Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Fri. Mar. 5, 2021)

(Facebook)
FB latest price $265.2300 (2.68%) ($265.2300 - $265.4200) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Uptrend Reversal
Trend Narrative   Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing   $5.57 (2.1% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.1% (StdDev 1.77%)
Daily Moving Force   1%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   -0.26%
Trend Strength   -1.5%
RSI   45
Momentum   1.2
Latest Price   $265.2300(2.68%)
Forecasted Low Price   264.17(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price   269.21(1.5%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   4.3% (254.18)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   2.6%
Hourly Trend 1.8% [$261.79(4.76), $259.54(0.25)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB decline at-0.4% a week (66% probability)
XLC(86%)    IVW(61%)    QQQ(60%)    IWF(58%)    SPY(58%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will advance at least 0.1% in a week (42% probabilities).
VXX(-55%)    VIXM(-46%)    TBT(-35%)    HYXU(-33%)    CNCR(-21%)
Trading Plan   Buy the rebound

Valuation to SPY 0.8

Relative Volatility -0.3 (options are faily valued)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Next Day Open Price   $267.99(1.04%)
Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $260.49(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $260.77(1.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $264.84(0.15%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $755.906b

Option Sentiment

Earning Release Date   Wed. Jan. 27, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price   $324.64 ($270.00 - $375.00)
  43 analysts (last updated on Wed. Nov. 18, 2020)
% to Average Target Price   22.4%
% to Low Target Price   1.8%
% to High Target Price   41.39%

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.77% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. FB price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Mar_5_2021	264.84 (-0%)	260.77 (-0.4%)	260.49 (0.5%)	259.54	261.79(0%)	265.23(2.68%)	265.23-265.42	-0.9(0.1)	1.5	1%	0.1%	0%	-0.26%	-1.5%	45	1.2	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.1%)	4	0.8	-0.3	Downtrend Consolidation	264.54(-0.26%)	265.23-264.3	24.11	-7%-7.9%
2	Mar_4_2021	264.87 (-0.2%)	260.32 (-0.4%)	259.3 (0.2%)	259.29	257.03(0%)	258.3(1%)	258.3-258.3	-1.3(-1.2)	-0.8	%	-0.3%	0%	-0.34%	-1.7%	39	1.2	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.3%)	3	0.2	0.3	After Bottom	258.82(0.2%)	255.44-261.56	28.85	-9.4%-5.1%
3	Mar_3_2021	265.34 (-0.2%)	261.37 (-0.4%)	258.68 (-0.7%)	259.53	257.29(0%)	255.75(-1.21%)	255.75-255.75	-1.5(-1.8)	-1.7	-0.9%	-0.5%	0%	-0.38%	-1.5%	35	1.2	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.8%)	3	-1.4	0.1	Growing Downtrend	254.68(-0.42%)	253.43-257.3	13.26	-10.3%-4.1%
4	Mar_2_2021	265.96 (-0.2%)	263.11 (-0.4%)	260.41 (-0.5%)	259.4	261.55(0%)	258.88(-2.04%)	258.67-258.88	-1.3(-1.5)	-1.6	-0.3%	-0.4%	0%	-0.32%	-1.1%	41	1	Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop	Range(0.3%)	4	-1.6	0.5	Growing Downtrend	257.95(-0.36%)	256.98-259.95	14.39	-10%-5.4%
5	Mar_1_2021	266.23 (-0.2%)	264.54 (-0.2%)	261.8 (0.3%)	260.79	261.77(0%)	264.27(1.92%)	264.27-264.27	-1.1(-0.4)	0.7	0.9%	-0.1%	0%	-0.26%	-0.6%	48	1	Rebound	Range(0.8%)	4	-0.9	0.3	After Bottom	263.9(-0.14%)	262.2-265.31	18.47	-8.1%-7.5%

