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     Mon. Nov. 9, 2020

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)

GDX latest price $38.8800 (-6.13%) ($38.0300 - $39.4200) on Mon. Nov. 9, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Reversal
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.29 (3.29% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.75% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0% (StdDev 2.75%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.1%
Trend   0.2%
Latest Price  $38.8800(-6.13%)
Forecasted Low Price  38.61(-0.7%)
Forecasted High Price  39.93(2.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(3.8%)
Hourly Trend   -2.1% [$40.2(-0.84), $39.99(-0.08)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  6
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  GDX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDX advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDX advance at 0.4% a week (95% probability)
  GDXJ(98%)    SIL(96%)    SILJ(94%)    GLD(84%)    SLV(81%)  
Factors Impacting GDX price  GDX will advance at least 1.4% in a week (37% probabilities).
  UUP(-56%)    VIXM(-31%)    VXX(-28%)    IYT(-13%)    UNG(-12%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.2
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  1.8% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV   -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $39.02(0.36%)
5 Day Moving Average  $39.87(-2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average  $38.84(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average  $39.18(-0.77%)
To recent high  -9.5%
To recent low  6.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GDX price fluctuates within 3.29% (three month std-dev: 2.75%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GDX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201209

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_9_202039.18 (0.1%)38.84 (0.4%)39.87 (0.1%) 39.99 40.2(0%)38.88(-6.13%)38.03-39.42-0.2(-0.2)-0.4 -1.1%0%0%0.2% Downtrend Reversal  Higher(2%)6491.2-2.2-0.4Uptrend 39.04(0.4%)38.94-39.0743.25   -9.5%-6.5% 
2Nov_6_202039.26 (0.1%)38.78 (0.3%)39.82 (2%) 40.07 41.04(0%)41.42(0.49%)40.99-41.811.4(1.6)1.5 2.5%0.6%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Higher(3.1%)5581.31.71.9Uptrend 41.51(0.22%)41.07-41.721.82   -6.4%-13.4% 
3Nov_5_202039.21 (0%)38.49 (-0.1%)39.04 (2.3%) 39.27 39.79(0%)41.22(7.15%)39.87-41.511.5(1.6)2.5 2%0.5%0%-0.04% N/A  Higher(2.5%)4541.21.50.9N/A 40.79(-1.04%)40.14-41.3251.71   -7.4%-12.9% 
4Nov_4_202039.21 (-0.2%)38.24 (-0.6%)38.18 (1%) 38.42 39.1(0%)38.47(-2.29%)38.4-39.53-0.5(-0.5)0.3 1.1%-0.2%0%-0.3% Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop Higher(2%)3411.2-1.40.5Downtrend Consolidation 38.41(-0.15%)38.7-38.3224.95   -13.6%-5.3% 
5Nov_3_202039.09 (-0.3%)38.37 (-0.9%)37.79 (0.3%) 37.83 38.75(0%)39.37(1.92%)38.84-39.630.2(0.2)1.3 1.8%0.1%0%-0.44% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.9%)2411.21.3-1.6Downtrend 39.11(-0.66%)39.01-39.3420.35   -11.6%-7.8% 
 
6Nov_2_202039.03 (-0.4%)38.36 (-1%)37.68 (0.2%) 37.3 37.75(0%)38.63(3.04%)37.67-38.69-0.3(-0.3)2.1 1.1%-0.1%0%-0.5% Rebound  Range(1%)1421.21.3-2.5After Bottom 38.45(-0.47%)38.01-38.8127.17   -13.2%-5.8% 
7Oct_30_202039.08 (-0.4%)38.4 (-1.2%)37.6 (-0.7%) 37.36 36.9(0%)37.49(1.46%)36.49-37.57-1.2(-1.3)-2.7 -0.3%-0.5%0%-0.56% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.8%)0331.20-2.2Downtrend 37.21(-0.75%)36.98-37.7427.54   -15.8%-2.7% 
8Oct_29_202039.16 (-0.3%)38.63 (-1.2%)37.87 (-1.2%) 37.68 36.85(0%)36.95(1.18%)36.01-37.29-1.7(-2)-1.3 -2%-0.7%0%-0.54% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.7%)0291.1-1.5-2.4Growing Downtrend 36.73(-0.59%)36.47-37.322.3   -17%-1.2
9Oct_28_202039.3 (-0.2%)38.97 (-1%)38.31 (-1.7%) 38.26 37.82(0%)36.52(-5.95%)36.34-37.88-2.4(-2.8)-1.7 -1.7%-0.9%2.2%-0.4% Growing Downtrend  Higher(2.6%)1411-1.8-2.4Growing Downtrend 36.41(-0.3%)36.19-36.9738.78   -18%-0
10Oct_27_202039.45 (0.1%)39.43 (-0.6%)38.99 (-0.3%) 38.77 38.51(0%)38.83(1.62%)38.09-38.86-0.6(-0.8)-0.2 -0.6%-0.3%0%-0.16% Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.9%)1550.8-0.3-0.6Correction 38.37(-1.18%)38.28-38.7514.6   -12.8%-3.2% 
 
