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     Wed. Oct. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $113.8100 (1.74%) ($112.3000 - $113.9500) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.9% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $113.8100(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GLD advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GLD advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SLV(78%)    GDX(77%)    SIL(73%)    BWX(48%)    LQD(35%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TBT(-28%)    UUP(-21%)    XLF(-8%)    IYT(-5%)    JETS(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $111.4(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average  $110.21(3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average  $109.4(4.03%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  9.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GLD price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15   Average positive next day return: 1.49%(53%)   Average negative next day return: -0.58%(47%)
Sample size 15   Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(73%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(27%)
Sample size 15   Average positive next weekly return: 1.97%(53%)   Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(47%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20151114

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Oct_14_2015109.43109.4110.21111.4 111.72 112.38113.81(1.74%)UTOpenLong751.4   104   50   96   128   10.21    60%0760.9%02.659INF
2Oct_13_2015109.43109.06109.51110.58 110.78 111.51111.86(0.49%)UTOpenLong750.9   57   50   50   77   5.15    57%0.0273.90.88%01.963INF
3Oct_12_2015109.41108.77109.1110.18 110.31 111.05111.31(0.4%)UTOpenLong750.8   80   50   81   77   6.26    57%-0.0465.20.88%01.863INF
4Oct_9_2015109.45108.51108.79109.67 109.93 110.04110.87(1.59%)UTOpenLong750.9   49   10   50   47   7.91    57%-0.0553.50.88%01.758INF
5Oct_8_2015109.5108.27108.65109.29 109.49 109.57109.14(-0.51%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   6   10   1   19   5.04    55%-0.0642.70.86%00.649INF
 
6Oct_7_2015109.57108.14108.76108.81 109.35 109.81109.7(-0.15%)UDOpenLong750.6   55   40   61   38   5.36    52%-0.05250.85%01.155INF
7Oct_6_2015109.63107.96108.6108.24 108.64 109.41109.86(1%)UTOpenLong751.2   54   60   64   24   7.51    52%-0.074.10.87%01.460INF
8Oct_5_2015109.71107.83108.39107.87 107.87 108.89108.77(-0.2%)UDOpenLong750.7   56   70   67   23   5.49    51%-0.08-8.30.86%00.762INF
9Oct_2_2015109.8107.77108.36107.8 107.68 107.87108.99(2.12%)UTOpenLong750.9   53   10   60   30   7.73    51%-0.08-14.40.86%0161INF
10Oct_1_2015109.89107.7108.37107.96 107.59 106.84106.73(-0.12%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -63   -60   -84   -1   4.28    47%-0.09-11.40.82%0-0.855INF
 
11Sep_30_2015109.99107.8108.56108.71 108.33 107.5106.86(-1.04%)CRSmallShort-20-1.5   -56   -60   -88   39   7.41    47%-0.068.80.82%0-0.854INF
12Sep_29_2015110.06107.91108.63108.98 109.16 108.35107.98(-0.41%)N/AN/A0-0.8   -20   -50   -51   74   4.04    49%-0.0515.50.81%00.161INF
13Sep_28_2015110.12107.91108.46108.95 109.22 109.15108.42(-1.27%)N/AN/A0-0.4   -16   0   -44   67   3.81    49%-0.058.50.82%00.454INF
14Sep_25_2015110.18107.95108.26108.97 109.02 109.98109.81(-0.62%)UDOpenLong750.7   71   60   59   105   5.21    51%-0.0300.8%01.560INF
15Sep_24_2015110.21107.84107.9108.85 108.69 109.28110.49(2.1%)UTOpenLong751.4   99   30   96   106   11.02    51%-0.04-12.60.8%02.261INF
 
16Sep_23_2015110.25107.68107.47108.43 108.43 108.05108.22(0.4%)UTOpenLong75-0.2   17   -20   8   44   2.74    46%-0.06-30.20.75%00.546INF
17Sep_22_2015110.32107.72107.26108.25 108.27 108.1107.79(-0.68%)N/AN/A0-0.4   -24   -10   -32   1   5.48    44%-0.05-250.75%00.140INF
18Sep_21_2015110.38107.84107.23107.87 108.11 108.82108.53(-0.62%)UDOpenLong750.5   50   50   62   14   4.1    44%-0.05-18.30.77%00.646INF
19Sep_18_2015110.43107.95107.1107.41 107.45 108.44109.21(0.74%)UTOpenLong751.3   88   70   114   8   6.79    47%-0.04-12.10.76%00.950INF
20Sep_17_2015110.47107.99106.93106.8 106.68 107.4108.41(1.03%)N/AN/A01.1   61   40   90   -26   8.4    47%-0.06-12.20.77%00.353INF
 
21Sep_16_2015110.54107.99106.92106.39 106.2 106.46107.31(1.33%)N/AN/A00.6   18   10   43   -57   5.32    44%-0.09-17.30.77%0-0.548INF
22Sep_15_2015110.64108107.08106.16 106.05 105.97105.9(-0.3%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -31   -10   -10   -92   2.9    41%-0.08-19.40.74%0-1.428INF
23Sep_14_2015110.73108.07107.37106.48 106.15 105.94106.22(0.06%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -51   -20   -35   -100   2.35    41%-0.06-9.80.75%0-1.324INF
24Sep_11_2015110.8108.12107.62106.74 106.53 106.14106.16(-0.21%)DTHoldShort-65-0.4   -55   -30   -37   -108   4.02    41%-0.082.30.75%0-1.421INF
25Sep_10_2015110.89108.18107.8107.07 106.9 106.35106.38(0.24%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -80   -40   -64   -126   6.2    43%17.50.75%0-1.328INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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