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     Fri. Sep. 18, 2020



Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Facebook)

FB latest price $252.7200 (-0.86%) ($250.0500 - $259.2000) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  FB declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  FB declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support FB decline at-2.7% a week (71% probability)
  IVW(73%)    VUG(72%)    IWF(71%)    QQQ(71%)    XLK(65%)  
Factors Impacting FB price  FB will advance at least 1.3% in a week (27% probabilities).
  VIXM(-38%)    VXX(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    FEX(-15%)    TLT(-12%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.5
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly Trend   -2.72% [$254.53(-5.82), $261.64(-3.72)]
Last Hour Trend   0.19% [$253, $252.53]


FB Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  2.7%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -2.7%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $252.7200
Next Day Open Price  $253.68(0.38%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $248.3(-1.75%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $244.49 - $257.18
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $277.66
5 Day Moving Average  $261.91(-3.51%)
10 Day Moving Average  $266.72(-5.25%)
20 Day Moving Average  $277.66(-8.98%)
To recent high  -16.9%
To recent low  17%
Market Cap  $720.252b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Oct. 28, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $287.20 ($120.00 - $335.00)
  45 analysts (last updated on Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  13.64%
% to Low Target Price  -52.52%
% to High Target Price  32.56%
 


  
 
 


Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. FB price fluctuates within 5.43% (three month std-dev: 2.7%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. FB price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   Hourly Chart   15 Minute Chart

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_18_2020-16.9%-17% -0.4%,-0.1(-0.1)-5.8%,-1.1(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.2-1.50.19%-3.9%-1.7-1.50.7(5.43%,NAN%)2.128.09   252.72(-0.86%)250.05-259.2Downtrend 248.3(-1.75%)244.49-257.1825
2Sep_17_2020-16.1%-18.1% -0%,-0(-0.1)-5.4%,-1.1(-0.1)-1%,-0.2-1.2-0.17%-2.9%-1.7-1.7-0.1(5.05%,2.43%)2.131.22   254.91(-3.27%)250.19-261.5Downtrend 251.21(-1.45%)247.83-259.0926
3Sep_16_2020-13.3%-22% 0.3%,0.1(-0.1)-5%,-1(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.20-0.29%-1.5%-1.2-1.2-0.6(4.83%,2.48%)1.429.16   263.53(-3.27%)261.79-272.44Correction 246.98(-6.28%)244.44-257.1724
4Sep_15_2020-10.4%-26.2% 0.6%,0.1(0)-4.2%,-0.9(-0.1)0.1%,00.3-0.31%-0.4%-0.5-0.4-0.6(4.86%,2.17%)0.818.25   272.44(2.43%)269.3-274.52Correction 258.79(-5.01%)256.55-267.8148
5Sep_14_2020-12.5%-23.2% 0.5%,0.1(-0)-3.7%,-0.7(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.2-0.6-0.42%0.5%-0.9-0.9-0.1(5.05%,2.36%)0.824.03   265.97(-0.37%)265.7-276.64Correction 252.14(-5.2%)249.86-261.2751
 
6Sep_11_2020-12.2%-23.6% 0.8%,0.1(-0.1)-2.3%,-0.4(-0.3)-1.8%,-0.3-0.60.33%1.5%-0.8-0.30.3(5.14%,2%)0.119.73   266.95(-0.31%)262.64-271.39Correction 255.28(-4.37%)253.22-263.5254
7Sep_10_2020-11.9%-24% 1.2%,0.2(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.1(-0.5)-2.5%,-0.5-0.6-0.93%2.6%-0.8-0.20.6(5.24%,2.39%)-0.724.73   267.79(-2.16%)267.03-279.16Correction 259.65(-3.04%)257.96-266.3953
8Sep_9_2020-10%-26.8% 2.1%,0.4(-0.1)2.1%,0.4(-0.3)-1.5%,-0.3-1.2-0.24%4%-0.3-0.10.8(5.39%,2.58%)-0.722.67   273.69(1%)271.35-278.48Uptrend Consolidation 275.41(0.63%)275.16-276.1560
9Sep_8_2020-10.8%-25.5% 2.7%,0.5(-0.1)3.6%,0.6(-0.2)-1.5%,-0.3-1.8-0.57%4.6%-0.40.21.3(5.66%,2.83%)-1.224.74   270.98(-4.21%)269.42-279.3Uptrend Dip 282.47(4.24%)273.28-284.7859
10Sep_4_2020-6.9%-31% 3.4%,0.6(-0.1)5%,0.9(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.1-1.20.79%4.9%0.30.71.2(5.65%,2.64%)-1.130.23   282.89(-2.95%)271.14-289Uptrend Consolidation 282.83(-0.02%)280.49-289.8166
 
