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     Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)

GDX latest price $30.8907 (0.94%) ($30.7621 - $31.1034) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.11% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $30.8907(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GDX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDX advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SIL(92%)    GLD(75%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(47%)    XME(42%)  
Factors Impacting GDX price  GDX will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-16%)    TBT(-16%)    IPO(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $30.67(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average  $29.7(4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average  $29.54(4.57%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  40.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GDX price fluctuates within 3.32% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11   Average positive next day return: 1.69%(18%)   Average negative next day return: -0.89%(82%)
Sample size 11   Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(36%)   Average negative next three day return: -1.13%(64%)
Sample size 11   Average positive next weekly return: 1.01%(73%)   Average negative next weekly return: -2.54%(27%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160904

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
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1Aug_4_201624.7629.5429.730.67 30.72 30.7630.89(0.94%)UTOpenLong750.2   22   10   7   65   44.51    52%0.4545.83.11%01.457INF
2Aug_3_201624.6529.4629.4630.37 30.52 30.8330.6(-1.21%)UDOpenLong750.2   20   90   10   48   50.5    52%0.4550.93.18%01.253INF
3Aug_2_201624.5429.4329.1730.15 30.22 30.6930.98(1.26%)UTOpenLong750.9   26   120   24   32   68.9    52%0.4966.73.2%01.754INF
4Aug_1_201624.4229.3428.9829.59 29.7 30.2130.59(1.11%)UTOpenLong751.2   23   130   26   14   84.32    52%0.4566.23.21%01.558INF
5Jul_29_201624.3129.2428.8628.96 29.12 29.7630.26(2.82%)RBSmallLong201.6   13   170   22   -14   74.38    56%0.4561.13.23%01.249INF
 
6Jul_28_201624.229.128.7728.6 28.52 29.1829.43(-0.17%)N/AN/A00.9   5   150   17   -32   57.02    58%0.4158.93.31%00.445INF
7Jul_27_201624.128.9828.7928.42 28.25 28.4929.48(4.56%)N/AN/A01   5   40   18   -34   113.31    58%0.4654.23.34%00.551INF
8Jul_26_201623.9928.8328.8328.07 28.09 27.8628.19(2.78%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -20   -60   -7   -59   74.12    56%0.3346.13.3%0-0.640INF
9Jul_25_201623.9128.7828.9328.3 28.1 28.0127.43(-3.65%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -28   -40   -18   -58   89.56    56%0.3454.63.3%0-1.142INF
10Jul_22_201623.8328.7529.2228.74 28.55 28.3228.47(-0.31%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -11   -80   -5   -30   30.45    58%0.3865.53.26%0-0.251INF
 
11Jul_21_201623.7428.5929.3928.96 28.85 28.1928.56(3.14%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -16   -170   -17   -12   85.51    58%0.4259.43.29%0-059INF
12Jul_20_201623.6428.4429.4829.22 29.17 28.7927.69(-5.66%)CRSmallShort-20-0.9   -16   -100   -24   8   130.41    58%0.3856.73.27%0-0.459INF
13Jul_19_201623.5528.3129.4829.69 29.52 29.5129.35(-1.03%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   14   -20   -1   58   44.5    65%0.4758.43.2%00.670INF
14Jul_18_201623.4428.1229.7529.64 29.52 29.5529.65(0.37%)UDOpenLong650   17   -20   -2   72   50.57    65%0.4755.23.24%00.868INF
15Jul_15_201623.3327.9229.6729.76 29.62 29.5229.55(-1.13%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   18   -40   -7   91   50.42    65%0.4756.53.24%00.869INF
 
16Jul_14_201623.2227.7129.4829.9 29.77 29.729.88(-0.53%)UDOpenLong75-0   30   -30   1   118   55.92    65%0.4855.93.24%01.177INF
17Jul_13_201623.1127.5129.229.78 29.83 29.7330.04(3.3%)UTHoldLong500.1   31   -20   -1   126   66.79    65%0.4857.23.27%01.375INF
18Jul_12_20162327.2628.8429.82 29.73 29.8329.08(-3.92%)UDOpenLong65-0.4   33   10   -3   142   94.5    63%0.48603.28%00.975INF
19Jul_11_201622.8927.0828.6329.86 29.83 29.9230.27(0.2%)UTOpenLong750.2   52   20   13   167   46.58    69%0.5763.53.23%01.775INF
20Jul_8_201622.7626.8428.2429.56 29.59 29.6230.21(3.14%)UTOpenLong750.4   51   10   13   163   94.81    69%0.5365.83.3%01.973INF
 
21Jul_7_201622.6426.6127.7229 29.27 29.7529.29(-3.14%)UDOpenLong750.2   51   140   19   146   88.89    69%0.49743.3%01.772INF
22Jul_6_201622.5326.4227.3228.51 28.7 29.5530.24(3.14%)UTOpenLong751.2   60   230   36   133   106.29    69%0.6381.43.28%02.670INF
23Jul_5_201622.3926.1426.7527.73 27.92 28.829.32(2.03%)UTOpenLong751.3   49   240   32   100   70.58    69%0.4990.93.26%02.672INF
24Jul_1_201622.2825.9226.3427.22 27.24 27.8528.73(4.84%)UTOpenLong751.6   40   160   27   78   86.02    69%0.5115.93.28%02.965INF
25Jun_30_201622.1725.7225.9926.75 26.79 27.0527.41(2.06%)UTOpenLong750.7   29   70   19   57   53.54    67%112.13.22%01.760INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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