Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Apr. 25, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $138.0400 (-1.89%) ($137.8500 - $140.5000) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $138.0400(-1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    SIL(74%)    GDX(73%)    GDXJ(72%)    BWX(42%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-32%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    VXX(-8%)    UNG(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV -1.2 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $150.7
5 Day Moving Average   $141.44(-2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $147.45(-6.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $150.7(-8.4%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.92% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.95%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.2%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.95%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.84%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.73%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.27%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2020	144.64	150.7	147.45	141.44	140.46	139.9	138.04(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-176	-50	-144	-273	20.66	45%	-0.02	-43.6	1.19%	-1.2	-2.1	30	-1.7
2	Mar_18_2020	144.67	151.49	149.42	143.39	142.23	141.71	140.7(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-92	-50	-56	-200	21.9	47%	0.01	-35.9	1.16%	-0.6	-2.1	33	-2.4
3	Mar_17_2020	144.66	152.1	150.83	146.04	144.35	141.01	143.56(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-191	-200	-185	-207	24.36	50%	0.02	-21.1	1.14%	0.5	-1.9	35	-2.2
4	Mar_16_2020	144.63	152.53	151.93	148.22	147.5	142.76	141.64(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-334	-240	-365	-240	23.96	48%	-0.01	-5.8	1.12%	-0.9	-2.6	33	-2.7
5	Mar_13_2020	144.64	152.98	152.84	151.46	151.46	147.7	143.28(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-286	-170	-320	-183	35.05	49%	0.01	20.7	1.11%	-1.5	-2.8	32	-1.9

6	Mar_12_2020	144.62	153.31	154.02	154.31	154.47	152.25	147.79(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-192	-100	-225	-92	32.73	54%	0.06	54.5	1.04%	-1.7	-1.9	40	-2.6
7	Mar_11_2020	144.54	153.36	154.72	156.25	156.48	155.22	153.93(-0.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-70	-50	-97	12	17.66	62%	0.1	74.9	0.9%	-1.7	0.2	55	-2.2
8	Mar_10_2020	144.4	153.08	154.74	156.3	156.89	156.7	154.48(-2.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-24	0	-46	43	18.49	62%	0.1	72.3	0.9%	-1.8	0.4	57	-2
9	Mar_9_2020	144.25	152.78	154.63	156.18	156.62	157.73	157.81(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	114	60	112	118	24.75	67%	0.13	69	0.85%	1.1	1.5	66	-2.7
10	Mar_6_2020	144.06	152.27	154.41	154.46	155.28	157.08	157.55(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	160	100	171	128	26.77	65%	0.12	53.8	0.85%	1.2	1.6	69	-2.3

11	Mar_5_2020	143.89	151.76	154.08	153.75	153.36	155.51	157.49(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	164	90	173	138	17.86	65%	0.13	48.1	0.86%	1.6	1.8	70	-2.1
12	Mar_4_2020	143.71	151.2	153.55	153.05	152.09	153.48	154.16(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	133	50	134	130	11.95	62%	0.1	41.4	0.82%	0.7	1	67	-1.6
13	Mar_3_2020	143.56	150.82	153.32	153.01	152.25	151.2	153.89(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-60	21	104	28.39	63%	0.1	38.2	0.82%	1.4	1	67	-2.3
14	Mar_2_2020	143.42	150.54	153.04	152.89	152.58	150.69	149.2(-3.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-180	-90	-246	20	16.13	58%	0.07	37.3	0.74%	-0.6	-0.4	56	-1.9
15	Feb_28_2020	143.32	150.56	153.11	154.27	153.73	153.29	154(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-92	-30	-170	141	41.29	67%	0.09	52.7	0.6%	-1.6	1.1	75	-2.8

16	Feb_27_2020	143.19	150.27	152.58	154.41	155.1	154.47	154(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	85	-20	35	236	27.71	67%	0.09	58.5	0.61%	-1.1	1.3	76	-3.1
17	Feb_26_2020	143.06	149.98	151.96	154.09	155.02	154.17	153.97(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-29	-20	-99	183	17.9	67%	0.08	61.5	0.61%	-0.6	1.4	78	-2.4
18	Feb_25_2020	142.94	149.65	151.35	153.66	154.6	155.74	153.3(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	85	70	36	233	27.93	67%	0.09	61.8	0.61%	-1	1.4	77	-3.2
19	Feb_24_2020	142.81	149.42	150.84	153.18	153.85	155.88	156.09(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	338	110	333	352	27.07	73%	0.11	65.1	0.57%	0.5	2.6	77	-3.1
20	Feb_21_2020	142.66	148.98	149.97	151.76	152.16	153.47	154.7(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	256	70	254	261	16.42	72%	0.1	66.7	0.56%	1.3	2.8	68	-0.8

21	Feb_20_2020	142.52	148.58	149.21	150.5	150.72	151.83	152.41(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	173	60	171	177	8.38	69%	0.08	65.4	0.54%	1.2	2.5	65	0.4
22	Feb_19_2020	142.41	148.28	148.61	149.52	149.71	150.85	151.79(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	175	60	189	133	9.14	69%	0.09	61.4	0.54%	1.2	2.7	63	1
23	Feb_18_2020	142.28	148.02	148.06	148.7	148.75	149.61	150.91(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	128	40	146	74	11.51	68%	0.09	59.2	0.54%	1.6	2.8	64	0.8
24	Feb_14_2020	142.15	147.79	148.06	148.15	148.09	148.58	149(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	20	83	21	5.34	65%	0.06	53.4	0.52%	1.1	1.4	49	0.9
25	Feb_13_2020	142.07	147.66	147.76	147.91	147.92	147.88	148.38(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-0	40	2	7.07	65%		48.3	0.52%	1.4	0.8	52	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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