.22	151.58	155.52	158.69	159.22	161.66	162.68(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	120	120	117	128	17.04	57%	0.18	43.7	1.6%	0.7	1.7	64	1.5

11	Apr_13_2020	146.95	150.51	154.48	157.53	157.34	159.33	161.41(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	120	80	117	129	19.85	56%	0.23	29	1.6%	1.5	1.7	71	1.2
12	Apr_9_2020	146.61	149.58	153.49	155.78	156.14	156.77	158.69(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	94	40	84	122	18.01	56%	0.14	12.2	1.58%	1.3	1.6	75	0.9
13	Apr_8_2020	146.4	148.99	152.89	154.42	154.67	155.36	154.65(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	40	22	117	7.58	53%	0.11	-1.6	1.55%	-0.8	1	75	0.9
14	Apr_7_2020	146.24	148.89	152.54	153.38	153.75	155.5	156.04(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	110	90	94	159	9.16	53%	0.13	-7.2	1.55%	0.7	1.3	71	0.8
15	Apr_6_2020	146.05	148.74	152.23	151.79	152.11	153.98	156.88(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	115	90	99	164	14.63	54%	0.13	-14.4	1.55%	2	1.4	66	0.8

16	Apr_3_2020	145.86	148.69	151.17	150.99	150.67	151.99	152.65(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	82	50	58	153	8.46	52%	0.1	-11.7	1.52%	1.1	0.7	65	0.1
17	Apr_2_2020	145.71	148.86	150.01	150.91	150.68	150.24	151.9(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-30	21	133	9.16	53%	0.1	-9.3	1.53%	1.5	0.5	61	-0.1
18	Apr_1_2020	145.57	149.08	148.71	151.18	150.96	149.35	149.45(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-44	-80	-84	75	11.99	52%	0.09	-5.4	1.52%	-0.7	0.1	52	-0.4
19	Mar_31_2020	145.44	149.29	147.91	151.55	152.09	151.13	148.05(-3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-36	-30	-67	57	13.13	52%	0.08	-3.7	1.52%	-2.6	-0.2	43	-0.1
20	Mar_30_2020	145.33	149.56	147.49	152.62	152.62	152.58	152.92(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-0	-10	74	12.04	55%	0.11	1.7	1.47%	-1.4	0.6	46	-0.3

21	Mar_27_2020	145.17	149.36	146.35	151.3	152.9	153.04	152.25(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	70	40	77	48	9.72	55%	0.1	-9.3	1.47%	-0.2	0.5	42	-0.6
22	Mar_26_2020	145.02	149.41	145.4	148.87	150.87	152.65	153.24(1.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	64	120	92	-20	12.74	55%	0.09	-20.8	1.46%	-0.1	0.6	43	-0.3
23	Mar_25_2020	144.89	149.4	144.74	145.83	147.6	152.77	151.3(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	149	280	213	-43	16.47	55%	0.08	-33.3	1.46%	0.3	0.3	41	-0.7
24	Mar_24_2020	144.77	149.5	144.83	143.71	144.33	149.09	153.4(4.85%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	225	240	313	-38	20.61	56%	0.08	-41	1.46%	1.3	0.6	48	-0.6
25	Mar_23_2020	144.65	149.46	144.74	141.74	141.16	142.42	146.3(4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	56	50	129	-162	28.55	52%		-47.4	1.33%	1.7	-0.5	39	-0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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