11Sep_3_2020-4.1%-35% 4%,0.7(-0.1)5.8%,1(-0.1)-0.1%,-00-0.17%4.7%0.91.31.3(5.69%,2.51%)-2.432.1   291.49(-3.76%)283.63-297.6Uptrend 299.33(2.69%)288.59-303.9473
12Sep_2_2020-0.3%-40.3% 4.6%,0.8(-0.1)6.3%,1.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-00.30.31%4.5%1.71.51.5(5.91%,2.34%)0.224.29   302.89(2.46%)293.05-303.6Uptrend 311.67(2.9%)296.62-318.1182
13Sep_1_2020-2.7%-36.9% 5%,0.9(-0)6.7%,1.2(0)1%,0.20-0.12%4.1%1.51.41.4(5.74%,2.32%)017.28   295.61(0.81%)292.71-301.49Uptrend 305.96(3.5%)290.52-312.5781
14Aug_31_2020-3.5%-35.8% 5.2%,0.9(0)6.5%,1.2(0.1)1.5%,0.3-0.30.07%3.7%1.51.51.3(5.59%,2.37%)0.117.26   293.24(-0.11%)291.55-296.88Growing Uptrend 305.47(4.17%)288.73-309.6482
15Aug_28_2020-3.4%-36% 5.1%,0.9(0)5.7%,1.1(0.2)1.9%,0.30.60.04%3.4%1.81.61.2(5.37%,2.55%)0.817.09   293.56(0.07%)290.98-297.23Growing Uptrend 303.81(3.49%)288.05-307.7472
 
16Aug_27_2020-3.5%-35.9% 5%,0.9(0.1)4.4%,0.8(0.2)1.8%,0.32.10.18%2.9%1.91.81.4(5.51%,2.87%)0.730.47   293.36(-3.48%)292.02-301.23Relative Overbought 295.18(0.62%)275.19-311.5365
17Aug_26_20200%-40.8% 4.6%,0.8(0.2)3.3%,0.6(0.2)3.1%,0.62.10.57%2.8%2.831.4(5.52%,2.93%)1.368.54   303.94(8.27%)284-304.67Growing Uptrend 311.57(2.51%)295.14-315.6775
18Aug_25_20200%-30% 3.6%,0.8(0.1)2%,0.4(0.1)1.4%,0.30.90.26%2.4%1.71.70.9(4.84%,2.26%)1.647.77   280.72(3.44%)270.26-283.09Growing Uptrend 285.27(1.62%)276.31-287.5176
19Aug_24_20200%-25.7% 3.1%,0.6(0.1)1.5%,0.3(0)0.8%,0.20.6-0.01%2.4%1.111(4.85%,1.96%)1.724.32   271.38(1.63%)268.77-277.25Uptrend 274.28(1.07%)268.75-276.6472
20Aug_21_2020-0.7%-23.7% 2.7%,0.5(0.1)1.5%,0.3(-0.1)0.5%,0.10.60%2.8%0.911.3(5.08%,1.83%)1.715.35   267.03(-0.73%)266.42-270.49Uptrend 269.65(0.98%)264.65-271.7866
 
21Aug_20_20200%-24.6% 2.4%,0.4(0.1)1.8%,0.3(-0.2)0.6%,0.10.30.26%3.6%1.21.41.6(5.26%,1.61%)1.520.25   268.99(2.4%)261.46-269.63Uptrend Consolidation 265.04(-1.47%)262.62-272.2965
22Aug_19_2020-2.2%-21.7% 2.1%,0.4(0)2.6%,0.5(-0.1)0.2%,00.3-0.45%4.1%0.80.91.6(5.16%,1.85%)1.623.22   262.7(0.21%)261.35-267.91Uptrend Consolidation 260.55(-0.82%)258.63-266.3275
23Aug_18_2020-2.4%-23% 2%,0.4(0)3.1%,0.6(-0.1)0.5%,0.100.24%4.1%0.90.71.6(5.12%,1.89%)1.618.67   262.15(0.35%)259.26-265.15Uptrend Consolidation 259.63(-0.96%)257.46-266.1775
24Aug_17_2020-2.7%-22.6% 2%,0.4(-0)3.6%,0.7(-0.2)-0.1%,-000.15%4.1%0.90.71.7(5.02%,1.87%)1.813.31   261.23(0.07%)259.4-264.1Uptrend Consolidation 258.88(-0.9%)256.64-265.676
25Aug_14_2020-2.8%-26.3% 2.1%,0.4(-0)4.5%,0.9(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.10.3-0.05%4%10.91.9(4.93%,1.92%)1.814.75   261.06(-0.11%)258.68-262.65Uptrend Consolidation 258.37(-1.03%)255.91-265.7872
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
 
 
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