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     Mon. Jan. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: FCEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jan. 25, 2021)

(FuelCell Energy Inc.)

FCEL latest price $18.0200 (-0.44%) ($18.0200 - $18.0200) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $3.01 (20% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  11.56% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  1.5% (StdDev 11.56%)
Daily Moving Force  1.4%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   2.9%
Trend Strength  16.7%
Latest Price  $18.0200(-0.44%)
Forecasted Low Price  17.5(-2.9%)
Forecasted High Price  19.1(6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(4.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  10.3% (16.34)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  8.4%
Hourly Trend   1.9% [$18.06(0.34), $17.56(-0.02)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  FCEL advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  FCEL advances 14.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support FCEL advance at 1.8% a week (50% probability)
  ACES(59%)    DRIV(51%)    XRT(49%)    ICLN(44%)    IWO(43%)  
Factors Impacting FCEL price  FCEL will decline at least -0.7% in a week (26% probabilities).
  VXX(-30%)    CNCR(-29%)    VIXM(-24%)    ROBT(-24%)    UNG(-16%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.9
 
Relative Volatility   1.1 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  2.6% (StdDev 11.56%)
Hourly BBV   0.9 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $18.36(1.88%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $15.05
5 Day Moving Average  $17.67(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average  $17.57(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average  $15.05(19.73%)
To recent high  -5.7%
To recent low  801%
Market Cap  $6.001b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Jan. 14, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $2.25 ($1.50 - $3.00)
  2 analysts (last updated on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -87.51%
% to Low Target Price  -91.68%
% to High Target Price  -83.35%
 
 


FuelCell Energy, Inc. develops environmentally responsible distributed baseload power solutions through proprietary molten-carbonate fuel cell technology. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firm’s fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The Company’s platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. FCEL price fluctuates within 20% (three month std-dev: 11.56%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. FCEL price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Jan_25_202115.05 (2.8%)17.57 (3%)17.67 (2.5%) 17.56 18.06(0%)18.02(-0.44%)18.02-18.020.1,0.9(1)0.9 1.4%1.5%0%2.9%16.7% Growing Uptrend  Range(3.1%)8781.70.92.2Uptrend 19.09(5.95%)17.39-19.8243.33   -5.7%-801% 
2Jan_22_202114.81 (3%)17.31 (3.2%)17.24 (0.6%) 17.58 17.72(0%)18.1(4.35%)18.1-18.10.2,1(1.1)2.4 2.9%2%0%3.22%16.9% Growing Uptrend  Range(4.9%)8751.81.22.1Uptrend 19.29(6.58%)17.37-20.1237.06   -5.3%-805% 
3Jan_21_202114.44 (3.4%)17.01 (3.8%)17.13 (-2.1%) 17.02 17.06(0%)17.35(3.37%)17.35-17.35-0,0.9(1)0.1 -1.6%2.7%0%3.66%17.7% Correction Correction Range(1.1%)8701.812.4Uptrend 18.65(7.51%)16.73-19.4857.93   -9.2%-767.5% 
4Jan_20_202114.05 (3.8%)16.54 (4.6%)17.49 (-2.5%) 17.08 17.44(0%)16.78(-7.32%)16.78-16.78-0,0.8(1)-0.6 -0.2%2.9%0%4.38%17.7% Uptrend Dip  Higher(6.4%)8721.80.92.3Uptrend 18.28(8.94%)16.18-19.1847.03   -12.2%-739% 
5Jan_19_202113.69 (4.4%)16.03 (5.4%)17.93 (2.8%) 17.66 16.98(0%)18.11(14.26%)18.11-18.11-0.3,1.3(1.5)0.5 0.9%4.2%0%5.08%17.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(5.1%)7721.81.52.3Uptrend 20.25(11.84%)17.14-21.5951.61   -5.2%-805.5% 
 