6	Feb_26_2021	266.05 (-0.2%)	265.12 (-0.4%)	261.14 (-0.2%)	261.18	257.26(0%)	259.28(1.58%)	259.28-259.28	-1.3(-1.4)	-1	-0.6%	-0.3%	0%	-0.3%	-0.4%	41	1	Downtrend Pop	Lower(-0.9%)	3	-0.7	0.4	Downtrend	258.48(-0.31%)	257.63-260.46	16.23	-9.8%-5.5%
7	Feb_25_2021	266.39 (-0.2%)	266.19 (-0.2%)	261.55 (-1.1%)	261.6	259.81(0%)	255.25(-3.45%)	255.25-255.25	-1.3(-2.4)	-2.6	-1.4%	-0.6%	0%	-0.28%	-0.1%	40	1	Breakdown	Range(-0.3%)	4	-1.6	0.5	Growing Downtrend	254.69(-0.22%)	253.71-257.01	15.23	-11.2%-3.9%
8	Feb_24_2021	267.25 (-0.2%)	267.91 (-0.2%)	264.38 (-0.7%)	263.12	265.1(0%)	264.37(-0.55%)	264.37-264.37	-0.9(-0.7)	-0.5	%	-0.2%	0%	-0.16%	0.2%	48	0.9	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	5	-1.3	1.1	Downtrend	263.81(-0.21%)	263.39-264.76	13.28	-8.1%-7.6%
9	Feb_23_2021	268.07 (-0%)	268.41 (-0%)	266.25 (-0.6%)	264.38	263.4(0%)	265.82(1.86%)	265.82-265.82	-0.6(-0.4)	-0.5	0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.06%	0.1%	49	1.1	N/A	Range(0%)	5	-0.7	1.5	Downtrend	265.58(-0.09%)	265.32-266.19	20.18	-7.6%-8.2%
10	Feb_22_2021	268.64 (0%)	268.54 (0%)	267.81 (-0.7%)	266.35	261.15(0%)	260.97(-0.14%)	260.97-260.97	-0.5(-1.4)	-1.9	-1.3%	-0.3%	0%	0.04%	-0%	50	1.2	N/A	Lower(-1.5%)	6	-1.5	1.7	Oversold	263.08(0.81%)	260.97-263.6	14.72	-9.2%-6.2%

11	Feb_19_2021	269.33 (0.2%)	269.35 (0.2%)	269.73 (-0.6%)	269.52	265.37(0%)	261.34(-3%)	261.34-261.34	-0.1(-1.5)	-2.1	-1.5%	-0.2%	0%	0.18%	0%	57	1.1	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	6	-2	1.9	Uptrend Consolidation	263.56(0.85%)	264.14-261.85	22.06	-9.1%-6.4%
12	Feb_18_2021	269.95 (0.2%)	269.95 (0.2%)	271.41 (-0.2%)	271.83	271.56(0%)	269.41(-1.57%)	269.41-269.41	0.4(-0.1)	-0.7	-0.4%	0.1%	0%	0.26%	0%	58	1.1	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.5%)	7	-0.8	1.9	Uptrend	270.51(0.41%)	269.66-270.9	13.8	-6.3%-9.6%
13	Feb_17_2021	269.87 (0.4%)	269.75 (0.2%)	271.85 (0.4%)	271.91	273.66(0%)	273.7(0.03%)	273.7-273.7	0.6(0.8)	1.3	0.4%	0.2%	0%	0.28%	-0%	51	1.1	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.6%)	8	-0.3	2.1	Uptrend	274.74(0.38%)	273.07-275.47	11.5	-4.8%-11.4%
14	Feb_16_2021	269.28 (0.4%)	269.07 (0.2%)	270.89 (0.5%)	271.39	272.11(0%)	273.62(1.11%)	273.62-273.62	0.5(0.8)	1.3	0.6%	0.4%	0%	0.18%	-0.1%	38	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1%)	8	-0.3	2	Uptrend	274.39(0.28%)	273.09-274.95	12.84	-4.8%-11.3%
15	Feb_12_2021	268.25 (0.2%)	268.03 (-0%)	269.5 (0.2%)	270.21	270.16(0%)	270.6(0.33%)	270.6-270.6	0.4(0.4)	1.9	0.1%	0.4%	0%	0.06%	-0.1%	41	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	7	-0.3	2.1	N/A	270.92(0.12%)	270.12-271.57	7.4	-5.9%-10.1%

