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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: EBS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Nov. 15, 2006 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Emergent BioSolutions Inc.)

EBS latest price $80.4100 (1.57%) ($78.8800 - $81.7500) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative  After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing  $5.42 (6.23% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.13% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.8% (StdDev 3.13%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.4%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -1.08%
Latest Price  $80.4100(1.57%)
Forecasted Low Price  78.8(-2%)
Forecasted High Price  81.05(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-1.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  2.3% ((82.27))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  4.3%
Hourly Trend   -0.5% [$79.85(-0.42), $80.57(-0.26)]
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  EBS declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  EBS declines -5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support EBS advance at 0.2% a week (44% probability)
  IBB(49%)    XBI(47%)    IWO(45%)    XLV(40%)    EDOC(38%)  
Factors Impacting EBS price  EBS will advance at least 0.3% in a week (21% probabilities).
  VXX(-29%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-18%)    BJK(-13%)    SHY(-6%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.4
 
Relative Volatility   0.1 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.3% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV   -1.1 ()
Intraday Trend   0.9%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $80.35(-0.08%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $72.01(-10.45%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $86.96
5 Day Moving Average  $80.49(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $82.58(-2.63%)
20 Day Moving Average  $86.96(-7.53%)
To recent high  -35%
To recent low  1.6%
Market Cap  $4.254b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Feb. 25, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $111.29 ($86.00 - $144.00)
  7 analysts (last updated on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  38.4%
% to Low Target Price  6.95%
% to High Target Price  79.08%
 
 


Emergent BioSolutions Inc. engages in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of medical countermeasures. It offers specialty products for civilian and military populations that address accidental, intentional and naturally occurring public health threats. The firm's products include ACAM2000, BioThrax, Raxibacuma, Vaxchora, and VIGIV. Its business units include Vaccines and Anti-Infectives; Antibody Therapeutics; Devices; and Contract Development and Manufacturing. The company was founded by Fuad El-Hibri in May 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. EBS price fluctuates within 6.23% (three month std-dev: 3.13%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. EBS price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_25_202086.96 (-0.7%)82.58 (-0.9%)80.49 (-0.1%) 80.57 79.85(0%)80.41(1.57%)78.88-81.75-1.1(-1.2)-1.1 -0.4%-0.8%0%-1.08% Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.2%)0202-1.41.4After Bottom 80.07(-0.42%)75.52-83.790.52   -35%-1.6
2Nov_24_202087.52 (-0.7%)83.35 (-1.1%)80.56 (-1.5%) 80.83 80.27(0%)79.17(-0.63%)77.93-80.83-1.4(-1.5)-2.1 -1.3%-1%0%-1.22% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2%)0162-1.71.5Downtrend 76.83(-2.95%)75.26-80.510.67   -36.9%-0
3Nov_23_202088.32 (-0.7%)84.21 (-1.1%)81.78 (-1.7%) 81.81 81.29(0%)79.67(-3.62%)77.73-83.77-1.5(-1.7)-2.7 -0.9%-1.1%0%-1.18% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0311.9-1.61.3Growing Downtrend 77.67(-2.51%)75.91-80.960.69   -36.5%-0
4Nov_20_202089.12 (-0.6%)85.21 (-1.1%)83.19 (-1%) 83.17 81.39(0%)82.66(2.61%)80.29-83-1.1(-1.3)-1.2 -1.2%-1%0%-1.06% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-2.2%)0381.8-1.41.4Growing Downtrend 80.9(-2.13%)79.41-83.590.5   -37%-2.6
5Nov_19_202089.8 (-0.6%)86.14 (-1%)84.01 (-1.1%) 84.34 82.34(0%)80.56(-0.2%)80.25-83.29-1.6(-1.8)-1.8 -2.3%-1.6%0%-0.98% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.8%)1371.8-21.7Bottom 81.59(1.28%)79.1-83.260.48   -38.9%-0
 
6Nov_18_202090.67 (-0.7%)87.75 (-0.9%)84.98 (-1.8%) 85.64 84.96(0%)80.72(-5.38%)80.49-86.32-1.9(-2.2)-2.5 -1.5%-1.6%0%-0.8% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)2361.6-2.11.9Growing Downtrend 79.69(-1.27%)78.51-82.230.69   -38.7%-0
7Nov_17_202091.33 (-0.7%)89.5 (-0.6%)86.52 (-0.5%) 86.62 86.34(0%)85.31(-1.63%)84.35-88.8-1.3(-1.5)-2.7 -0.3%-0.8%0%-0.58% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)3411.5-1.81.8Downtrend 84.53(-0.91%)83.8-86.260.52   -36%-0
8Nov_16_202091.91 (-0.7%)90.27 (-0.7%)86.97 (-0.7%) 87.25 86.33(0%)86.72(-0.03%)83.53-87.64-1.2(-1.3)-1.3 -0.7%-0.5%0%-0.56% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.2%)4371.4-1.91.9The Bottom 87.09(0.43%)84.53-89.180.59   -35%-1.6
9Nov_13_202092.38 (-0.8%)90.74 (-0.7%)87.57 (-1.3%) 87.84 86.91(0%)86.75(1.6%)84.99-87.55-1.3(-1.4)-1.4 -1.6%-0.5%0%-0.6% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-2.1%)4361.4-2.11.1Relative Oversold 87.15(0.46%)84.27-89.50.58   -35.7%-1.6
10Nov_12_202092.99 (-0.9%)91.13 (-0.7%)88.68 (-2.6%) 89.74 88.17(0%)85.38(-3.44%)84.72-91.41-1.8(-1.9)-4.3 -1.3%-0.7%0%-0.62% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)4321.4-2.20.7Growing Downtrend 84.55(-0.97%)83.58-86.640.95   -36.7%-0
 
