Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GLD: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 9, 2020

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Apr. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $157.8100 (0.17%) ($156.3300 - $159.3700) on Mon. Mar. 9, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $157.8100(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(78%)    GDX(73%)    SIL(73%)    GDXJ(72%)    BWX(42%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-32%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-12%)    VXX(-7%)    UNG(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $156.18(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.63(2.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.78(3.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.2%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.75%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2020	144.25	152.78	154.63	156.18	156.62	157.73	157.81(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	114	60	112	118	24.75	67%	0.13	69	0.85%	1.1	1.5	66	-2.7
2	Mar_6_2020	144.06	152.27	154.41	154.46	155.28	157.08	157.55(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	160	100	171	128	26.77	65%	0.12	53.8	0.85%	1.2	1.6	69	-2.3
3	Mar_5_2020	143.89	151.76	154.08	153.75	153.36	155.51	157.49(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	164	90	173	138	17.86	65%	0.13	48.1	0.86%	1.6	1.8	70	-2.1
4	Mar_4_2020	143.71	151.2	153.55	153.05	152.09	153.48	154.16(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	133	50	134	130	11.95	62%	0.1	41.4	0.82%	0.7	1	67	-1.6
5	Mar_3_2020	143.56	150.82	153.32	153.01	152.25	151.2	153.89(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-60	21	104	28.39	63%	0.1	38.2	0.82%	1.4	1	67	-2.3

6	Mar_2_2020	143.42	150.54	153.04	152.89	152.58	150.69	149.2(-3.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-180	-90	-246	20	16.13	58%	0.07	37.3	0.74%	-0.6	-0.4	56	-1.9
7	Feb_28_2020	143.32	150.56	153.11	154.27	153.73	153.29	154(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-92	-30	-170	141	41.29	67%	0.09	52.7	0.6%	-1.6	1.1	75	-2.8
8	Feb_27_2020	143.19	150.27	152.58	154.41	155.1	154.47	154(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	85	-20	35	236	27.71	67%	0.09	58.5	0.61%	-1.1	1.3	76	-3.1
9	Feb_26_2020	143.06	149.98	151.96	154.09	155.02	154.17	153.97(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-29	-20	-99	183	17.9	67%	0.08	61.5	0.61%	-0.6	1.4	78	-2.4
10	Feb_25_2020	142.94	149.65	151.35	153.66	154.6	155.74	153.3(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	85	70	36	233	27.93	67%	0.09	61.8	0.61%	-1	1.4	77	-3.2

11	Feb_24_2020	142.81	149.42	150.84	153.18	153.85	155.88	156.09(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	338	110	333	352	27.07	73%	0.11	65.1	0.57%	0.5	2.6	77	-3.1
12	Feb_21_2020	142.66	148.98	149.97	151.76	152.16	153.47	154.7(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	256	70	254	261	16.42	72%	0.1	66.7	0.56%	1.3	2.8	68	-0.8
13	Feb_20_2020	142.52	148.58	149.21	150.5	150.72	151.83	152.41(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	173	60	171	177	8.38	69%	0.08	65.4	0.54%	1.2	2.5	65	0.4
14	Feb_19_2020	142.41	148.28	148.61	149.52	149.71	150.85	151.79(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	175	60	189	133	9.14	69%	0.09	61.4	0.54%	1.2	2.7	63	1
15	Feb_18_2020	142.28	148.02	148.06	148.7	148.75	149.61	150.91(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	128	40	146	74	11.51	68%	0.09	59.2	0.54%	1.6	2.8	64	0.8

16	Feb_14_2020	142.15	147.79	148.06	148.15	148.09	148.58	149(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	68	20	83	21	5.34	65%	0.06	53.4	0.52%	1.1	1.4	49	0.9
17	Feb_13_2020	142.07	147.66	148.06	147.91	147.92	147.88	148.38(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-0	40	2	7.07	65%	0.05	48.3	0.52%	1.4	0.8	52	0.6
18	Feb_12_2020	142	147.57	147.76	147.71	147.79	147.6	147.54(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10	-27	-24	5	64%	0.02	39	0.51%	-0.9	-0	53	1
19	Feb_11_2020	141.97	147.48	147.76	147.53	147.75	147.95	147.66(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	10	21	-1	5.17	64%	0.03	20	0.51%	-0.6	0.2	55	0.1
20	Feb_10_2020	141.93	147.4	147.85	147.28	147.45	147.98	148.17(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	30	65	12	5.49	64%	0.04	5.7	0.51%	0.9	0.7	58	0.2

21	Feb_7_2020	141.88	147.33	147.92	147.32	147.04	147.55	147.79(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	20	45	23	6.37	58%	0.05	11.6	0.52%	1.1	0.5	57	-0.1
22	Feb_6_2020	141.81	147.25	147.94	147.63	147.19	146.91	147.4(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-20	5	30	4.79	58%	0.05	28.2	0.56%	1.5	0.1	57	0.2
23	Feb_5_2020	141.74	147.22	147.93	147.84	147.65	146.52	146.61(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-94	-60	-122	-8	6.14	53%	0.04	52.1	0.56%	-0.4	-0.6	52	0.1
24	Feb_4_2020	141.69	147.29	147.97	148.21	148.18	147.47	146.43(-1.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-98	-30	-133	7	10.42	53%	0.04	84.5	0.6%	-1.3	-0.8	57	-0.7
25	Feb_3_2020	141.64	147.34	148.03	148.46	148.56	148.77	148.36(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	10	-10	75	9.1	57%		115.7	0.58%	-1.1	1	67	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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