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     Wed. Jan. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: GDX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF)

GDX latest price $23.3933 (2.61%) ($22.7503 - $23.4323) on Wed. Jan. 29, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.15% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $23.3933(2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GDX advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GDX advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GDX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  GLD(77%)    GDXJ(45%)    PCY(30%)    LQD(28%)    TIP(27%)  
Factors Impacting GDX price  GDX will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-20%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(3%)    SHY(10%)    XBI(12%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $22.93(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average  $22.7(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $22.03(6.19%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  18%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GDX price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26   Average positive next day return: 1.66%(58%)   Average negative next day return: -0.97%(42%)
Sample size 26   Average positive next three day return: 2.81%(46%)   Average negative next three day return: -2.68%(54%)
Sample size 26   Average positive next weekly return: 4.69%(42%)   Average negative next weekly return: -2.24%(58%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

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iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Jan_29_201421.5922.0322.722.93 22.88 22.8923.39(2.61%)UTOpenLong750.6   36   -0   14   103   45.32    71%0.3785.62.15%01.768NAN
2Jan_28_201421.5121.8722.5222.75 22.86 22.622.8(2.23%)UTHoldLong500.1   14   -70   -9   84   35.81    69%0.2381.52.16%01.261NAN
3Jan_27_201421.4621.7722.4522.81 22.88 22.8822.3(-3.3%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   18   10   -9   99   39.4    67%0.1902.18%00.659NAN
4Jan_24_201421.4221.6822.3722.9 22.92 23.1123.06(-0.21%)UDOpenLong750.2   45   60   17   127   36.43    74%0.3302.06%01.666NAN
5Jan_23_201421.3521.5522.1522.69 22.77 22.8923.11(2.73%)UTOpenLong750.5   40   50   19   104   45.88    74%0.3802.1%01.964NAN
 
6Jan_22_201421.2721.3921.9422.43 22.5 22.7322.5(-2.57%)UDOpenLong750.1   33   80   14   90   36.79    71%0.3302.11%01.467NAN
7Jan_21_201421.221.2521.8322.24 22.22 22.6523.09(1.59%)UTHoldLong651.1   42   130   22   101   36.62    79%0.4302.02%02.476NAN
8Jan_17_201421.1121.2521.6422.04 21.97 22.2622.73(3.14%)UTOpenLong750.9   22   80   26   10   39.78    79%0.4802.07%029.966NAN
9Jan_16_201421.0121.2521.4921.78 21.78 21.7922.04(1.03%)UTOpenLong750.4   15   0   17   7   17.87    76%0.2902.05%032.464NAN
10Jan_15_201420.9521.2521.4221.52 21.59 21.6821.81(1.31%)UTOpenLong750.4   7   40   8   3   25.07    76%0.2402.11%033.663NAN
 
11Jan_14_201420.921.2521.321.36 21.42 21.7621.53(-2.43%)UDOpenLong750.3   8   120   9   4   44.79    76%0.1902.17%034.266NAN
12Jan_13_201420.8621.2521.1721.34 21.24 21.5122.07(2.91%)UTOpenLong751.2   16   70   19   8   41.02    85%0.4302.08%03572NAN
13Jan_10_201420.7721.2521.0321.2 21.12 21.0721.44(3.48%)UTOpenLong750.4   3   -30   3   1   48.86    82%0.2402.08%038.350NAN
14Jan_9_201420.7221.2520.9321.16 21.16 20.9820.72(-1.57%)DTOpenShort-75-0.8   -12   -60   -14   -6   26.82    78%001.98%037.750NAN
15Jan_8_201420.7221.2520.9221.31 21.3 21.1621.06(-1.64%)N/AN/A0-0.4   -1   -50   -1   -0   32.74    78%0.1401.98%036.950NAN
 
16Jan_7_201420.6921.2520.8121.22 21.34 21.3421.41(0.18%)UTOpenLong750.3   12   20   14   6   20.75    78%0.3401.94%036.350NAN
17Jan_6_201420.6221.2520.6520.96 21.12 21.4421.37(0.46%)UTOpenLong750.7   10   130   12   5   27.91    78%0.3902.03%037.550NAN
18Jan_3_201420.5421.2520.6520.83 20.84 21.3521.27(-0.91%)UDOpenLong750.8   20   170   23   9   24.08    78%0.4902.15%039.450NAN
19Jan_2_201420.4421.2520.6520.68 20.64 20.7921.46(4.26%)UTOpenLong751.6   19   50   22   9   50.94    78%0.6902.18%042.950NAN
20Dec_31_201320.321.2520.6520.48 20.47 20.3320.59(2.37%)UTOpenLong750.3   4   -50   4   2   45.94    67%0.2501.92%062.450NAN
 
21Dec_30_201320.2521.2520.6520.34 20.44 20.4820.11(-2.87%)UDOpenLong75-0.7   2   30   2   1   41.98    54%-0.1501.93%059.150NAN
22Dec_27_201320.2821.2520.6520.28 20.31 20.6220.7(0.95%)UTOpenLong751.2   369   110   434   174   20.87    100%0.5501.22%057.550NAN
23Dec_26_201320.1721.2520.6516.14 20.13 20.420.51(0.1%)UTOpenLong7513.2   415   840   488   195   18.4    100%0.5501.4%062.250NAN
24Dec_24_201320.0621.2520.6512.03 20.13 20.420.49(3.14%)UTOpenLong7527.3   604   NAN   710   284   34.89    100%1.1101.45%066.150NAN
25Dec_23_201319.8421.2520.657.94 20.13 20.419.87(0.25%)N/AN/A0596.5   NAN   NAN   INF   NAN   18.65    100%00%0993.550NAN
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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