Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $333.5500 (2.13%) ($326.8400 - $333.6800) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $333.5500(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(68%)    IVW(67%)    IWF(67%)    FIVG(65%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-38%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-7%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 2 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $324.55(2.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $324.32(2.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $320.85(3.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $120.073b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.13%(52%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.99%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.76%(43%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 2.51%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.06%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	303.21	320.85	324.32	324.55	324.7	327.22	333.55(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	146	60	160	105	0.77	59%	0.17	112.3	1.61%	2	2.6	65	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	302.71	319.59	322.71	322.74	321.61	324.15	326.58(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	40	52	52	0.76	56%	0.13	118.6	1.59%	1.3	1.5	61	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	302.33	318.43	321.45	322.82	322.13	322.17	323.08(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	79	-10	85	62	0.68	56%	0.11	101.7	1.59%	0.7	0.8	57	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	301.99	317.37	321.05	323.51	322.66	319.07	323.45(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-91	-90	-117	-12	0.79	56%	0.1	88.2	1.59%	0.9	0.9	58	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	301.69	316.31	320.6	322.95	323.95	322.09	316.11(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-119	-30	-151	-23	1.34	53%	0.1	78	1.56%	-1.6	-0	55	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	301.38	315.41	320.83	323.82	324.68	326.25	324.49(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	40	54	68	0.68	61%	0.12	68.3	1.53%	-1.4	1.1	64	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	301.03	314.2	320.07	322.5	322.9	325.82	326.96(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	136	70	146	106	0.82	61%	0.11	63.3	1.55%	0.8	1.4	77	1
8	Jul_14_2021	300.69	312.8	319.12	319.82	320.42	323.11	326.56(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	155	60	168	114	1.45	61%	0.12	55.8	1.55%	1.6	1.6	81	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	300.34	311.58	318.14	318.34	317.25	319.99	320.63(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	50	79	89	0.84	58%	0.12	55.7	1.54%	0.5	1.1	80	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	299.98	310.7	317.53	318.02	317.06	317.72	320.48(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	10	110	116	0.83	58%	0.12	56.2	1.54%	0.9	1.2	77	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	299.62	309.68	317.06	317.44	316.88	314.52	317.87(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-34	-60	-67	66	0.63	58%	0.1	53.6	1.54%	0.4	1	80	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	299.32	308.71	316.21	317.28	317.21	316.41	313.57(-1.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-78	-20	-122	56	1.51	58%	0.08	50.6	1.54%	-0.9	0.6	69	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	299.07	307.94	315.26	318.18	318.59	319.24	319.15(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	78	20	57	142	0.72	62%	0.08	50	1.52%	0.3	1.3	78	1
14	Jul_6_2021	298.83	306.96	313.49	317.85	317.79	318.02	319.04(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	0	17	124	1.06	62%	0.1	48.7	1.52%	1.5	1.5	69	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	298.54	306.1	311.78	316.95	317.21	317.95	317.56(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	20	23	121	0.62	62%	0.09	48	1.52%	1.1	1.5	67	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	298.26	305.33	309.69	316.63	316.76	317.56	317.08(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	85	20	68	134	1.19	62%	0.11	50.2	1.53%	-0.7	1.7	70	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	297.92	304.56	307.97	314.96	315.46	316.47	318.08(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	96	30	84	133	1.08	62%	0.13	45.8	1.53%	0.9	2.1	73	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	297.53	303.77	306.02	311.82	312.71	315.96	317.51(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	135	80	136	133	0.9	62%	0.13	35.4	1.54%	1.2	2.4	73	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	297.15	303.01	304.43	308.42	309	314.44	314.54(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	224	130	246	158	1.41	62%	0.14	23.9	1.54%	0.6	2.3	67	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	296.72	302.52	303.18	305.8	305.26	309.46	315.95(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	242	90	272	150	2.12	65%	0.22	21.4	1.56%	1.5	3.2	63	2

21	Jun_24_2021	296.08	301.82	301.48	301.79	301.84	303.56	308.7(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	113	40	130	62	1.8	62%	0.21	1	1.53%	2.2	2.3	55	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	295.47	301.61	300.38	300.03	299.73	301.07	302.38(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	30	47	11	0.88	58%	0.19	-4.5	1.52%	1.7	0.3	48	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	294.9	301.73	299.93	299.35	299.11	300.12	300.51(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	20	53	1	0.71	58%	0.2	3.3	1.54%	0.8	-0.4	44	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	294.3	301.84	299.87	299.81	299.17	298.4	301.48(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-17	-20	-13	-27	0.93	58%	0.22	17.6	1.53%	1.2	-0.1	44	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	293.64	301.63	299.97	300.16	300.25	298.11	295.88(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-79	-50	-86	-59	1.9	55%		20.4	1.52%	-0.8	-1.9	28	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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