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     Wed. Nov. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)

GBTC latest price $15.8700 (2.92%) ($15.2900 - $16.1000) on Wed. Nov. 4, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.21% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $15.8700(2.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GBTC advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GBTC advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  BLOK(63%)    ARKG(32%)    LIT(32%)    ARKK(31%)    IBUY(31%)  
Factors Impacting GBTC price  GBTC will decline at least -2.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-27%)    VXX(-19%)    VIXM(-10%)    XLRE(-3%)    TBT(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.105% (StdDev 4.21%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $15.49(2.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $15.17(4.61%)
20 Day Moving Average  $13.97(13.6%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  49.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 
Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 10.74% (three month std-dev: 4.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23   Average positive next day return: 4.77%(43%)   Average negative next day return: -2.6%(57%)
Sample size 23   Average positive next three day return: 9.64%(52%)   Average negative next three day return: -4.33%(48%)
Sample size 23   Average positive next weekly return: 11.28%(48%)   Average negative next weekly return: -12.11%(52%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201204

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Nov_4_202012.0413.9715.1715.49 15.5 15.6615.87(2.92%)UTHoldLong650.3   38   70   9   124   7.99    49%0.4281.84.21%01.3820.8
2Nov_3_202011.9913.7215.0115.3 15.34 15.515.42(-0.58%)UDOpenLong750.1   35   80   2   135   6.49    49%0.4276.64.2%01.182-0.6
3Nov_2_202011.9413.514.8115.35 15.19 15.3315.51(0.85%)UTHoldLong650.1   46   30   9   155   6.15    49%0.3477.54.22%01.380-1.4
4Oct_30_202011.913.2914.5515.12 15.17 15.1715.38(0.79%)UTOpenLong750.2   44   10   9   147   6.95    51%0.4274.24.26%01.374-1.7
5Oct_29_202011.8513.0614.2714.92 14.98 15.0615.26(2.35%)UTHoldLong650.2   40   50   4   146   7.72    51%0.2570.54.26%01.479-1.4
 
6Oct_28_202011.8212.8413.9914.79 14.83 15.1714.91(-4.85%)UDOpenLong750.1   44   170   8   152   11.48    51%0.25704.26%01.476-2.6
7Oct_27_202011.7912.6413.7214.67 14.72 14.9115.67(8.97%)UTHoldLong650.7   60   100   23   171   14.29    59%0.3471.94.22%02.187-0.5
8Oct_26_202011.7512.413.3814.2 14.42 14.514.38(0%)UTHoldLong500.1   46   90   12   147   9.81    56%0.3468.94.58%01.685-0.4
9Oct_23_202011.7112.2313.2113.89 14.1 14.5314.38(-1.68%)UDOpenLong750.4   50   260   17   148   6.83    56%0.1766.34.58%01.8771.1
10Oct_22_202011.6912.0612.9413.5 13.7 14.3314.63(2.31%)UTHoldLong651   54   370   25   141   10.84    56%0.3459.64.59%02.4811.2
 
11Oct_21_202011.6511.8812.6613.06 13.16 13.6714.3(7.44%)UTHoldLong651.3   50   290   24   128   16.04    57%0.2651.34.59%02.5800.9
12Oct_20_202011.6211.6912.3212.64 12.7 13.0813.31(3.7%)UTOpenLong750.9   35   220   13   102   7.32    55%0.1738.74.54%02.1750.6
13Oct_19_202011.611.5812.0812.46 12.48 12.6412.83(3.22%)UTOpenLong750.5   26   90   5   88   6.48    55%0.1731.74.53%01.8710.7
14Oct_16_202011.5811.4911.9212.43 12.36 12.3212.43(-0.16%)UDOpenLong750   26   -40   5   90   3.54    55%0.0928.14.53%01.5661.4
15Oct_15_202011.5711.4511.7612.29 12.38 12.3112.45(2.05%)UTOpenLong750.3   23   -20   4   79   3.9    55%0.1727.64.53%01.7651.6
 
16Oct_14_202011.5511.4111.6112.18 12.31 12.3912.2(-1.45%)UDOpenLong750   26   80   10   72   4.8    55%0.1727.74.55%01.4642
17Oct_13_202011.5311.411.4811.93 12.12 12.4412.38(-2.25%)UDOpenLong750.8   28   230   16   64   4.44    55%0.0919.94.54%01.8722.1
18Oct_12_202011.5211.3711.3411.62 11.76 12.2312.67(7.6%)UTOpenLong752.1   24   320   18   42   9.53    55%0.17124.54%02.5632.7
19Oct_9_202011.511.3211.1711.35 11.4 11.7911.77(-0.76%)UDOpenLong751   17   250   15   24   6.58    52%0.09-5.34.45%01582.6
20Oct_8_202011.4911.2911.1111.16 11.19 11.2911.86(8.11%)UTOpenLong751.7   10   70   12   5   6.81    54%0.09-25.84.49%01.4501.7
 
21Oct_7_202011.4811.2611.0311.16 10.98 1110.97(1.15%)DPOpenShort-750   -6   20   -1   -22   2.49    51%-0.09-60.64.44%0-0.7371
22Oct_6_202011.4911.291110.97 10.99 11.0910.85(-3.86%)DTHoldShort-50-0.3   -9   70   1   -37   3.71    54%0-85.64.45%0-1.1330.3
23Oct_5_202011.4911.3111.0411 10.92 10.9611.28(3.87%)DPOpenShort-650.7   -9   0   2   -41   2.25    54%0-112.24.47%0-0.1390.6
24Oct_2_202011.4911.3411.0310.98 10.89 10.8810.86(-0.09%)DTOpenShort-75-0.3   -17   -30   -4   -54   4.36    54%-0.09-118.44.49%0-1.1340.4
25Oct_1_202011.511.411.1111.05 11.02 10.8710.87(-0.91%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -13   -100   -3   -44   5.35    54%-1214.52%0-1.2480.8
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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