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     Mon. Aug. 24, 2020

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jan. 20, 2021)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)

EWJ latest price $58.2500 (1.11%) ($58.0200 - $58.2750) on Mon. Aug. 24, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.07 (1.88% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.21% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.3% (StdDev 1.21%)
Daily Moving Force  0.2%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.28%
Latest Price  $58.2500(1.11%)
Forecasted Low Price  58.08(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price  58.72(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  1.6% (57.33)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.3%
Hourly Trend   0.4% [$57.85(0.26), $57.89(-0.01)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  6
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  EWJ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support EWJ advance at -0% a week (82% probability)
  BOTZ(78%)    VGK(78%)    EWI(74%)    VT(74%)    EWG(73%)  
Factors Impacting EWJ price  EWJ will decline at least -0.2% in a week (42% probabilities).
  VXX(-48%)    VIXM(-46%)    UUP(-42%)    TLT(-39%)    SHY(-33%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.4
 
Relative Volatility   1.8 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.1% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV   0.1 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $58.23(-0.04%)
Support Level  $56.93
5 Day Moving Average  $57.98(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average  $57.85(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average  $56.93(2.32%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  7.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.21%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200924

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
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Force
Weekly
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Aug_24_202056.93 (0.2%)57.85 (0.4%)57.98 (0.1%) 57.89 57.85(0%)58.25(1.11%)58.02-58.281.1(1.2)0.1 0.2%0.3%0%0.28% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)6801.6-0.41.7Uptrend 58.52(0.47%)58-58.742.89   -0.1%-7.2% 
2Aug_21_202056.85 (0.2%)57.66 (0.4%)57.95 (-0.1%) 57.9 57.59(0%)57.61(-0.28%)57.34-57.650.6(0.7)0.2 -0.4%0.2%0%0.3% Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.1%)6811.5-0.61.7Uptrend 57.9(0.51%)57.48-58.094.04   -1.2%-9.5% 
3Aug_20_202056.77 (0.2%)57.52 (0.4%)58 (-0%) 58.02 57.93(0%)57.77(-0.36%)57.52-57.860.8(1)0 -0.3%0.3%0%0.36% Correction  Range(0.2%)6881.5-0.21.5Uptrend 58.13(0.63%)57.61-58.363.28   -0.9%-9.8% 
4Aug_19_202056.67 (0.2%)57.35 (0.4%)58.01 (0%) 58.05 58.21(0%)57.98(-0.53%)57.97-58.431.1(1.3)-0.4 0.1%0.3%0%0.36% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)7671.50.21.6Uptrend 58.32(0.58%)57.74-58.563.96   -0.5%-10.7% 
5Aug_18_202056.57 (0.2%)57.16 (0.4%)58 (0.5%) 57.97 58.11(0%)58.29(0.34%)58.03-58.391.6(1.8)0.7 0.3%0.3%0%0.36% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.6%)7601.40.31.6Growing Uptrend 58.72(0.73%)57.99-58.94.94   0%-11.3% 
 
6Aug_17_202056.46 (0.2%)56.93 (0.4%)57.69 (0.6%) 57.9 57.89(0%)58.09(0.41%)57.87-58.131.6(1.8)4.9 0.3%0.4%0%0.3% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)7591.30.21.8Growing Uptrend 58.4(0.54%)57.81-58.553.06   0%-10.9% 
7Aug_14_202056.36 (0.2%)56.66 (0.2%)57.33 (0.7%) 57.68 57.83(0%)57.85(-0.02%)57.69-57.941.5(1.8)8.6 0.3%0.5%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)7551.1-0.11.8Growing Uptrend 58.04(0.33%)57.62-58.143.01   -0.1%-12.1% 
8Aug_13_202056.26 (0%)56.32 (0.2%)56.96 (0.7%) 57.27 57.91(0%)57.86(-0.12%)57.72-58.021.9(2.2)2.7 0.7%0.3%0%0.12% Overbought  Higher(1.1%)6621-0.11.7Breakout 57.91(0.08%)57.57-58.054.34   -0.1%-12.1% 
9Aug_12_202056.17 (0%)56.1 (0%)56.58 (0.7%) 56.77 57.52(0%)57.93(2.12%)57.8-58.152.5(2.7)1.9 1.2%0.2%-1.1%0.06% Overbought  Lower(-1.8%)5620.9-0.11.5Uptrend 57.91(-0.04%)57.61-58.036.33   0%-12.2% 
10Aug_11_202056.09 (0%)55.94 (0%)56.2 (0.2%) 56.26 56.63(0%)56.73(0.82%)56.69-57.51.1(1.2)1.5 0.7%0.1%0%0.02% N/A  Higher(0.8%)5540.7-0.51.3N/A 56.59(-0.25%)56.37-56.7710.08   -2%-9.9% 
 
