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     Fri. Apr. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $123.6500 (1.95%) ($122.3400 - $123.9300) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.24% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $123.6500(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GLD advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GLD advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SLV(78%)    GDX(76%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(48%)    LQD(36%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TBT(-28%)    UUP(-18%)    XLF(-6%)    IYT(-4%)    JETS(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $120.18(2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average  $119.52(3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $118.87(4.02%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  15.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6   Average positive next day return: 0.76%(67%)   Average negative next day return: -0.75%(33%)
Sample size 6   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.92%(100%)
Sample size 6   Average positive next weekly return: 0.34%(17%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.87%(83%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160529

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Apr_29_2016112.88118.87119.52120.18 120.36 121.84123.65(1.95%)UTOpenLong752.1   116   90   127   83   19.04    70%0.244.91.24%0360INF
2Apr_28_2016112.66118.52118.91119.03 119.16 119.81121.29(1.89%)UTOpenLong751.9   51   40   58   28   15.13    67%0.1836.61.22%02.360INF
3Apr_27_2016112.46118.32118.48118.66 118.57 118.87119.04(0.29%)N/AN/A00.4   6   20   10   -5   7.98    65%0.14361.21%00.752INF
4Apr_26_2016112.3118.23118.45118.64 118.78 118.5118.7(0.4%)N/AN/A00.1   2   -10   3   -2   9.91    66%0.1527.31.21%00.558INF
5Apr_25_2016112.13118.22118.56118.82 118.94 118.26118.23(0.29%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -32   -40   -40   -6   4.37    67%0.1330.41.22%0053INF
 
6Apr_22_2016111.98118.15118.73118.72 119.3 119.05117.89(-1.28%)CRSmallShort-20-0.7   -14   -0   -23   13   10.05    67%0.1513.81.22%0-0.258INF
7Apr_21_2016111.81118.08118.8118.73 119.27 119.62119.42(0.38%)UTOpenLong750.6   28   30   24   38   14.61    69%0.17-11.21%01.160INF
8Apr_20_2016111.62118.08118.71118.26 118.71 119.54118.97(-0.51%)UDOpenLong750.6   37   60   37   37   10.23    70%0.16-27.31.21%00.955INF
9Apr_19_2016111.44117.94118.52118.22 118.27 118.92119.58(1.56%)UTOpenLong751.1   45   40   46   40   21.03    70%0.16-22.81.22%01.459INF
10Apr_18_2016111.26117.9118.33118.32 118.09 117.88117.74(-0.15%)N/AN/A0-0.5   -2   -20   -8   17   5.81    69%0.15-17.31.2%0-0.146INF
 
11Apr_15_2016111.09117.99118.2118.78 118.58 117.61117.92(0.69%)N/AN/A0-0.7   -30   -60   -44   12   7.84    69%0.06-4.81.21%0-0.155INF
12Apr_14_2016111.02118.09118.11118.88 119.12 118.31117.11(-1.4%)CRSmallShort-20-1.4   -42   -40   -59   11   13.17    67%0.14-7.21.22%0-0.754INF
13Apr_13_2016110.86118.26118.18119.18 119.3 119.54118.77(-1.07%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   9   20   -3   45   8.84    69%0.152.51.22%00.458INF
14Apr_12_2016110.69118.22118.02118.81 118.99 119.93120.05(0.02%)UTOpenLong750.9   61   60   63   56   9.69    69%0.16-13.61.21%01.351INF
15Apr_11_2016110.51118.1117.85118.33 118.18 119.06120.03(1.35%)UTOpenLong751.3   61   50   66   45   9.85    69%0.16-34.51.21%01.552INF
 
16Apr_8_2016110.33118.05117.5117.56 117.63 118.05118.43(-0.15%)UDOpenLong750.7   37   30   47   8   9.08    68%0.15-56.91.21%00.344INF
17Apr_7_2016110.17118.18117.29117.26 117.16 117.3118.61(1.43%)N/AN/A00.9   5   10   15   -26   11.9    69%0.15-53.21.22%00.343INF
18Apr_6_2016110118.22117.08117.06 116.81 117.22116.94(-0.61%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -13   20   1   -53   7.55    69%0.14-53.51.21%0-0.835INF
19Apr_5_2016109.85118.4117.29117.1 117.09 117.02117.66(1.3%)N/AN/A00.4   8   -0   23   -39   8.87    69%0.14-43.91.22%0-0.550INF
20Apr_4_2016109.7118.57117.4117.32 117.07 116.4116.15(-0.67%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -47   -50   -43   -57   7.64    69%0.12-31.71.21%0-1.545INF
 
21Apr_1_2016109.57118.79117.76117.41 117.45 117.17116.93(-0.6%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -29   -20   -23   -47   10.41    69%0.13-22.21.22%0-1.242INF
22Mar_31_2016109.43118.98118.07117.29 117.51 117.74117.64(0.46%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -1   20   12   -41   9.35    69%0.13-16.51.22%0-0.837INF
23Mar_30_2016109.29119.04118.34117.08 117.17 117.73117.1(-1.4%)N/AN/A00   3   40   18   -41   10.77    69%0.13-17.71.22%0-1.344INF
24Mar_29_2016109.15119.1118.45117.52 116.95 117.28118.76(1.85%)N/AN/A00.8   2   10   17   -42   14.47    71%0.14-8.61.21%0-0.244INF
25Mar_28_2016109119.09118.37117.56 117.35 116.61116.6(0.23%)DPOpenShort-75-0.6   -37   -50   -25   -72   3.88    70%1.61.19%0-1.636INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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