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     Thu. Nov. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)

GDX latest price $17.4792 (-1.64%) ($17.3526 - $18.0541) on Thu. Nov. 13, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.81% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $17.4792(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GDX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDX declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    GDXJ(41%)    PCY(31%)  
Factors Impacting GDX price  GDX will decline at least -1.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-19%)    TBT(-7%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.405% (StdDev 2.81%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -2.8%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $18.41
5 Day Moving Average  $17.63(-0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average  $17.23(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average  $18.41(-5.06%)
To recent high  -34.5%
To recent low  8.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GDX price fluctuates within 8.2% (three month std-dev: 2.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(100%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: -2.5%(100%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: -5%(100%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20141213

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Nov_13_201423.1118.4117.2317.63 17.63 17.7717.48(-1.64%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -16   60   7   -83   56.2    33%-0.34-47.42.81%0-0.638INF
2Nov_12_201423.1918.5717.2417.49 17.62 17.7117.77(0.11%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -13   60   20   -113   46.63    34%-0.3-48.32.8%0-0.539INF
3Nov_11_201423.2618.7217.3617.17 17.34 17.517.75(4.41%)DPOpenShort-650.4   -28   90   11   -144   86.72    34%-0.34-542.82%0-0.640INF
4Nov_10_201423.3418.8717.5516.97 17.02 17.5217(-6.38%)DPOpenShort-650   -40   210   3   -170   111.61    31%-0.34-54.62.75%0-1.233INF
5Nov_7_201423.4219.0617.817.06 16.93 17.1818.16(8.31%)DPOpenShort-650.7   -24   80   26   -173   136.48    33%-0.34-55.72.66%0-0.636INF
 
6Nov_6_201423.519.1617.9516.78 16.82 16.5316.77(3.74%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -68   -110   -14   -229   103    29%-0.3-602.42%0-1.530INF
7Nov_5_201423.5719.3618.2716.98 16.86 16.6916.16(-3.6%)DTHoldShort-65-0.5   -92   -90   -43   -240   86.23    26%-0.34-60.52.39%0-2.122INF
8Nov_4_201423.6519.6318.6617.57 17.36 17.1216.77(-3.91%)DTHoldShort-65-0.6   -80   -130   -36   -212   67.54    27%-0.25-57.22.36%0-2.223INF
9Nov_3_201423.7119.819.0418.22 17.97 17.0317.45(4.07%)DPOpenShort-75-0.7   -74   -410   -40   -177   74.23    28%-0.25-54.72.33%0-227INF
10Oct_31_201423.7719.9719.3718.65 18.63 17.5916.77(-5.44%)DTHoldShort-65-1.8   -92   -390   -68   -164   103.84    24%-0.29-53.62.26%0-3.122INF
 
11Oct_30_201423.8420.1619.7319.28 19.35 18.9117.73(-7.33%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -62   -150   -44   -115   113.09    26%-0.21-59.42.19%0-3.231INF
12Oct_29_201423.8920.3320.0619.74 19.75 19.6719.14(-4.33%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -27   -30   -12   -73   68.05    28%-0.17-68.62.02%0-2.236INF
13Oct_28_201423.9320.4220.2319.9 19.85 19.7820(2.09%)DPOpenShort-750.2   -23   -30   -8   -67   32.7    30%-0.08-78.21.96%0-0.935INF
14Oct_27_201423.9520.4620.3120.01 19.93 19.8319.59(-1.76%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -26   -50   -17   -51   28.52    28%-0.08-81.31.94%0-1.950INF
15Oct_24_201423.9720.5520.4220.22 20.19 19.9119.94(-0.44%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -13   -100   -7   -30   16.31    31%-0.08-75.41.98%0-1.346INF
 
16Oct_23_201423.9920.6220.4620.26 20.33 20.0320.03(0.59%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -24   -90   -21   -31   36.27    31%-0.08-741.98%0-1.252INF
17Oct_22_201424.0120.720.5220.42 20.49 20.4619.91(-3.13%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -18   0   -16   -22   40.03    31%-0.08-70.11.98%0-1.544INF
18Oct_21_201424.0320.7920.6720.62 20.66 20.6220.56(-0.47%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   2   -10   -0   7   21.7    32%-0.04-67.71.95%0-0.449INF
19Oct_20_201424.0420.8520.6720.67 20.71 20.5120.66(2.46%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -4   -60   -5   -2   33    32%-0.04-74.31.95%0-0.350INF
20Oct_17_201424.0520.920.6720.65 20.8 20.6920.16(-3.14%)DTOpenShort-75-0.8   -9   -20   -8   -13   54.51    33%-0.08-81.81.92%0-1.244INF
 
21Oct_16_201424.0720.9920.6120.67 20.85 20.9220.81(-0.42%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -4   50   3   -25   28.76    36%0-83.81.92%0-0.345INF
22Oct_15_201424.0721.0720.6320.64 20.76 20.9120.9(0.37%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -11   70   -1   -39   36.04    35%-0.04-81.51.94%0-0.243INF
23Oct_14_201424.0821.1620.6220.74 20.74 20.7820.82(1.18%)N/AN/A00.1   2   10   14   -36   36.07    33%-0.17-70.71.97%0-0.444INF
24Oct_13_201424.1221.2820.6120.55 20.69 20.6120.58(1.69%)DPOpenShort-750   -19   -10   -1   -72   45.81    33%-0.08-72.11.98%0-0.740INF
25Oct_10_201424.1421.4120.6720.56 20.59 20.720.24(-2.12%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -19   40   -0   -77   52.08    35%-69.62%0-1.141INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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