Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $208.7800 (3.39%) ($208.7800 - $208.7800) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $208.7800(3.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(71%)    ONLN(70%)    IPO(65%)    IWO(63%)    IWF(62%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-10%)    VXX(-9%)    TBT(-8%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $198.32(5.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $192.75(8.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $194.7(7.23%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $185.067b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 3.75% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 2.06%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.63%(40%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 4.41%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -4.29%(40%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 5.69%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.63%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	191.09	194.7	192.75	198.32	200.37	205.36	208.78(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	137	210	156	81	2.63	41%	0.06	75.2	3.3%	1.5	1.9	58	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	190.98	193.33	191.15	193.44	195.71	198.87	201.94(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	87	150	106	31	2.46	38%	-0.04	65.9	3.28%	1.6	1.2	50	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	191.05	192.23	190.37	189.54	191.32	195.38	195.8(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	61	180	84	-7	1.32	38%	-0.23	56	3.26%	1.1	0.5	36	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	191.49	191.39	190	186.94	187.8	192.54	194.96(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	81	190	114	-18	1.92	38%	-0.27	50.4	3.26%	1.8	0.4	41	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	192	190.27	190.14	185.64	184.74	187.25	190.12(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	80	65	-45	2.4	38%	-0.16	40.8	3.27%	1.4	-0	42	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	192.31	189.36	190.82	186.44	184.32	183.06	184.38(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-80	-16	-65	1.56	38%	-0.07	41.4	3.26%	-0.2	-0.5	53	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	192.45	188.76	192.33	188.58	186.75	182.22	182.42(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-85	-200	-90	-70	2.37	38%	-0.14	45.6	3.26%	-1	-0.6	55	1
8	Jul_14_2021	192.72	188.16	194.72	191.29	189.99	185.58	182.84(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-105	-180	-124	-47	2.85	38%	-0.15	49.6	3.26%	-1.9	-0.5	58	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	193.01	187.46	196.77	193.31	193.3	191.28	188.46(-2.9%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-46	-70	-64	9	2.33	38%	-0.13	49.9	3.26%	-1.9	0.1	64	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	193.26	186.63	197.85	195.17	194.43	194.39	194.09(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10	-22	62	2.38	38%	-0.17	53.4	3.26%	-0.5	0.6	75	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	193.59	185.27	197.1	195.87	195.05	195.33	195.09(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-0	1	90	1.61	38%	-0.14	54	3.26%	0.6	0.7	77	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	193.86	183.91	195.92	196.73	196.07	194.46	195.96(1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-70	-19	101	1.56	43%	-0.14	56	3.27%	0.5	0.9	78	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	194.13	182.49	194.44	198.84	196.94	194.77	192.97(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-35	-110	-80	102	1.62	43%	-0.19	58.4	3.33%	-1.4	0.7	79	1
14	Jul_6_2021	194.49	181.35	193.11	200.77	200.32	197.68	197.74(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-100	-35	149	2.48	43%	-0.19	65.8	3.31%	-0.3	1.2	85	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	194.86	179.84	190.57	200.88	201.82	199.1	197.58(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-80	-49	148	1.65	40%	-0.15	69.6	3.38%	-1.1	1.3	77	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	195.15	178.14	187.9	198.33	201.71	202.97	199.41(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	90	20	168	3.03	40%	-0.14	66	3.41%	-1.2	1.6	81	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	195.42	176.39	184.96	194.76	198.06	204.55	206.52(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	150	280	133	202	2.67	42%	-0.12	62.4	3.38%	1.3	2.5	86	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	195.66	174.63	180.95	189.36	191.82	200.45	202.58(2.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	200	350	199	201	3.5	42%	-0.15	62.2	3.37%	1.1	2.7	85	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	195.95	172.56	177.16	184.44	186.05	191.57	198.33(7.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	185	230	191	168	4.65	42%	-0.17	59.9	3.37%	1.8	3.1	77	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	196.28	170.77	174.15	178.93	180.57	183.19	184.8(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	88	130	84	98	2.26	35%	-0.18	55.5	3.25%	1	2.4	72	2

21	Jun_24_2021	196.64	169.79	172.19	175.94	177.07	180.54	181.58(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	78	160	77	80	2.38	31%	-0.15	43.2	3.24%	0.7	2.3	74	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	196.93	169.05	170.7	173.58	173.99	177.95	179.5(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	88	170	93	73	2.74	31%	-0.16	39.5	3.42%	0.8	2.5	69	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	197.25	168.38	169.42	171.16	171.56	173.59	177.99(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	72	90	80	47	4.2	31%	-0.14	28.4	3.42%	1.5	2.8	51	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	197.52	167.71	168.52	168.76	169.32	170.04	170.79(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	40	20	16	1.86	26%	-0.15	11.9	3.37%	1	1.2	59	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	197.81	167.54	168.25	168.66	167.99	169.54	169.82(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	50	14	17	3.45	26%		19	3.41%	-0.1	0.9	56	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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