11Nov_11_202093.71 (-0.9%)91.74 (-0.6%)91 (-2.1%) 91.13 88.78(0%)88.42(0.95%)88.01-89.99-1.4(-1.5)-2.4 -2.6%-0.4%0%-0.5% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3%)4341.2-2.11.3Relative Oversold 89.04(0.7%)86.4-91.190.4   -34.5%-0.9
12Nov_10_202094.19 (-1%)92.07 (-0.3%)92.98 (-1.1%) 93.35 91.31(0%)87.59(-2.34%)86.68-90.12-1.8(-2)-2.1 -2%-0.7%0%-0.38% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.5%)4431.1-2.40.7Growing Downtrend 87.25(-0.39%)86.65-88.680.57   -35.1%-0
13Nov_9_202094.65 (-0.8%)92.83 (-0.2%)94.02 (-0.3%) 95.25 93.47(0%)89.69(-2.83%)89.66-98.49-0.9(-1.1)-1.7 -0.9%-0.8%0%-0.34% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)4401.5-2.1-0.4Downtrend 89.15(-0.6%)88.59-90.460.73   -33.5%-0
14Nov_6_202095.68 (-0.6%)93.4 (-0.1%)94.3 (0.5%) 94.71 95.39(0%)92.3(-4.85%)90.25-95.45-0.5(-0.6)-0.6 -0.6%-0.5%0%-0.3% Growing Downtrend  Range(1.3%)5451.7-1.31.9Downtrend 91.74(-0.61%)91.27-92.810.78   -31.6%-2.6
15Nov_5_202096.49 (-0.5%)93.77 (-0.2%)93.83 (1.3%) 94.09 97.03(0%)97(-1.33%)96.02-99.190.1(0.1)1.3 2.4%-0.2%0%-0.36% Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(2.9%)5461.9-0.70.9Rebound 96.64(-0.37%)95.79-970.55   -28.1%-7.8% 
 
16Nov_4_202097.09 (-0.5%)93.76 (-0.3%)92.59 (1.6%) 92.11 94.03(0%)98.31(5.95%)93.36-99.830.1(0.2)1.7 2.3%0.3%0%-0.5% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2.6%)4461.9-0.20.5Rebound 97.82(-0.5%)96.67-98.310.61   -27.1%-9.3% 
17Nov_3_202097.54 (-0.5%)93.18 (-0.5%)91.18 (-0.5%) 90.8 91.14(0%)92.79(1.86%)89.92-93.31-0.6(-0.7)1.9 0.4%-0.5%0%-0.7% Rebound  Range(-0.1%)3412.1-0.8-1.6Downtrend 91.16(-1.76%)90.1-93.630.42   -31.2%-3.1
18Nov_2_202098.43 (-0.4%)93.55 (-0.4%)91.6 (-0.9%) 91.01 90.19(0%)91.1(1.26%)88.55-91.74-0.9(-1)-1.7 -0.7%-0.6%0%-0.64% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.3%)2412.1-0.8-2.5After Bottom 91.23(0.14%)87.15-94.550.46   -32.5%-1.3
19Oct_30_202099.18 (-0.4%)94.04 (-0.6%)92.44 (-1.3%) 92.23 90.46(0%)89.97(-0.88%)88.46-91.03-1.2(-1.3)-3 -1.5%-0.8%0%-0.76% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.9%)3241.8-1-2.2The Bottom 90.6(0.7%)86.23-94.180.41   -33.3%-0
20Oct_29_202099.74 (-0.4%)94.94 (-0.7%)93.67 (-1.4%) 93.65 91.83(0%)90.77(-0.55%)88.81-92.49-1.2(-1.3)-1.6 -2%-0.9%0%-0.78% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-2.6%)4281.7-1.1-2.4Downtrend 89.48(-1.42%)88.35-92.130.39   -32.7%-0
 
21Oct_28_2020100.52 (-0.3%)95.82 (-0.8%)95.04 (-0.4%) 95.28 94(0%)91.27(-3.81%)90.37-95.55-1.4(-1.5)-2.3 -1.1%-0.7%0%-0.78% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)4281.6-0.9-2.4Downtrend 90.14(-1.24%)88.98-92.850.47   -32.4%-0
22Oct_27_2020101.17 (-0.3%)96.51 (-0.9%)95.4 (-0.4%) 95.99 95.46(0%)94.89(-0.42%)94.13-96.5-1(-1.1)-0.9 -0.6%-0.3%0%-0.9% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.7%)4331.5-0.9-0.6Downtrend 93.47(-1.5%)92.37-96.010.36   -29.7%-2.6
23Oct_26_2020101.66 (-0.3%)96.67 (-1.2%)95.76 (-0.2%) 95.88 96.57(0%)95.29(-0.85%)93.9-97.26-0.9(-1.1)-1 -0.1%-1.2%0%-1.04% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.9%)4311.4-1-0.2Downtrend 93.68(-1.69%)92.58-96.240.38   -29.4%-3
24Oct_23_2020102.11 (-0.3%)98.16 (-1.1%)95.9 (-0.6%) 96.03 96.53(0%)96.11(-1.58%)95.89-100.49-0.9(-1.1)-0.6 0.6%-1%0%-0.96% Confirmed Rebound  Range(0.4%)3411.4-1.30.8Growing Downtrend 94.87(-1.29%)93.74-97.030.81   -28.8%-8% 
25Oct_22_2020102.43 (-0.2%)99.41 (-1%)96.45 (-0.4%) 95.95 95.19(0%)97.65(4.95%)93.05-98.19-0.7(-0.9)0.9 -0.6%-0.9%0%-0.82% Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.5%)2501.3-1.10.6Downtrend 96.43(-1.25%)95.57-98.430.46   -27.6%-9.8% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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