Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 31, 2020

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $62.0350 (0.25%) ($61.3700 - $62.2000) on Fri. Jul. 31, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.02% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $62.0350(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   FEX advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(10%)    UNG(9%)    XBI(9%)    EWY(8%)    XLV(8%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -1.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-10%)    VIXM(-10%)    EDOC(-7%)    UUP(-3%)    OIH(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.01% (StdDev 2.02%)
Hourly BBV 1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $62(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.67(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.5(2.54%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 2.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(44%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 1.18%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -1.1%(41%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.89%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2020	55.64	60.5	61.67		61.92	61.86	62.04(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10	1	46	0.03	57%	0.58	54.7	2.02%	1.8	1.7	67	1.5
2	Jul_28_2020	55.32	60.4	61.44	62	62	61.77	61.88(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-30	-5	44	0.04	57%	0.2	62.7	2.08%	-0.3	1.5	71	1.5
3	Jul_24_2020	55.21	60.33	61.25	61.96	62.07	61.98	61.77(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-0	-5	52	0.05	57%	0.18	37.9	2.15%	-0.2	1	79	1.2
4	Jul_23_2020	55.11	60.29	61.07	61.91	62.04	62.23	62.11(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	7	67	0.09	57%	0.02	29	2.15%	-0.2	1.3	82	1.3
5	Jul_22_2020	55.1	60.17	60.93	61.71	61.84	62.16	62.18(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	40	17	78	0.09	57%	0.09	10.5	2.15%	-0.3	1.4	75	1.8

6	Jul_21_2020	55.05	60.01	60.73	61.29	61.58	61.86	62.07(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	50	23	79	0.04	57%	0.07	-3.5	2.17%	-0.4	1.5	74	1.8
7	Jul_20_2020	55.01	60.01	60.46	60.79	61.03	61.53	61.67(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	70	16	61	0.04	57%	0.11	-25.6	2.2%	-0.5	1.5	56	2.2
8	Jul_17_2020	54.95	59.8	60.08	60.43	60.6	61.31	61.51(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	90	28	45	0.1	57%	0.18	-24	2.21%	-0.7	1.5	52	1.9
9	Jul_15_2020	54.85	59.87	59.7	60.12	60.19	60.53	61.11(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	40	19	20	0.11	57%	0.18	-15.2	2.21%	-0.7	1.1	48	1.4
10	Jul_14_2020	54.75	60.02	59.41	60.06	59.89	59.89	60.08(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10	-2	3	0.08	57%	-0.11	9.8	2.23%	-0.7	0.1	50	0.9

11	Jul_13_2020	54.81	60.05	59.24	60.09	60.1	59.85	59.57(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-30	-2	1	0.08	57%	-0.2	24.7	2.27%	2	-0.4	53	0
12	Jul_10_2020	54.92	60.12	59.29	60.07	60.18	59.9	59.9(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-30	-2	9	0.06	57%	-0.22	44.8	2.33%	-0.5	-0.2	61	1.2
13	Jul_7_2020	55.04	60.09	59.34	59.63	60.05	60.36	59.95(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	60	9	-2	0.04	73%	0.15	32.8	2.77%	-0.4	-0.1	42	0.7
14	Jul_6_2020	54.96	60.03	59.43	59.17	59.51	60.47	60.79(0.91%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	17	130	27	-12	0.05	77%	-0.18	26.8	2.79%	-0.5	0.4	41	1.1
15	Jul_2_2020	55.06	59.91	59.33	58.67	58.8	59.75	60.24(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	120	30	-35	0.07	66%	-0.2	26.5	2.86%	-0.4	0.2	35	0.8

16	Jun_30_2020	55.17	59.78	59.21	58.29	58.33	58.56	59.48(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	30	12	-53	0.05	66%	-0.18	28.1	3%	1.8	-0.2	47	0.3
17	Jun_29_2020	55.27	59.63	59.06	58.43	58.16	57.85	57.68(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-50	-17	-72	0.05	63%	0.07	37.7	2.98%	-0.5	-1	43	-0.2
18	Jun_26_2020	55.23	59.57	59.51	59.04	58.74	58.09	57.65(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-90	-21	-54	0.1	71%	-0.27	54.7	3.05%	2.1	-1	49	-0.9
19	Jun_25_2020	55.38	59.5	60.06	59.73	59.43	58.47	58.29(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-130	-24	-29	0.17	71%	0.09	71.4	3.29%	2	-0.6	52	-0.3
20	Jun_24_2020	55.33	59.38	60.68	60.05	60.14	59.38	58.35(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-80	-18	-3	0.07	77%	-0.49	84.9	3.33%	-0.5	-0.5	53	-0.7

21	Jun_22_2020	55.6	59.23	60.96	60.21	60.31	60.39	60.19(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	10	-0	14	0.08	68%	-0.11	90.1	3.77%	2	0.5	60	-0.2
22	Jun_18_2020	55.66	58.88	61.04	59.75	60.03	60.9	60.71(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	120	10	23	0.13	65%	0.14	76.6	3.81%	1.4	0.8	65	-0.7
23	Jun_16_2020	55.58	58.51	60.91	60.07	59.48	60.23	61.09(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	60	7	34	0.06	56%	0.16	75.7	3.88%	0.8	1	67	-1
24	Jun_15_2020	55.49	58.18	60.69	60.51	59.81	59.16	59.93(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-110	-9	38	0.08	56%	-0.18	80.2	4.36%	0.8	0.7	65	-1.3
25	Jun_12_2020	55.59	57.83	60.55	61.48	60.81	58.72	59.13(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-270	-32	48	0.05	53%		89.5	4.43%	1.1	0.5	65	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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