16	Feb_11_2021	267.11 (0.2%)	267 (-0.2%)	268.99 (0.3%)	269.23	270.66(0%)	269.72(-0.69%)	269.72-269.72	0.4(0.3)	1.4	0.2%	0.2%	0%	-0.06%	-0%	45	1.8	N/A Downtrend Pop	Range(0.7%)	7	-0.2	2.2	N/A	269.18(-0.2%)	268.51-269.72	11.4	-6.2%-9.8%
17	Feb_10_2021	266.26 (0.2%)	266.51 (-0.2%)	268.26 (0.3%)	268.81	270.27(0%)	271.61(1%)	271.61-271.61	0.4(0.6)	1.8	0.7%	0.1%	0%	-0.14%	0.1%	48	1.9	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.8%)	6	0.1	2.2	Downtrend	270.66(-0.35%)	270.73-270.5	12.05	-5.5%-10.5%
18	Feb_9_2021	265.3 (0%)	266.41 (-0.2%)	267.35 (0.1%)	267.43	267.79(0%)	268.93(0.85%)	268.93-268.93	0.3(0.4)	0.8	0.2%	-0.2%	0%	-0.18%	0.4%	52	2	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	6	-0.2	2	Correction	266.27(-0.99%)	265.23-267.54	13.37	-6.5%-9.4%
19	Feb_8_2021	264.72 (-0%)	267.54 (-0.2%)	266.99 (0.3%)	266.96	267.36(0%)	266.66(-0.52%)	266.66-266.66	0.2(0.2)	0.9	0.1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.1%	1.1%	57	1.9	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	6	-0.6	1.8	Downtrend	265.86(-0.3%)	265.73-266.19	11.51	-7.3%-8.5%
20	Feb_5_2021	264.72 (-0%)	268.57 (-0%)	266.3 (0.6%)	267.08	267.07(0%)	268.06(0.75%)	268.06-268.06	0.2(0.4)	2.7	0.4%	-0.2%	0%	-0.02%	1.4%	66	1.9	N/A	Range(0.2%)	6	-0.3	1.7	Range Bound	267.42(-0.24%)	266.66-268.06	9.81	-9.1%-9.1%

21	Feb_4_2021	264.74 (-0%)	269.17 (0.2%)	264.65 (0.1%)	265.87	266.56(0%)	266.07(-0.36%)	266.07-266.07	0(0.1)	0.6	0.1%	-0.2%	0%	0.06%	1.7%	69	1.9	N/A	Range(0.1%)	7	-0.5	1.5	Range Bound	265.91(-0.06%)	265.14-266.54	13.26	-9.8%-8.3%
22	Feb_3_2021	264.6 (-0.2%)	269.88 (0.2%)	264.44 (-0.4%)	264.3	267.09(0%)	267.04(-0.04%)	267.04-267.04	-0(0.3)	0.1	0.3%	-0%	0%	0.14%	2%	63	1.6	N/A	Range(0.3%)	7	0	1.7	N/A	266.85(-0.07%)	264.94-268.44	12.94	-9.4%-8.7%
23	Feb_2_2021	264.74 (-0.2%)	269.99 (0.4%)	265.4 (-1.1%)	263.77	265.18(0%)	267.15(1.5%)	267.15-267.15	-0(0.3)	-0.5	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.26%	2%	63	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	7	0	1.4	N/A	267.68(0.2%)	265.73-269.28	14.47	-9.4%-8.7%
24	Feb_1_2021	264.79 (-0%)	269.54 (0.6%)	268.37 (-1.1%)	264.95	261.5(0%)	263.21(1.31%)	263.21-263.21	0.1(-0.2)	-1.1	-0.9%	0.2%	0%	0.4%	1.8%	56	1.7	Correction	Range(-0.7%)	7	0	1.1	N/A	265.45(0.85%)	263.91-266.71	18.89	-10.7%-7.1%
25	Jan_29_2021	265.25 (0%)	268.64 (0.6%)	271.3 (-1.1%)	269.65	262.37(0%)	259.8(-1.96%)	259.8-259.8	0.4(-0.6)	-1.7	-1.9%	0.2%	0%	0.44%	1.3%	46	1.6	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(-0.7%)	7	-0.1	0.2	N/A	263.41(1.39%)	262.63-264.04	27.13	-11.9%-5.7%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low