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     Wed. Dec. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)

GDX latest price $13.9949 (1.35%) ($13.8184 - $14.2499) on Wed. Dec. 9, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.2% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $13.9949(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GDX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDX advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    BWX(47%)    PCY(32%)  
Factors Impacting GDX price  GDX will decline at least -1.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-18%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(2%)    IYT(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.6% (StdDev 3.2%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $14.02(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average  $13.78(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average  $13.55(3.28%)
To recent high  -15.6%
To recent low  9.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GDX price fluctuates within 2.8% (three month std-dev: 3.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2   Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -0.02%(50%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(100%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next weekly return: 4.17%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160109

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Dec_9_201514.0313.5513.7814.02 14.07 13.9613.99(1.35%)UTOpenLong75-0.1   16   -40   5   50   50.91    57%031.43.2%01.259INF
2Dec_8_201514.0313.5113.7313.92 14 13.9913.81(-0.85%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   10   10   -3   50   58.94    57%0.077.73.22%00.861INF
3Dec_7_201514.0213.4913.6713.94 13.92 14.1813.93(-4.25%)UDOpenLong75-0   18   130   7   51   69.18    57%-0.14-5.13.23%01.254INF
4Dec_4_201514.0413.4513.5913.85 13.82 14.0214.54(5.3%)UTOpenLong751.9   27   90   20   49   76.94    60%-0.07-30.23.2%0360INF
5Dec_3_201514.0513.4113.4913.58 13.6 13.6613.81(2.13%)UTOpenLong750.9   11   40   5   29   51.98    58%-0.14-84.63.14%01.557INF
 
6Dec_2_201514.0713.4313.4313.51 13.46 13.6313.52(-2.61%)UDOpenLong750   6   80   1   20   59.2    58%-0.21-92.33.14%00.352INF
7Dec_1_201514.113.4813.3713.52 13.44 13.5513.89(2.91%)UTOpenLong750.9   15   40   13   21   55.24    56%-0.21-83.73.12%0158INF
8Nov_30_201514.1313.5113.3213.36 13.37 13.2913.49(2.3%)UTOpenLong750.3   4   -40   4   3   43.28    56%-0.21-89.53.1%0-049INF
9Nov_27_201514.1613.5613.313.28 13.29 13.3213.19(-1.9%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -7   20   -8   -5   38.46    60%-0.35-95.63.12%0-0.751INF
10Nov_25_201514.2113.6413.3113.39 13.36 13.4513.45(-0.94%)N/AN/A00.1   4   40   5   0   35.08    55%-0.28-75.93.21%0-0.346INF
 
11Nov_24_201514.2513.7413.313.34 13.39 13.4513.57(3.83%)N/AN/A00.3   3   -50   8   -14   59.25    52%-0.28-67.93.24%0-0.242INF
12Nov_23_201514.2913.8413.2613.19 13.39 13.2713.07(-0.52%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -18   10   -8   -48   26.68    50%-0.07-67.93.36%0-0.834INF
13Nov_20_201514.313.9713.3113.28 13.29 13.5113.14(-4.08%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -12   120   1   -52   67.61    52%-0.28-59.23.37%0-0.834INF
14Nov_19_201514.3414.1113.3113.32 13.3 13.313.7(3.56%)DPOpenShort-650.4   -9   -0   9   -64   57.81    55%-0.21-563.38%0-0.438INF
15Nov_18_201514.3714.2113.3213.22 13.22 13.0613.23(3.13%)DPOpenShort-750   -26   -80   -5   -89   69.24    53%-0.28-60.33.37%0-0.930INF
 
16Nov_17_201514.4114.3313.4213.25 13.26 13.2912.83(-4.8%)DTHoldShort-65-0.4   -29   20   -5   -102   70.96    55%-0.35-62.93.35%0-1.419INF
17Nov_16_201514.4614.4913.613.33 13.32 13.3713.48(0.89%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -25   20   2   -107   24.23    57%-0.34-62.53.33%0-121INF
18Nov_13_201514.5114.5913.7113.35 13.27 13.2413.36(1.11%)DPOpenShort-650   -29   -30   1   -118   31.49    54%-0.27-62.43.33%0-1.220INF
19Nov_12_201514.5514.7213.8413.31 13.29 13.2613.21(-1.32%)DTHoldShort-65-0.1   -39   -20   -6   -137   41.79    57%-0.34-62.13.4%0-1.415INF
20Nov_11_201514.614.891413.43 13.31 13.313.39(1.34%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -42   -30   -10   -138   29.73    57%-0.34-54.63.5%0-1.423INF
 
21Nov_10_201514.6515.0514.2113.62 13.5 13.313.21(-2.6%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -44   -120   -15   -129   54.22    59%-0.27-48.43.51%0-1.826INF
22Nov_9_201514.6915.1714.4613.91 13.82 13.3213.56(2.75%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -41   -270   -17   -114   76.44    59%-0.34-453.59%0-1.825INF
23Nov_6_201514.7415.2814.6814.15 14.13 13.6813.2(-4.4%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -43   -230   -23   -102   73.8    59%-0.41-38.73.57%0-2.430INF
24Nov_5_201514.815.4314.9814.44 14.47 14.3213.81(-3.69%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -30   -70   -13   -80   89.9    61%-0.34-253.54%0-2.329INF
25Nov_4_201514.8515.515.1914.64 14.65 14.5914.34(-2.14%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -27   -30   -11   -76   47.75    63%-5.83.51%0-1.929INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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