Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 8, 2021

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $78.1200 (0.7%) ($78.1200 - $78.1200) on Mon. Feb. 8, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $78.1200(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(7%)    EWI(7%)    EWP(7%)    EDOC(6%)    JETS(6%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    GLD(-9%)    SLV(-8%)    URA(-7%)    UNG(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV -0.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.04(2.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.84(3.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.53(3.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.94%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -2.18%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.51%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2021	69.95	75.53	75.84	76.04	76.52	77.85	78.12(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	97	140	117	35	0.03	71%	0.27	52.8	0.93%	-0.3	2.2	58	1.1
2	Feb_5_2021	69.76	75.29	75.68	75.39	75.52	76.61	77.58(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	91	110	117	12	0.01	74%	0.36	41.7	0.94%	-0.4	2.2	57	1.1
3	Feb_2_2021	69.51	75.09	75.56	74.68	74.84	75.2	75.64(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	32	40	52	-30	0.02	77%	0.12	27.9	0.94%	-0.6	0.6	57	-0.1
4	Feb_1_2021	69.43	74.99	75.57	74.75	74.44	74.43	74.75(0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-19	-10	-22	-9	0.02	76%	0.23	0	0.96%	-0.5	-0.2	0	-1.3
5	Jan_29_2021	69.27	74.92	75.78	75.08	74.75	74.49	74.11(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-20	-40	-28	6	0.04	69%	0.22	48.1	1.02%	1.4	-0.8	61	-2.7

6	Jan_28_2021	69.12	74.9	75.99	75.59	75.32	74.45	74.86(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-30	-90	-52	37	0	62%	0.22	62	1.01%	-0.6	-0	58	-2.2
7	Jan_27_2021	68.97	74.85	76.09	76	75.77	75.02	74.03(-2.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.7	-75	-80	-88	-35	0.05	60%	0.22	0	1.08%	1.5	-0.7	0	-3
8	Jan_26_2021	68.82	74.81	76.17	76.54	76.5	76.2	76.02(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-17	-30	-20	-8	0.04	63%	0.15	0	1.01%	2	0.9	0	0.3
9	Jan_25_2021	68.72	74.64	75.93	76.49	76.67	76.52	76.38(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10	-12	-5	0.03	63%	0.23	0	1.04%	-0.4	1.2	0	0.8
10	Jan_22_2021	68.56	74.44	75.56	76.59	76.52	76.8	76.66(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	407	20	479	192	0.04	63%	0.25	0	1.04%	-0.6	1.5	0	1.5

11	Jan_20_2021	68.39	74.21	75.25	76.45	76.57	76.82	76.93(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	30	6	2	0.03	63%	0.22	0	1.03%	-0.6	1.8	0	1.7