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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)

FEX latest price $70.8400 (0.77%) ($70.7170 - $71.0720) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Oversold
Trend Narrative  The Top
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.5 (3.72% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.38% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.5% (StdDev 1.38%)
Daily Moving Force  0.8%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.58%
Latest Price  $70.8400(0.77%)
Forecasted Low Price  70.63(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price  71.97(1.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(1.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  2.1% (69.37)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.1%
Hourly Trend   1.1% [$70.51(0.76), $69.89(0.39)]
Complacency  7
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  FEX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  FEX advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (71% probability)
  BWX(15%)    INDA(14%)    HYG(11%)    CNCR(10%)    EWP(10%)  
Factors Impacting FEX price  FEX will decline at least -0.1% in a week (14% probabilities).
  XBI(-16%)    BJK(-16%)    XLRE(-15%)    XRT(-12%)    VIXM(-12%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.3
 
Relative Volatility   2 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.4% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $70.84(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $69.79(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average  $69.18(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average  $67.2(5.42%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  15.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. FEX price fluctuates within 3.72% (three month std-dev: 1.38%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. FEX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_24_202067.2 (0.4%)69.18 (0.9%)69.79 (0.4%) 69.89 70.51(0%)70.84(0.77%)70.72-71.071.3(1.5)3.9 0.8%0.5%0%0.58% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)7912.71.31.5Uptrend 72.12(1.8%)70.18-72.950.03   0%-15.4% 
2Nov_23_202066.93 (0.4%)68.83 (1.1%)69.53 (0.5%) 69.5 69.75(0%)70.3(1.41%)69.74-70.311.3(1.4)1.4 0.5%0.5%0%0.62% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)7772.62.61.3Uptrend 71.59(1.84%)69.68-72.420.02   0%-14.5% 
3Nov_20_202066.7 (0.3%)68.42 (1.2%)69.2 (0.5%) 69.33 69.26(0%)69.32(-0.01%)69.13-69.571(1.2)-1.1 0.2%0.5%0%0.62% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)7762.42.21.4Relative Overbought 70.41(1.57%)67.94-72.430.03   -0.3%-12.9% 
4Nov_19_202066.53 (0.3%)68.02 (1.2%)68.89 (0.3%) 69.15 69.25(0%)69.33(0.25%)68.62-69.51.1(1.3)0.7 0.1%0.6%0%0.6% Growing Uptrend Correction Higher(0.7%)9642.31.31.7Growing Uptrend 70.65(1.91%)68.83-71.110.03   -0.3%-13% 
5Nov_17_202066.38 (0.3%)67.49 (1.1%)68.7 (0.4%) 68.82 69.39(0%)69.16(-0.55%)69.05-69.871.2(1.4)0.5 0.4%0.7%0%0.54% Uptrend Dip  Higher(1.4%)8592.2-0.61.8Growing Uptrend 70.3(1.65%)68.7-70.70.05   -0.5%-12.7% 
 
6Nov_16_202066.23 (0.4%)66.86 (1%)68.46 (0.6%) 68.6 69.04(0%)69.54(1.27%)69.06-69.731.5(1.8)2.2 0.8%0.7%0%0.46% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.5%)7622-0.61.9Growing Uptrend 70.51(1.39%)68.96-70.890.03   0%-13.3% 
7Nov_13_202066.05 (0.5%)66.3 (0.9%)68.04 (0.8%) 68.32 68.25(0%)68.67(1.36%)68.25-68.871.3(1.6)1.1 0.4%0.6%0%0.38% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)6601.8-0.61.1Growing Uptrend 69.41(1.08%)68.24-69.710.03   0%-11.9% 
8Nov_12_202065.96 (0.5%)65.8 (0.7%)67.52 (0.8%) 68.01 68.16(0%)67.75(-0.94%)67.53-68.51(1.2)-0.7 0.2%0.3%0%0.28% Uptrend Dip  Higher(1%)6561.7-0.40.7Uptrend 68.16(0.61%)67.47-68.460.03   -0.9%-10.4% 
9Nov_11_202065.86 (0.5%)65.54 (0.5%)66.99 (1.4%) 67.57 68.39(0%)68.39(0.65%)68.29-68.671.6(1.7)0.7 1%0.3%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)5581.6-0.51.3Uptrend 68.68(0.42%)67.93-690.05   0%-11.4% 
10Nov_9_202065.7 (0.5%)65.3 (0.1%)66.06 (1.6%) 66.74 67.87(0%)67.95(0.76%)67.8-69.651.5(1.6)1.1 1.7%0.4%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.1%)5531.5-0.6-0.4N/A 67.72(-0.34%)66.78-68.480.04   0%-10.7% 
 
