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     Thu. Jul. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)

GDX latest price $25.4102 (-1.55%) ($25.2786 - $25.6538) on Thu. Jul. 24, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.67% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $25.4102(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GDX declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDX advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SIL(92%)    GLD(77%)    SLV(67%)    GDXJ(43%)    PCY(31%)  
Factors Impacting GDX price  GDX will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-20%)    VIXM(-1%)    UNG(3%)    XHB(4%)    XLF(5%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.9%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $25.82
5 Day Moving Average  $25.92(-1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average  $25.91(-1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average  $25.82(-1.59%)
To recent high  -4.5%
To recent low  18.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GDX price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4   Average positive next day return: 2.1%(75%)   Average negative next day return: -1.65%(25%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next three day return: 3.55%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -3.81%(50%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next weekly return: 4.63%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -6.86%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20140824

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Jul_24_201424.0925.8225.9125.92 25.9 25.7125.41(-1.55%)DTOpenShort-75-1.3   -15   -50   -18   -5   32.71    66%041.91.67%0-148INF
2Jul_23_201424.0925.8125.9626.09 26.05 25.9725.81(-0.38%)UDOpenLong65-0.7   3   -30   -2   17   20.05    66%062.61.67%0051INF
3Jul_22_201424.0925.7626.0326.05 26.07 26.125.91(-1.15%)UDOpenLong75-0.3   13   10   8   29   24.41    66%0671.68%00.354INF
4Jul_21_201424.0925.7526.0225.9 25.94 26.1326.21(-0.15%)UDOpenLong750.7   10   60   8   17   20.05    66%0.0479.81.68%0154INF
5Jul_18_201424.0825.725.9425.84 25.8 26.0426.25(-0.19%)UDOpenLong750.9   8   60   6   13   29.64    66%0.0493.41.68%01.258INF
 
6Jul_17_201424.0725.6525.8925.91 25.76 25.7626.3(2.7%)UTOpenLong750.8   13   -20   8   27   49.43    66%0.04122.31.69%01.459INF
7Jul_16_201424.0625.5525.8925.84 25.84 25.5525.61(1.94%)N/AN/A0-0.4   -9   -80   -19   20   35.83    64%0112.81.67%00.156INF
8Jul_15_201424.0625.4525.8426.01 26.08 25.7725.12(-3.08%)N/AN/A0-1.3   -4   -80   -20   43   57.3    63%-0.04103.71.66%0-0.556INF
9Jul_14_201424.0725.3825.9126.14 26.23 26.1425.91(-2.64%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   16   -10   -1   66   50.88    68%099.71.63%00.653INF
10Jul_11_201424.0725.2625.8626.03 26.15 26.3926.62(2.67%)UTOpenLong750.6   28   80   14   68   44.29    72%0.0496.11.6%01.563INF
 
11Jul_10_201424.0625.125.7225.87 25.93 26.3325.93(-1.99%)UDOpenLong750.1   29   110   19   57   56.46    70%0.0496.81.58%00.955INF
12Jul_9_201424.0524.9625.6425.84 25.72 25.9126.45(2.61%)UTOpenLong750.6   35   40   23   71   45.72    74%0.0493.91.58%01.571INF
13Jul_8_201424.0424.7625.4825.84 25.6 25.9125.78(1.61%)UTOpenLong750.1   17   -30   -0   68   39.25    74%0.08871.55%00.972INF
14Jul_7_201424.0224.5825.4525.67 25.6 25.5325.37(-1.74%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   23   -30   -3   99   27.76    73%-0.0880.31.57%00.771INF
15Jul_3_201424.0424.4225.4425.65 25.62 25.6625.82(0.08%)UTOpenLong750.1   36   10   5   130   24.03    77%0.0872.41.54%0174INF
 
16Jul_2_201424.0224.2325.3925.55 25.53 25.7125.8(0.91%)UTOpenLong750.2   50   50   15   156   47.78    79%0.0469.81.55%01.174INF
17Jul_1_201424.0124.0325.2325.41 25.37 25.5725.57(-0.79%)UDOpenLong750.1   54   50   17   165   37.69    79%0.0467.41.58%01.177INF
18Jun_30_20142423.8525.0425.26 25.2 25.3625.77(1.81%)UTHoldLong650.4   48   40   8   167   35.17    79%0.13641.59%01.381INF
19Jun_27_201423.9723.6424.825.22 25.16 25.1825.31(0.12%)UTHoldLong650.1   52   -0   5   191   18.78    78%0.0862.61.58%01.282INF
20Jun_26_201423.9523.4724.6325.19 25.19 25.0425.28(0.74%)UTHoldLong500.1   48   -40   -6   211   24.49    69%0.13601.58%01.380INF
 
21Jun_25_201423.9223.2924.4425.22 25.22 25.1525.1(1.14%)UTHoldLong65-0.1   61   -20   4   233   26.66    69%0.08581.67%01.379INF
22Jun_24_201423.923.1124.2225.02 25.21 25.3424.82(-3.05%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   78   60   21   247   47.79    61%0.0851.71.66%01.380INF
23Jun_23_201423.8822.9523.9924.76 24.83 25.2825.6(1.74%)UTHoldLong650.6   87   140   36   238   29.85    66%0.13441.72%0288INF
24Jun_20_201423.8522.7923.6324.31 24.31 25.0825.16(-1.04%)UDOpenLong750.7   86   220   44   213   39.26    64%0.1338.81.71%02.188INF
25Jun_19_201423.8222.6623.3223.98 23.89 24.3825.42(5.37%)UTHoldLong651.5   88   130   52   196   79.26    58%34.61.7%02.887INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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