Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. May. 26, 2023)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)
EBS latest price $64.3900 (1.16%) ($63.7700 - $64.7000) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.48% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $64.3900(1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EBS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EBS advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EBS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(46%)    IWM(46%)    IWO(46%)    IWC(44%)    IWN(44%)
Factors Impacting EBS price   EBS will decline at least -1.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-19%)    VXX(-9%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.24% (StdDev 2.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.58(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.35(3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.28(3.39%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $3.406b

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

$. EBS price fluctuates within 3.56% (three month std-dev: 2.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(48%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 3.41%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(45%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.45%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	69.14	62.28	62.35	64.58	64.72	64.55	64.39(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10	1	75	0.23	46%	-0.39	48.9	2.48%	0	1	50	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	69.41	62.14	61.92	64.19	64.19	65.05	63.65(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	90	20	61	0.28	42%	-0.46	42.7	2.49%	0	0.7	48	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	69.73	61.96	61.46	63.54	63.49	64.88	66.05(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	64	150	68	52	0.67	45%	-0.49	30.3	2.51%	0	1.9	56	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	70.07	61.59	60.95	62.05	61.99	63.34	65.12(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	49	150	62	9	0.9	45%	-0.54	6	2.5%	0	1.7	51	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	70.45	61.37	60.55	60.61	60.5	62.1	63.68(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	30	180	50	-31	0.52	36%	-0.47	-16.1	2.52%	0	1.2	52	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	70.78	61.21	60.49	59.82	59.59	60.64	62.43(3.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	19	110	39	-42	0.58	40%	-0.49	-35.5	2.95%	0	0.7	46	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	71.13	61.23	60.59	59.37	59.13	58.91	60.43(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-40	8	-57	0.48	37%	-0.55	-47.5	2.97%	0	-0.4	47	1
8	Jul_14_2021	71.52	61.31	60.82	59.09	59.27	58.55	58.59(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-80	-23	-67	0.31	33%	-0.5	-59	2.94%	0	-1.5	48	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	71.88	61.47	61.36	59.68	59.52	59.35	57.92(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-30	-27	-44	0.41	31%	-0.57	-60.5	2.95%	0	-2	51	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	72.29	61.68	61.87	60.43	60.26	60	59.74(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-40	-9	-19	0.28	33%	-0.6	-66.5	2.97%	0	-1.3	48	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	72.73	61.87	62.25	61.24	60.81	59.69	60.15(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-150	-33	-6	0.38	33%	-0.79	-56.3	2.98%	0	-1.1	51	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	73.31	62.13	62.45	62.01	61.85	60.53	59.07(-4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-31	-160	-42	1	0.6	33%	-0.88	-29.4	2.97%	0	-1.8	41	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	73.96	62.43	62.61	62.8	62.85	61.92	61.53(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-100	-31	15	0.61	35%	-0.84	-8.4	2.93%	0	-0.6	50	1
14	Jul_6_2021	74.59	62.55	62.39	63.29	63.31	63.18	61.67(-3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10	-15	23	0.37	35%	-0.85	5.7	2.93%	0	-0.5	51	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	75.23	62.73	62.36	63.49	63.54	63.77	63.76(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	30	9	35	0.52	37%	-0.82	21.3	2.9%	0	0.6	56	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	75.85	62.75	62.03	63.41	63.33	63.43	64.03(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	8	25	0.45	30%	-0.75	37.5	2.92%	0	0.7	50	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	76.42	62.63	61.91	62.98	63.16	63.31	62.99(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	30	12	11	0.87	30%	-0.74	42.4	3.34%	0	0.2	42	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	76.99	62.57	61.79	62.39	62.61	63.23	64(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	80	22	-3	1.18	30%	-0.79	46.4	3.35%	0	0.8	46	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	77.6	62.45	61.52	61.36	61.66	63.02	62.68(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	170	26	-24	0.48	30%	-0.72	42.5	3.34%	0	0.1	46	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	78.16	62.36	61.41	61.04	60.81	61.98	63.37(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	17	120	35	-36	2.86	30%	-0.69	42.5	3.34%	0	0.6	43	2

21	Jun_24_2021	78.7	62.1	61.38	60.48	60.36	60.3	61.85(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10	6	-59	0.42	30%	-0.73	28.3	3.35%	0	-0.1	43	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	79.28	61.9	61.7	60.73	60.52	59.64	60.05(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-110	-22	-58	0.45	30%	-0.71	30.2	3.33%	0	-0.8	48	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	79.85	61.77	62.19	61.11	61.27	60.42	58.85(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-90	-25	-46	0.65	34%	-0.73	29	3.32%	0	-1.2	45	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	80.44	61.71	62.72	61.66	61.8	61.4	61.09(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-40	-14	-28	0.6	36%	-0.57	27.7	3.36%	0	-0.2	50	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	80.9	61.6	63.16	61.8	61.99	62.11	60.55(-4.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	20	-9	-12	2.02	34%		22.8	3.38%	0	-0.4	53	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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