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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)

GDX latest price $41.3600 (-1.76%) ($41.3400 - $42.5400) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  GDX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDX advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDX advance at 0.4% a week (94% probability)
  GDXJ(98%)    SIL(95%)    SILJ(95%)    GLD(80%)    SLV(75%)  
Factors Impacting GDX price  GDX will advance at least -0% in a week (46% probabilities).
  UUP(-54%)    VXX(-47%)    VIXM(-46%)    BJK(-11%)    FEX(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1
 
Relative Volatility   -1.3 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   -2.1
Hourly Trend   -1.41% [$41.88(-0.62), $42.48(-0.11)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.55% [$41.68, $41.91]


GDX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  38%
Bullish Price Move  2.6%
Bearish Probability  63%
Bearish Price Move  -2.6%
Recommended Position Size  -10%
Latest Price  $41.3600
Next Day Open Price  $40.91(-1.1%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $41.42(0.15%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $41.4 - $41.43
5 Day Moving Average  $42.38(-2.41%)
10 Day Moving Average  $41.87(-1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average  $41.61(-0.6%)
To recent high  -7.1%
To recent low  27.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. GDX price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 2.55%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. GDX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201018

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-7.1%-27.5% 0.4%,0.2(-0.1)0.8%,0.4(-0.1)0.1%,0.1-2.4-0.55%0.6%-0.3-2.110.71.86%2.124.38   41.36(-1.76%)41.34-42.54Uptrend 41.42(0.15%)41.4-41.4347
2Sep_17_2020-5.5%-29.8% 0.6%,0.3(-0.1)0.9%,0.5(0.1)0.3%,0.1-0.3-0.02%0.6%0.6-0.510.72.13%2.121.11   42.1(-1.75%)41.37-42.32Uptrend 42.15(0.12%)42.01-42.2160
3Sep_16_2020-3.8%-32.1% 0.7%,0.4(-0.2)0.8%,0.5(-0.1)0.2%,0.12.1-0.09%0.6%1.71.11.40.71.99%1.421.59   42.85(0.14%)42.6-43.48Uptrend 42.85(0%)42.58-42.9756
4Sep_15_2020-3.9%-31.9% 1%,0.6(0.1)0.9%,0.5(0.1)1.1%,0.61.8-0.19%0.3%1.71.31.30.72.02%0.821.33   42.79(0%)42.52-43.6Growing Uptrend 42.86(0.17%)42.55-42.9461
5Sep_14_2020-3.9%-31.9% 0.8%,0.4(0.3)0.7%,0.4(0.2)0.9%,0.500.3%0.2%1.61.81.70.71.96%0.824.07   42.79(3.96%)41.78-42.84Growing Uptrend 42.84(0.11%)42.56-42.9161
 
6Sep_11_2020-7.6%-26.9% 0.3%,0.2(0.2)0.4%,0.2(0.1)-0.1%,-01.80.02%0.2%-0.4-0.40.90.72.23%0.119.35   41.16(-1.01%)40.91-42.33Growing Uptrend 41.2(0.1%)41.22-41.253
7Sep_10_2020-6.6%-28.2% -0.1%,-0.1(0.3)0.2%,0.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.13-0.6%0.2%0.211.20.72.3%-0.724.67   41.58(-1.79%)41.44-42.89Range Bound 41.55(-0.08%)41.5-41.5848
8Sep_9_2020-4.9%-30.6% -0.7%,-0.3(0.3)0.4%,0.2(0.3)0.3%,0.200.26%0.5%1.21.41.30.82.09%-0.730.08   42.34(4.34%)40.98-42.45Rebound 41.76(-1.36%)42.34-41.5257
9Sep_8_2020-8.9%-25.1% -1.3%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.1(0)-0.8%,-0.3-1.2-0.32%0.4%-0.600.40.92.64%-1.223.87   40.58(-0.69%)39.29-41.37Downtrend 40.51(-0.18%)40.44-40.6840
10Sep_4_2020-8.2%-26% -1.1%,-0.4(-0)-0.3%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.2-1.20.71%0.2%-0.4-0.6-0.612.26%-1.131.76   40.86(-1.04%)39.47-41.14Downtrend 40.81(-0.12%)40.76-40.9439
 