6Jan_15_202113.21 (4.4%)15.31 (5%)17.45 (0.6%) 17.88 16.72(0%)15.85(-9.89%)15.85-15.85-0.2,0.8(0.9)-0.7 -4.7%2.8%0%4.78%15.9% Uptrend Consolidation Correction Range(3%)764212.5Uptrend Dip 20.51(29.42%)14.77-21.9557.78   -17.1%-692.5% 
7Jan_14_202112.85 (4.6%)14.87 (4.8%)17.35 (3.2%) 17.86 18.35(0%)17.59(-7.98%)17.59-17.590.3,1.4(1.5)1.4 -0.3%3.9%0%4.68%15.8% Uptrend Dip  Higher(7.6%)8632.11.62.5Uptrend Dip 22.9(30.16%)15.26-24.882.35   -8%-779.5% 
8Jan_13_202112.37 (4.4%)14.29 (4.6%)16.81 (8.9%) 17.29 19.05(0%)19.11(0.66%)19.11-19.110.7,2(2.2)2.1 7.9%5.6%0%4.58%15.5% Overbought  Higher(13.5%)7752.22.21.9Overbought 16.57(-13.27%)12.07-23.34112.37   0%-855.5% 
9Jan_12_202111.79 (3.8%)13.44 (3.8%)15.44 (11.2%) 16.23 17.37(0%)18.99(20.62%)18.99-19.030.7,2.4(2.6)3.7 10.5%5.6%-11.6%3.76%14.1% Overbought  Lower(-17.8%)6782.12.62Growing Uptrend 21.25(11.9%)17-22.3188.79   0%-849.5% 
10Jan_11_202111.21 (3%)12.65 (2.6%)13.88 (7.9%) 14.55 15.52(0%)15.74(2.84%)15.74-15.740.7,1.8(2)4.5 5.2%3.1%0%2.78%12.9% Growing Uptrend  Higher(8.3%)5751.91.91.6Uptrend 16.77(6.52%)14.6-17.6955.24   0%-687% 
 
11Jan_8_202110.82 (2.6%)12.27 (2.4%)12.86 (6.8%) 13.42 15.1(0%)15.31(2.82%)15.31-15.311,1.9(2.1)1.6 8.9%2.4%0%2.42%13.4% Growing Uptrend  Higher(11.3%)4761.82.11Uptrend 16.04(4.79%)14.15-16.8584.64   0%-665.5% 
12Jan_7_202110.45 (2.2%)12.04 (2.4%)12.04 (5.4%) 12.25 13.59(0%)14.89(21.16%)14.89-14.890.8,2.1(2.2)1.9 10.1%3.5%-2.7%2.38%15.2% Overbought  Higher(10.9%)5761.72.30.6Overbought 12.69(-14.78%)10.38-16.1695.29   0%-644.5% 
13Jan_6_202110.12 (2%)11.6 (2.4%)11.42 (2.4%) 11.32 11.74(0%)12.29(9.79%)12.29-12.290.2,1.1(1.2)0.6 4.3%2.3%0%2.22%14.6% Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.6%)5731.61.3-0.8Uptrend 12.74(3.65%)11.81-13.1479.65   -8.4%-535.1% 
14Jan_5_20219.9 (1.6%)11.32 (2.4%)11.15 (-0.6%) 11.2 11.74(0%)11.19(5.32%)11.19-11.19-0.1,0.7(0.8)-0.4 %1.5%0%2.22%14.4% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)5731.60.8-0.3Uptrend 11.64(3.99%)10.91-11.9531.7   -16.6%-487.4% 
15Jan_4_20219.74 (1.4%)11.15 (3%)11.22 (-3%) 11.14 10.91(0%)10.63(-5.09%)10.63-10.63-0.2,0.4(0.5)-0.5 -3.9%1.5%0%2.54%14.5% Confirmed Correction  Range(0.1%)5701.60.6-0.7Uptrend Consolidation 10.54(-0.81%)10.35-11.1334.49   -20.7%-458% 
 