11Nov_5_202065.51 (0.4%)65.03 (-0.4%)65 (1.1%) 65.58 66.76(0%)67.44(2.05%)66.98-67.761.4(1.5)2 1.6%0.3%0%-0.08% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.9%)5521.40.20.9N/A 67(-0.65%)66.47-67.440.04   0%-9.9% 
12Nov_4_202065.32 (0.3%)64.83 (-0.8%)64.32 (0.8%) 64.4 65.6(0%)66.09(1.54%)65.38-66.910.6(0.7)2.3 1.3%0.1%0%-0.18% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.4%)4471.30.10.5Downtrend 65.93(-0.24%)65.91-65.970.02   -1.5%-7.7% 
13Nov_3_202065.19 (0.3%)64.79 (-1.1%)63.84 (-0.1%) 63.83 64.4(0%)65.08(2.07%)64.68-65.52-0(-0.1)1.3 1.1%-0.1%0%-0.26% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1%)3381.41.2-1.6Correction 63.84(-1.9%)63.64-64.660.04   -3%-6% 
14Nov_2_202065.11 (0.3%)64.88 (-1.1%)63.9 (-0.8%) 63.46 63.21(0%)63.76(1.8%)63.29-64.06-0.9(-1.1)0.7 -0.4%-0.3%0%-0.26% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-0.7%)3391.40.8-2.5Correction 62.41(-2.12%)62.19-63.280.04   -5%-3.9% 
15Oct_30_202065.05 (0.4%)65.17 (-0.8%)64.43 (-1%) 63.89 63.26(0%)62.63(-2.24%)62.2-63.31-1.8(-2)-2.5 -1%-0.4%0%-0.16% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)3361.40-2.2Correction 61.55(-1.73%)61.36-62.280.03   -6.7%-2% 
 
16Oct_29_202065.02 (0.5%)65.58 (-0.4%)65.05 (-0.5%) 64.82 63.72(0%)64.07(0.62%)63.1-64.09-0.8(-0.9)-1.2 -1%-0.2%0%-0.04% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-1.2%)4521.31.6-2.4Correction 63.46(-0.95%)63.33-63.960.05   -4.5%-4.4% 
17Oct_28_202064.91 (0.5%)65.83 (-0%)65.38 (-0.7%) 65.31 64.52(0%)63.67(-2.63%)63.17-63.95-0.9(-1.1)-1 -1.5%-0.4%0%0.04% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.6%)5551.42.3-2.4Correction 63.33(-0.54%)63.23-63.730.03   -5.1%-3.7% 
18Oct_26_202064.87 (0.6%)66.19 (0.5%)65.85 (-0.2%) 65.88 65.92(0%)65.39(-1.51%)64.79-66.110.4(0.4)-2.7 -0.3%0%0%0.18% Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)6671.51.1-0.2Uptrend Consolidation 65.32(-0.11%)65.21-65.630.04   -2.6%-6.5% 
19Oct_23_202064.71 (0.5%)66.26 (0.6%)65.99 (-0.1%) 66.07 66.11(0%)66.39(1.03%)66.21-66.71.1(1.2)-0.4 0.2%0.2%0%0.26% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)5761.90.80.8Uptrend Consolidation 65.99(-0.6%)65.73-66.780.15   -1.1%-8.2% 
20Oct_22_202064.57 (0.4%)66.17 (0.7%)66.05 (-0.3%) 66.04 65.84(0%)65.71(-0.02%)65.43-66.340.6(0.7)-0.3 -0.3%0.2%0%0.34% Correction  Range(-0.1%)6792.2-0.10.6Uptrend Consolidation 65.53(-0.27%)65.28-66.280.03   -2.1%-7.1% 
 
21Oct_21_202064.46 (0.4%)66.06 (0.9%)66.22 (-0.2%) 66.28 66.04(0%)65.72(-0.48%)65.64-66.440.6(0.7)-1.5 -0.2%0.2%0%0.44% Correction  Range(0.2%)7812.50.70.1Uptrend 66.59(1.32%)65.48-67.060.1   -2.1%-7.1% 
22Oct_20_202064.4 (0.5%)65.87 (1%)66.36 (-0.3%) 66.41 66.23(0%)66.04(-0.08%)66.03-66.680.7(0.8)-4.1 -0.3%0.3%0%0.52% Correction  Range(0%)7842.51.20.2Uptrend 67.06(1.55%)65.74-67.630.04   -1.6%-7.6% 
23Oct_19_202064.23 (0.5%)65.63 (1.1%)66.58 (0.1%) 66.51 66.52(0%)66.09(-0.87%)65.84-67.060.8(0.9)-2.3 -0.1%0.4%0%0.58% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.7%)7732.61.91.2Uptrend 67.29(1.82%)65.78-67.940.04   -1.5%-7.7% 
24Oct_16_202064.05 (0.4%)65.37 (1.2%)66.55 (0.4%) 66.7 66.59(0%)66.67(0.11%)66.65-67.081.2(1.4)1 0.2%0.6%0%0.6% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)8792.61.10.9Growing Uptrend 68.2(2.29%)66.22-68.690.07   -0.7%-8.6% 
25Oct_15_202063.86 (0.3%)64.92 (1.2%)66.32 (0.7%) 66.5 66.51(0%)66.6(0.26%)65.7-66.791.3(1.5)1.4 %0.6%0%0.54% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)9622.40.90.7Growing Uptrend 67.88(1.92%)66.12-68.320.06   -0.8%-9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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