Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $289.6200 (-1.6%) ($288.0300 - $294.1800) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $289.6200(-1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(66%)    IVW(65%)    IWF(64%)    DIA(62%)    FIVG(62%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-37%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-13%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV -1.4 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $289.29(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $289.97(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $275.56(5.1%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $104.259b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 7.22% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(57%) Average negative next day return: -3.07%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -4.29%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 3.26%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.4%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	250.9	275.56	289.97	289.29	289.44	291.71	289.62(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	60	47	96	1.01	58%	0.28	54.8	1.92%	-1.4	0.7	80	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	250.2	272.98	289.51	288.96	288.44	290.54	294.34(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	123	50	110	160	1.51	59%	0.32	47	1.9%	0.9	1	85	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	249.4	270.53	288.05	288.01	287.32	287.18	291.9(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10	3	147	1.63	59%	0.29	45.4	1.92%	2	1	86	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	248.67	268.41	286.94	288.78	288.33	286.34	285.45(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-50	-65	173	1.01	58%	0.28	47.8	1.91%	-1	0.8	86	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	247.97	266.61	285.83	289.74	290.41	287.46	285.16(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-60	-85	219	0.9	54%	0.27	49.8	1.91%	-1.2	0.9	87	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	247.29	265.06	282.94	290.66	290.83	290.32	287.96(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10	-70	243	0.84	52%	0.3	52.4	1.96%	-1	1.1	78	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	246.56	263.33	279.28	289.95	290.5	293.36	289.59(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	148	70	89	323	1.47	52%	0.31	53.8	1.99%	-0.4	1.3	82	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	245.79	261.19	275.18	287.9	288.41	291.35	295.74(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	212	80	164	354	1.86	54%	0.47	51	1.97%	1.6	1.8	76	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	244.65	258.71	269.85	284.86	284.55	287.64	290.25(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	70	97	308	1.58	56%	0.34	48.1	1.97%	1.6	1.8	70	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	243.82	256.55	264.55	281.37	282.6	285.47	289.76(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	215	80	183	312	1.44	56%	0.35	44.5	1.97%	1.2	2.1	70	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	242.98	254.69	259.94	274.03	279.01	281.47	284.4(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	216	120	201	262	1.62	56%	0.32	35.5	1.96%	1	2.2	63	1
12	Feb_9_2021	242.21	253.06	254.99	266.87	270.54	279.73	279.35(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	220	280	225	204	1.36	58%	0.31	22.6	1.95%	0.6	2.2	62	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	241.47	251.82	251.36	260.38	262.83	276.56	280.54(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	482	390	548	285	2.47	58%	0.29	9.8	1.98%	0.9	2.8	66	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	240.77	250.61	247.96	252.64	254.04	261.36	272.81(7.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	401	220	467	202	3.13	59%	0.25	-16.8	1.95%	1.3	2.7	63	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	240.18	249.72	245.33	245.41	246.07	249.11	253.05(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	92	90	120	8	2.12	53%	0.15	-53.2	1.76%	2.8	0.5	52	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	239.81	249.92	245.36	243.81	243.46	246.73	248.62(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	108	90	143	3	1.05	51%	0.13	-61	1.76%	0.8	-0.2	43	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	239.49	250.4	245.89	241.22	241.91	243.04	246.86(2.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	77	40	113	-30	1.28	53%	0.13	-72.4	1.76%	1.2	-0.5	43	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	239.19	250.81	246.02	240.91	240.1	240.2	241.85(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-10	-55	-112	1.45	51%	0.12	-77.9	1.76%	0.3	-1.3	37	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	238.91	252	246.77	242.54	241.88	240.79	236.65(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-40	-32	-107	1.16	49%	0.1	-70.1	1.75%	-0.7	-2.2	30	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	238.68	253.33	248.2	245.18	244.37	240	245.08(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-147	-140	-147	-148	1.5	48%	0.11	-59.6	1.69%	0.8	-1.2	38	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	238.41	254.22	249.32	247.21	247.19	242.96	235.64(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-242	-120	-262	-180	2.59	44%	0.09	-46.8	1.72%	-1.7	-2.7	26	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	238.2	255.69	251.41	251.13	251.51	248.74	245.31(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-103	-70	-105	-95	0.99	48%	0.03	-36.9	1.65%	-1.6	-1.9	31	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	238.13	256.51	252.7	251.76	252.67	251.41	250.02(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-79	-20	-79	-77	1.07	50%	0.15	-38.6	1.64%	-1.1	-1.3	44	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	237.78	257.01	253.72	251.58	252.27	254.27	249.83(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	8	60	25	-45	1.16	50%	0.14	-39.9	1.64%	-1.7	-1.4	32	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	237.45	257.44	254.57	251.62	251.45	253.93	255.27(0.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	86	70	119	-14	0.84	56%		-35.4	1.62%	0.9	-0.4	41	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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