11Oct_26_202039.48 (0.1%)39.57 (-0.2%)39.12 (-0.5%) 39.13 38.71(0%)38.21(-1.57%)38.17-39.16-1.3(-1.6)-4.8 -0.7%-0.5%0%-0.06% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)2540.8-1.5-0.2Correction 37.83(-0.99%)37.75-38.1717.82   -14.2%-1.5
12Oct_23_202039.53 (0.1%)39.82 (0%)39.31 (-0.5%) 39.33 39.02(0%)38.82(-0.94%)38.47-39.17-0.8(-0.9)-0.9 -0.9%-0.3%0%0.02% N/A  Range(-0.7%)3470.8-1.90.8Range Bound 38.92(0.27%)39.05-38.8214.39   -12.8%-3.2% 
13Oct_22_202039.52 (0%)39.82 (0.4%)39.51 (-0.6%) 39.54 39.54(0%)39.19(-1.83%)38.59-39.44-0.4(-0.4)-1.8 -0.4%0%0%0.1% Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)4530.8-1.20.6N/A 39.31(0.31%)39.25-39.3719.74   -12%-4.1% 
14Oct_21_202039.5 (-0.1%)40.02 (0.4%)39.73 (-0.5%) 39.79 39.64(0%)39.92(1.17%)39.68-40.410.3(0.5)-0.2 %0.3%0%0.12% Correction  Range(0.3%)4520.900.1N/A 39.87(-0.13%)39.72-39.9917.99   -10.4%-6.1% 
15Oct_20_202039.39 (-0.3%)39.88 (0.5%)39.94 (-0.4%) 39.88 39.54(0%)39.46(0.77%)38.97-39.71-0(0.1)-3.2 -0.9%0.2%0%0.1% Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.7%)4530.9-0.70.2N/A 39.5(0.09%)39.46-39.5315.64   -11.4%-4.9% 
 
16Oct_19_202039.41 (-0.4%)39.77 (0.5%)40.1 (-0.7%) 40.27 39.94(0%)39.16(-1.68%)39.14-40.33-0.2(-0.3)-4.8 -0.6%-0.1%0%0.08% Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.1%)4500.9-0.91.2N/A 39.2(0.09%)39.16-39.2315.27   -12.1%-4.1% 
17Oct_16_202039.45 (-0.4%)39.82 (0.7%)40.4 (-0.5%) 40.35 40.22(0%)39.83(-1.17%)39.83-40.520.3(0.4)-1 -0.7%0.1%0%0.16% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0%)4571-0.90.9N/A 39.81(-0.05%)39.61-39.9813.74   -10.6%-5.8% 
18Oct_15_202039.51 (-0.3%)39.74 (0.7%)40.59 (0.6%) 40.48 40.59(0%)40.3(-1.61%)39.99-40.670.7(0.7)-0.4 0.2%0.1%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.1%)5621.1-0.60.7N/A 40.25(-0.13%)39.87-40.5618.49   -9.5%-7.1% 
19Oct_14_202039.58 (-0.3%)39.66 (0.6%)40.33 (1.3%) 40.5 40.49(0%)40.96(1.76%)40.52-41.341(1.1)2.6 0.8%0.3%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.1%)5631.3-0.30.9Uptrend Reversal 41.39(1.06%)41.03-41.6419.31   -8%-8.8% 
20Oct_13_202039.65 (-0.4%)39.47 (0.4%)39.8 (1.1%) 39.98 40.38(0%)40.25(-1.03%)39.46-40.50.4(0.4)1.1 0.4%0.1%0%0.14% Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)6661.4-0.90.9Uptrend Reversal 40.72(1.16%)40.32-40.9820.06   -9.6%-8.4% 
 
21Oct_12_202039.76 (-0.3%)39.37 (0.2%)39.38 (0.6%) 39.58 40.51(0%)40.67(-0.27%)40.35-41.010.5(0.6)1.8 1.6%0.3%0%0.04% Growing Uptrend  Higher(2%)6521.5-0.81.3N/A 40.45(-0.53%)40.19-40.6713.99   -8.7%-9.5% 
22Oct_9_202039.84 (-0.3%)39.18 (0.1%)39.16 (1%) 39.16 39.59(0%)40.78(4.64%)39.83-40.80.5(0.6)2.1 1.6%0.4%0%-0.04% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2%)6531.5-0.51.1Rebound 40.32(-1.12%)40.78-40.1329.91   -8.4%-9.8% 
23Oct_8_202039.85 (-0.4%)38.93 (-0.2%)38.79 (-0.3%) 38.94 38.64(0%)38.97(1.62%)38.48-39.17-0.5(-0.5)-0.3 -0.2%-0%0%-0.22% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)5381.6-1.51.1After Bottom 39.02(0.12%)38.49-39.4518.48   -12.5%-5% 
24Oct_7_202039.98 (-0.4%)38.91 (-0.4%)38.91 (-0.4%) 39.01 38.74(0%)38.35(0.63%)38.15-38.81-1(-1)-2.2 -0.9%-0.1%0%-0.3% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1%)5321.6-1.80.7After Bottom 38.61(0.67%)37.75-39.3121.96   -13.9%-3.3% 
25Oct_6_202040.18 (-0.3%)38.85 (-0.6%)39.08 (-0.6%) 39.28 39.24(0%)38.11(-3.69%)38.07-40.06-1.2(-1.3)-3.8 -0.2%-0.4%0%-0.42% Growing Downtrend  Range(1.2%)5291.5-1.70.3Downtrend 37.84(-0.72%)37.57-38.4626.79   -14.4%-3.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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