11Sep_3_2020-7.3%-27.3% -1%,-0.3(-0.1)0.1%,0(-0)0.3%,0.1-1.20.51%0.1%-0-0.8-0.61.12.15%-2.423.49   41.29(-1.13%)40.23-41.76N/A 41.25(-0.1%)41.2-41.2956
12Sep_2_2020-6.2%-28.8% -0.8%,-0.3(-0)0.2%,0.1(-0.1)0.1%,0-0.30.31%-0.1%0.20.8-1.11.31.94%0.221.57   41.76(0.22%)40.41-41.8Growing Downtrend 41.75(-0.03%)41.76-41.6956
13Sep_1_2020-6.4%-28.5% -0.7%,-0.2(0)0.6%,0.2(-0.1)0.5%,0.10.6-0.29%-0.6%0.10.8-0.91.32.24%024.21   41.67(-1.42%)41.17-43.13Range Bound 41.68(0.02%)41.59-41.7561
14Aug_31_2020-5.1%-30.3% -0.8%,-0.2(0.1)1.1%,0.3(0.1)0.8%,0.20.9-0.24%-0.7%0.41-0.51.32.07%0.120.68   42.27(0.74%)41.92-42.81N/A 42.24(-0.07%)41.93-42.565
15Aug_28_2020-5.8%-29.4% -1.1%,-0.3(0)0.8%,0.2(0.2)0.5%,0.10.9-0.02%-0.6%0.21.8-0.81.42.39%0.827.11   41.96(3.2%)41.25-42.23Uptrend Reversal 42.45(1.17%)42.04-42.7349
 
16Aug_27_2020-8.7%-25.4% -1.2%,-0.3(-0.1)0%,0(0.1)-0.6%,-0.20.30.24%-1.1%-0.70.2-1.41.42.48%0.731.56   40.66(-2.26%)40.04-42.34Rebound 41.14(1.17%)40.51-41.4144
17Aug_26_2020-6.6%-28.3% -0.9%,-0.3(-0)-0.4%,-0.1(0.4)0.3%,0.1-0.3-0.02%-1.2%-0.11.7-11.42.55%1.327.24   41.6(2.51%)40.07-41.63Rebound 41.66(0.15%)41.45-41.7541
18Aug_25_2020-8.9%-25.1% -0.9%,-0.2(-0.1)-1.7%,-0.5(0.2)-1%,-0.3-0.60.47%-1.9%-0.8-0.3-1.31.42.4%1.620.08   40.58(-0.17%)39.59-40.61Downtrend Consolidation 40.5(-0.19%)41.04-40.3337
19Aug_24_2020-8.7%-25.3% -0.3%,-0.1(-0.2)-2.4%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.3-0.6-0.1%-2.5%-0.9-0.9-1.41.42.51%1.717.69   40.65(-0.59%)40.59-41.61Downtrend 40.41(-0.59%)40.19-40.9237
20Aug_21_2020-8.2%-26.1% 0.3%,0.1(-0.1)-1.9%,-0.5(0.1)0.3%,0.1-1.20.05%-2.5%-0.8-0.6-1.21.42.23%1.723.96   40.89(-2.57%)40.44-41.3Downtrend 40.8(-0.22%)40.66-41.1246
 
21Aug_20_2020-5.7%-29.4% 0.6%,0.2(-0)-2.1%,-0.6(-0)0.7%,0.2-1.20.36%-2.2%-0.20.5-0.61.32.26%1.529.49   41.97(2.34%)40.79-42.1Correction 40.95(-2.44%)40.75-41.7448
22Aug_19_2020-7.9%-26.5% 0.7%,0.2(-0)-1.9%,-0.5(0.1)0.9%,0.20.9-0.49%-1.7%-0.8-0.2-1.11.42.53%1.636.73   41.01(-3.87%)40.77-42.61Downtrend 40.99(-0.06%)40.86-41.2750
23Aug_18_2020-4.2%-31.5% 0.8%,0.2(0.1)-2.1%,-0.6(0.2)1.8%,0.52.4-0.07%-1%0.31.6-0.31.42.56%1.627.74   42.66(-0.7%)42.01-44.09Downtrend 42.53(-0.31%)42.5-42.5849
24Aug_17_2020-3.5%-32.5% 0.6%,0.1(-0.1)-2.9%,-0.8(0.1)0.3%,0.11.20.07%-0.4%0.51.5-0.11.42.41%1.835.28   42.96(6.47%)41.85-43Downtrend 42.63(-0.77%)42.55-42.848
25Aug_14_2020-9.4%-24.4% 0.9%,0.2(-0.1)-3.4%,-0.8(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.30.60.17%-0.3%-1-0.7-1.21.52.13%1.820.75   40.35(-0.69%)39.72-40.72Correction 38.82(-3.78%)38.57-39.8638
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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