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     Fri. Jan. 22, 2021

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)

GBTC latest price $34.4500 (7.88%) ($32.8000 - $34.9900) on Fri. Jan. 22, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  6.65% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $34.4500(7.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GBTC declines -4.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GBTC declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  BLOK(65%)    BWX(50%)    ARKG(38%)    XAR(38%)    IGOV(36%)  
Factors Impacting GBTC price  GBTC will decline at least -3.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VXX(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-5%)    UNG(-4%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -3.325% (StdDev 6.65%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   5%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $36.59
5 Day Moving Average  $35.83(-3.85%)
10 Day Moving Average  $38.2(-9.82%)
20 Day Moving Average  $36.59(-5.85%)
To recent high  -23.4%
To recent low  139.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 
Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 12.98% (three month std-dev: 6.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4   Average positive next day return: 2.19%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -2.76%(50%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next three day return: 3.62%(75%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.22%(25%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next weekly return: 13.05%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -1.33%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210222

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Jan_22_202120.6936.5938.235.83 35.25 32.9234.45(7.88%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -36   -510   -29   -55   17.12    70%1.1233.56.65%0-0.5581.5
2Jan_21_202120.4636.5939.2437.64 36.87 33.9131.94(-9.66%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -45   -620   -54   -18   28.64    70%0.9948.46.6%0-0.9541.8
3Jan_20_202120.2636.4340.4839.33 39.82 37.5935.35(-7.11%)N/AN/A0-0.7   -9   -350   -27   46   19.22    73%1.165.56.48%0-0.2631.7
4Jan_19_202120.0436.1840.9640.04 40.79 39.8438.06(-3.27%)UDOpenLong65-0.4   10   -110   -15   85   14.87    75%1.6777.26.39%00.3661.3
5Jan_15_202119.7135.7140.7639.91 40.47 42.0439.34(-9.63%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   27   310   -2   112   18.06    75%1.3981.96.31%00.6720.7
 
6Jan_14_202119.4435.0740.1340.92 39.79 41.7543.53(7.88%)UTOpenLong750.4   52   260   18   155   13.05    78%1.6292.86.13%01.4741.2
7Jan_13_202119.1334.0639.141.21 40.4 38.940.35(3.67%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   39   -320   -4   169   12.38    78%1.4998.56.11%01.1671.4
8Jan_12_202118.8533.1838.1441.93 41.86 37.8338.92(4.06%)UDOpenLong65-0.5   15   -680   -39   176   16.08    78%1.499.76.13%00.9651.1
9Jan_11_202118.5932.2937.3542.03 42.89 41.9137.4(-15.8%)UDOpenLong65-0.7   28   -100   -28   195   39.77    78%1.3694.96.16%00.8660.2
10Jan_8_202118.3431.5236.4441.56 42.76 45.944.42(-1.22%)UDOpenLong750.4   102   600   55   241   23.12    85%1.72865.74%01.8781.6
 
11Jan_7_202118.0330.2834.8639.08 39.85 43.8744.97(2.37%)UTHoldLong650.9   113   770   77   219   32.62    85%1.8174.75.77%02.2821.5
12Jan_6_202117.7129.0433.3136.66 36.5 39.6343.93(11.47%)UTHoldLong651.2   107   590   75   203   40.5    85%1.7265.85.77%02.584-0.4
13Jan_5_202117.4127.9131.8933.89 33.94 35.8339.41(12.34%)UTHoldLong651.1   81   390   50   173   19.23    84%1.5258.25.71%02.283-0.5
14Jan_4_202117.1527.0530.8332.1 32.25 33.3735.08(9.63%)UTHoldLong650.7   69   260   34   172   22.82    83%1.5459.25.57%01.883-1.6
15Dec_31_202016.8926.4730.1230.56 31.54 32.0632(-2.74%)UDOpenLong750.3   58   210   22   165   14.22    82%1.1457.85.49%01.3771.2
 
16Dec_30_202016.726.0229.5229.93 30.47 31.1332.9(9.38%)UTHoldLong650.7   52   210   10   177   18.12    82%1.2757.45.47%01.7811.3
17Dec_29_202016.4925.5328.5729.43 29.9 31.0130.08(-1.22%)UDOpenLong750.2   53   310   8   187   16.65    81%1.0461.25.39%01.3740.2
18Dec_28_202016.3225.1727.8329.58 30.1 29.8130.45(11.33%)UTOpenLong750.2   62   -10   14   204   19.5    81%1.1868.95.39%01.5691.2
19Dec_24_202016.1324.5926.8929.39 29.74 28.7827.35(-5.3%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   34   -190   -19   191   12.59    80%0.8865.85.22%00.8621.3
20Dec_23_202015.9924.2726.3429.57 29.98 30.3828.88(-4.97%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   56   130   6   205   11.05    80%1.01705.17%01.3620.5
 
21Dec_22_202015.8323.9225.4928.95 29.8 30.730.39(-1.43%)UDOpenLong750.4   77   300   39   191   12.18    80%1.0971.65.19%01.967-0.7
22Dec_21_202015.6623.4824.5327.53 28.39 29.5830.83(4.58%)UTOpenLong751.1   68   390   43   141   18.94    78%1.1670.95.17%02.466-1.6
23Dec_18_202015.4822.9723.6325.81 26.54 28.929.48(4.35%)UTOpenLong751.5   63   710   53   93   11.08    78%1.1870.75.23%02.6661.2
24Dec_17_202015.322.4722.9324.04 24.97 27.228.25(9.45%)UTOpenLong752   65   740   64   68   28.7    78%1.0664.15.23%02.8751.6
25Dec_16_202015.1422.0322.4322.68 22.86 24.1825.81(10.99%)UTOpenLong751.9   40   430   42   35   18.56    77%61.65.14%02.3631.5
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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