16Dec_31_20209.59 (1.6%)10.99 (3.8%)11.57 (-3.7%) 11.37 11.49(0%)11.2(-5.01%)11.2-11.2-0,0.8(0.9)-1.1 -1%2.2%0%3.06%14.6% Correction  Range(3.7%)7691.711.1Uptrend Consolidation 10.83(-3.31%)10.48-11.8932.19   -16.5%-487.9% 
17Dec_30_20209.39 (1.8%)10.73 (4.6%)12.02 (1.9%) 11.67 11.37(0%)11.79(7.67%)11.79-11.79-0.4,1.2(1.3)0.2 -0.2%2.8%0%3.82%14.3% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(2.6%)7721.71.40.9Uptrend 12.74(8.05%)11.28-13.3652.37   -12.1%-518.9% 
18Dec_29_20209.24 (1.8%)10.38 (4.4%)11.8 (2.6%) 12.07 11.26(0%)10.95(-5.36%)10.95-10.95-0.3,0.9(1)-0.8 -2.5%2.2%0%3.68%12.3% Uptrend Consolidation Correction Range(2.4%)7641.611.2Uptrend 11.76(7.41%)10.6-12.2651   -18.3%-474.8% 
19Dec_28_20209.19 (2.2%)10.07 (4.2%)11.5 (4.2%) 12.02 11.97(0%)11.57(-6.51%)11.57-11.570.3,1.3(1.4)1 -1.7%2.9%0%3.6%9.6% Uptrend Dip Correction Range(4.5%)7721.61.40.8Uptrend Dip 13.55(17.08%)10.52-14.369   -13.7%-507.3% 
20Dec_24_20209.08 (2.4%)9.7 (3.8%)11.04 (7.3%) 11.48 12.89(0%)12.37(-7.76%)12.37-12.371.2,1.9(2.1)1.5 6.6%3.8%0%3.34%6.8% Uptrend Dip  Higher(14.3%)7751.62.21Uptrend Dip 14.29(15.49%)10.76-15.1755.09   -7.8%-549.3% 
 
21Dec_23_20208.89 (2.4%)9.27 (3%)10.29 (10.8%) 10.7 12.07(0%)13.41(25.03%)13.41-13.411.3,2.9(3.3)2 13.5%5.3%-16.35%2.84%4.3% Overbought  Lower(-26.7%)6821.43.41Growing Uptrend 14.18(5.74%)12.27-14.66168.3   0%-603.9% 
22Dec_22_20208.58 (2.2%)8.7 (2%)9.29 (5.9%) 9.52 10.07(0%)10.73(14.04%)10.73-10.730.8,2.1(2.3)2.6 6.6%2.2%-1.7%2.02%1.4% Overbought  Higher(7.1%)67812.31.2Growing Uptrend 11.06(3.03%)10.26-11.2591.68   0%-463.3% 
23Dec_21_20208.46 (2.4%)8.48 (1.2%)8.77 (3.9%) 8.94 9.34(0%)9.41(1.4%)9.41-9.410.7,1(1.2)1.4 3.8%2%0%1.56%0.3% Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.8%)6530.91.10.1Growing Uptrend 9.62(2.24%)9.23-9.7236.6   -7.7%-394% 
24Dec_18_20208.28 (2.6%)8.32 (0.2%)8.44 (3.6%) 8.62 8.97(0%)9.28(7.16%)9.28-9.280.5,0.9(1)1.4 4.4%1.8%0%0.92%0.5% Growing Uptrend  Higher(6.2%)6451.111.9Growing Uptrend 9.46(1.95%)9.09-9.5562.27   -9%-387.1% 
25Dec_17_20208.09 (3%)8.18 (-0.6%)8.15 (1%) 8.23 8.54(0%)8.66(2.91%)8.66-8.660.3,0.4(0.5)2.9 2.5%1.7%0%0.44%1.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(4.2%)5431.30.51.8Growing Uptrend 8.79(1.48%)8.57-8.8437.56   -15.1%-354.6% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
 
 
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