11Aug_10_202056.05 (0%)55.91 (-0%)56.07 (0.3%) 56.03 56.01(0%)56.27(0.48%)55.95-56.290.4(0.4)0.9 0.2%-0%0%0% N/A  Range(0.2%)5500.7-1.41.6N/A 56.24(-0.06%)56.15-56.314.97   -2.8%-9% 
12Aug_7_202056.01 (0%)55.96 (-0%)55.9 (0.6%) 55.95 55.9(0%)56(0.04%)55.7-56.02-0(-0)2.3 0.1%0%0%-0% N/A  Range(0.1%)6480.7-1.81.6N/A 56.02(0.04%)56-56.044   -3.3%-8.8% 
13Aug_6_202056 (0%)55.96 (-0.2%)55.57 (0.1%) 55.77 56.05(0%)55.98(-0.07%)55.76-56.06-0(-0)2.8 0.3%0%0%-0.08% Uptrend Reversal Downtrend Pop Range(0.3%)6490.8-21.6Downtrend 55.94(-0.07%)55.92-55.983.79   -3.3%-10.4% 
14Aug_5_202055.96 (0%)55.96 (-0.2%)55.52 (-0.2%) 55.41 56(0%)56.02(-0.07%)55.96-56.420.1(0.1)0.9 0.5%0%0%-0.08% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)5500.8-1.81.6Correction 55.95(-0.12%)55.96-55.934.2   -3.2%-10.5% 
15Aug_4_202055.93 (0%)55.94 (-0.2%)55.64 (-0.2%) 55.24 55.48(0%)56.06(1.12%)55.57-56.060.2(0.2)0.5 0.5%0%0%-0.08% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)5450.8-1.51.5Correction 55.97(-0.16%)55.94-563.44   -3.2%-10.8% 
 
16Aug_3_202055.9 (0%)55.95 (-0%)55.75 (-0.5%) 55.4 54.82(0%)55.44(2.04%)54.81-55.45-0.7(-0.8)-1.6 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.6%)5470.8-2.11.6Correction 55.11(-0.6%)55.04-55.387.25   -4.2%-9.6% 
17Jul_31_202055.92 (0%)56.03 (-0%)56.05 (-0.5%) 55.78 54.99(0%)54.33(-2.58%)54.11-54.78-2.4(-2.7)-2.2 -1.3%-0.3%0.9%0.02% Oversold  Range(0.6%)5440.8-3.51.7Correction 54.1(-0.42%)54.04-54.338.57   -6.2%-7.4% 
18Jul_30_202055.98 (0%)56.24 (0%)56.35 (-0%) 56.39 55.99(0%)55.77(-1.5%)55.03-55.87-0.4(-0.4)-0.5 -0.6%-0%0%0.08% Correction  Range(0.2%)5510.7-1.81.7Uptrend Consolidation 55.84(0.12%)55.84-55.86.37   -3.7%-10.2% 
19Jul_29_202055.94 (0%)56.24 (0.2%)56.37 (0.2%) 56.48 56.56(0%)56.62(0.05%)56.23-56.731.1(1.2)3 -0.1%0.1%0%0.1% Uptrend Correction Range(0%)6670.8-0.61.9Uptrend 56.64(0.04%)56.49-56.74.87   -2.2%-11.9% 
20Jul_28_202055.85 (0%)56.27 (0.2%)56.27 (0.1%) 56.35 56.8(0%)56.59(-0.61%)56.58-56.791.2(1.3)1.5 0.5%0.1%0%0.1% Uptrend Dip  Higher(0.9%)6630.80.31.8After Top 56.49(-0.18%)56.2-56.722.67   -2.3%-11.8% 
 
21Jul_27_202055.79 (0%)56.2 (0.2%)56.19 (0.3%) 56.2 56.39(0%)56.94(1.99%)56.86-57.121.9(2.1)1.6 0.6%0.2%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)6660.70.31.8Breakout 56.93(-0.01%)56.73-57.023.24   -1.7%-12.5% 
22Jul_24_202055.71 (0%)56.2 (0%)56.05 (-0.1%) 56.03 55.91(0%)55.83(-0.11%)55.7-56.040.2(0.2)-0.3 -0.1%-0%0%0.06% N/A  Range(-0%)6500.7-0.81.5N/A 55.84(0.01%)55.76-55.94.17   -3.6%-10.3% 
23Jul_23_202055.72 (0%)56.06 (0.2%)56.11 (-0.1%) 56.1 56.01(0%)55.89(-0.34%)55.73-56.260.2(0.4)-0.8 -0.2%0.1%0%0.1% Correction  Range(0.1%)6590.7-1.11.4N/A 55.9(0.01%)55.82-55.963.64   -3.5%-10.7% 
24Jul_22_202055.7 (-0%)55.99 (0.2%)56.15 (-0.2%) 56.13 56.15(0%)56.08(-0.27%)55.94-56.160.7(0.8)-4.6 -0.1%0.1%0%0.1% Correction  Range(0.1%)6640.7-1.61.7N/A 56.02(-0.1%)55.86-56.154.1   -3.1%-11.2% 
25Jul_21_202055.71 (0%)55.92 (0.2%)56.26 (0.1%) 56.15 56.19(0%)56.23(0.05%)56.18-56.440.9(1)-3 %0.1%0%0.14% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)5640.7-1.31.7N/A 56.19(-0.07%)55.96-56.383.96   -2.9%-13.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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