Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ GBTC: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)
GBTC latest price $13.1300 (-2.45%) ($12.9200 - $13.5600) on Wed. Feb. 19, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $13.1300(-2.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GBTC advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GBTC advances 10.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(61%)    ARKK(42%)    ARKG(40%)    IBUY(40%)    IDRV(40%)
Factors Impacting GBTC price   GBTC will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-35%)    VIXM(-29%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.17(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.64(3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.49(14.27%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   64.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 12.1% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 3.34%(55%) Average negative next day return: -3.82%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 12.56%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.6%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 13.89%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2020	9.94	11.49	12.64	13.17	13.06	13.08	13.13(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10	2	147	4.84	70%	0.3	65.5	4.15%	0	1.2	69	1
2	Feb_18_2020	9.91	11.32	12.39	13.14	13.07	12.97	13.46(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	-70	9	158	6.38	70%	0.41	67.4	4.19%	0	1.6	76	0.8
3	Feb_14_2020	9.87	11.15	12.11	12.88	12.99	13.04	13.21(5.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	50	11	156	4.33	70%	0.3	67.8	4.18%	0	1.6	77	0.9
4	Feb_13_2020	9.84	10.97	11.88	12.6	12.75	13.18	12.55(-6.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	270	12	161	5.6	69%	0.2	67	4.14%	0	1.3	77	0.6
5	Feb_12_2020	9.82	10.84	11.75	12.43	12.45	12.94	13.48(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	280	27	195	6.29	73%	0.31	68.3	4.03%	0	2.2	87	1

6	Feb_11_2020	9.79	10.65	11.48	12.04	12.07	12.32	13(6.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	150	28	190	7.27	73%	0.1	68.1	4.01%	0	2.3	77	0.1
7	Feb_10_2020	9.78	10.47	11.19	11.55	11.75	11.95	12.18(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	170	19	159	4.76	71%	-0.1	64.2	3.93%	0	1.9	71	0.2
8	Feb_7_2020	9.79	10.33	10.95	11.23	11.33	11.81	11.79(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	320	14	132	3.45	71%	-0.1	66.1	3.91%	0	1.8	64	-0.1
9	Feb_6_2020	9.8	10.2	10.72	11.05	11.07	11.54	11.7(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	300	14	117	5.31	71%	-0.1	72.8	3.93%	0	2	67	0.2
10	Feb_5_2020	9.81	10.08	10.46	10.97	10.86	10.86	11.52(9.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-30	9	98	6.96	71%	-0.1	85	3.96%	0	2.1	62	0.1

11	Feb_4_2020	9.82	10	10.26	10.85	10.83	10.6	10.54(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	21	-150	0	83	3.23	70%	-0.2	106.5	3.78%	0	0.9	56	-0.7
12	Feb_3_2020	9.84	9.92	10.18	10.77	10.87	10.86	10.59(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	20	7	84	3.27	70%	-0.2	103.4	3.85%	0	1.1	62	-1.4
13	Jan_31_2020	9.86	9.83	10.12	10.61	10.7	11.06	10.9(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	260	19	84	4.67	70%	-0.2	89.4	3.83%	0	1.6	62	-2.4
14	Jan_30_2020	9.88	9.68	10	10.33	10.4	10.89	11.33(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	45	350	36	73	7.48	70%	-0.1	64.7	3.81%	0	2.3	69	-0.4
15	Jan_29_2020	9.89	9.52	9.84	9.86	9.93	10.34	10.9(7.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	310	23	36	6.85	69%	-0.1	46.1	3.79%	0	2.2	66	-0.7

16	Jan_28_2020	9.9	9.4	9.74	9.59	9.55	9.92	10.12(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	260	11	5	3.63	69%	-0.2	31.4	3.67%	0	1.2	50	-0.7
17	Jan_27_2020	9.92	9.32	9.67	9.51	9.55	9.53	9.82(3.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	50	2	1	3.12	69%	-0.3	28.4	3.83%	0	0.8	60	-1.9
18	Jan_24_2020	9.95	9.27	9.65	9.56	9.43	9.19	9.48(5.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-220	-5	15	2.37	75%	-0.4	33.5	4.69%	0	0.3	61	0
19	Jan_23_2020	9.99	9.27	9.64	9.61	9.61	9.34	8.99(-5.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-200	-13	32	4.28	70%	-0.4	42.1	4.65%	0	-0.4	64	1.2
20	Jan_22_2020	10.03	9.24	9.68	9.81	9.78	9.67	9.53(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-90	-7	67	2.3	74%	-0.4	55.7	4.64%	0	0.4	66	1.1

21	Jan_21_2020	10.07	9.21	9.74	9.91	9.91	9.88	9.74(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-20	2	103	4	74%	-0.2	61.8	4.63%	0	0.8	64	1.4
22	Jan_17_2020	10.09	9.15	9.67	9.85	9.98	9.89	10.07(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-20	4	108	3.91	74%	-0.1	60.2	4.61%	0	1.4	65	1.9
23	Jan_16_2020	10.1	9.06	9.53	9.76	9.84	9.95	9.72(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	100	3	101	3.08	71%	-0.3	56.6	4.6%	0	1.1	60	2.2
24	Jan_15_2020	10.13	8.98	9.37	9.67	9.77	10.08	9.99(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	250	11	87	3.71	68%	-0.2	47.7	4.64%	0	1.7	62	2
25	Jan_14_2020	10.15	8.89	9.19	9.54	9.55	9.74	10.03(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	140	3	64	6.93	68%		36.6	4.68%	0	1.9	60	2.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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