Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $23.0400 (7.87%) ($21.4600 - $23.2800) on Thu. Feb. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.48% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $23.0400(7.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(36%)    VIXM(21%)    TBT(12%)    VXX(10%)    EDOC(0%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDXJ(-97%)    SIL(-95%)    GLD(-80%)    SLV(-79%)    BWX(-49%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.24% (StdDev 4.48%)
Hourly BBV 1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $21.94(5.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.66(6.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.04(9.51%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   34.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 4.85% (three month std-dev: 4.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.98%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.99%(34%) Average negative next three day return: -3.77%(66%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.26%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.4%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2021	19.97	21.04	21.66	21.94	21.88	22.21	23.04(7.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	100	6	55	4.11	46%	0.15	40.6	4.48%	1.9	2	57	0.2
2	Feb_24_2021	19.94	20.96	21.33	21.88	21.91	21.79	21.36(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-30	-1	48	3.84	45%	0.1	56.5	4.38%	-0.5	0.4	56	1.4
3	Feb_23_2021	19.92	20.91	21.19	22.03	22.05	21.55	21.71(4.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-160	-4	49	3.11	48%	0.15	59.6	4.43%	-0.3	0.9	58	1.3
4	Feb_22_2021	19.89	20.83	21.02	21.91	22.14	22.03	20.75(-9.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	10	-0	-3	48	3.8	46%	0.1	52.2	4.5%	-1.9	-0.1	60	1.1
5	Feb_19_2021	19.87	20.8	21	21.82	22	22.54	22.84(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	200	18	54	2.18	49%	0.2	51.3	4.35%	1.2	2.2	60	1.5

6	Feb_18_2021	19.83	20.63	20.84	21.3	21.46	22.26	22.72(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	31	280	27	43	2.96	52%	0.2	39.1	4.35%	1.1	2.5	60	1.3
7	Feb_17_2021	19.79	20.45	20.6	20.7	20.82	21.45	22.15(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	230	23	12	3.7	52%	0.2	19.9	4.4%	1.4	2.3	50	1.4
8	Feb_16_2021	19.75	20.36	20.43	20.25	20.23	20.67	21.07(3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	150	12	-7	3.48	50%	0.05	10.5	4.38%	1.3	1.1	55	1.2
9	Feb_12_2021	19.74	20.35	20.27	20.02	19.96	20.2	20.32(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	80	5	-24	3.61	50%	0.05	15.3	4.34%	1.1	-0	53	1.5
10	Feb_11_2021	19.73	20.33	20.32	20.06	19.8	19.8	20.25(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-40	-7	-23	3.11	50%	0	34.2	4.35%	1.6	-0.1	53	1.3

11	Feb_10_2021	19.73	20.31	20.36	20.31	20.05	19.73	19.73(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-150	-8	-7	2.73	52%	0.05	62.7	4.35%	-0.4	-0.9	53	1
12	Feb_9_2021	19.72	20.3	20.56	20.48	20.55	19.81	19.9(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-240	-10	14	2.93	57%	0.1	85.7	4.42%	-0.5	-0.6	57	1.1
13	Feb_8_2021	19.7	20.29	20.61	20.61	20.73	20.36	19.88(-3.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-110	-9	17	2.74	57%	0.1	108.5	4.68%	-1.1	-0.6	48	1.1
14	Feb_5_2021	19.68	20.25	20.65	20.53	20.89	21.29	20.55(-4.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	190	3	14	3	51%	0.2	91.6	4.66%	-0.9	0.4	48	1.1
15	Feb_4_2021	19.64	20.1	20.61	20.59	20.5	21.1	21.47(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	190	11	20	2.78	51%	0.31	63.1	4.99%	1	1.4	59	1.1

16	Feb_3_2021	19.58	19.9	20.43	20.45	20.14	20.49	20.6(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	80	1	11	1.84	51%	0.2	39.4	4.99%	0.8	0.6	56	0.7
17	Feb_2_2021	19.54	19.73	20.43	20.69	20.17	19.9	20.55(5.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-170	1	18	2.68	50%	0.26	29.6	5.02%	0.9	0.7	58	-0.1
18	Feb_1_2021	19.49	19.57	20.29	20.63	20.39	19.79	19.46(-6.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-240	-10	17	4.67	48%	0.05	16.6	5.03%	-1.5	-0.1	52	-1.3
19	Jan_29_2021	19.48	19.59	20.45	20.76	20.6	20.44	20.88(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-80	-2	38	3.59	50%	0.21	18.3	4.97%	0.2	0.9	63	-2.7
20	Jan_28_2021	19.44	19.5	20.34	20.61	20.54	20.99	20.75(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	140	7	51	4.92	54%	0.21	10.8	4.98%	-0.2	0.9	71	-2.2

21	Jan_27_2021	19.4	19.47	20.25	20.38	20.48	20.75	21.82(7.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	30	110	19	62	4.66	54%	0.21	8.3	5.14%	2.1	1.8	77	-3
22	Jan_26_2021	19.36	19.37	19.99	19.85	20.03	20.1	20.22(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	50	-1	51	2.31	51%	0.05	-0.8	5.07%	-0.1	0.7	74	0.3
23	Jan_25_2021	19.35	19.35	19.94	19.92	19.86	20.21	20.15(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	110	-2	70	2.22	51%	0.1	4.5	5.08%	1.1	0.7	74	0.8
24	Jan_22_2021	19.33	19.34	19.82	20.11	19.99	19.95	20.1(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-30	5	76	3.62	51%	0.16	7.9	5.08%	0.8	0.6	51	1.5
25	Jan_21_2021	19.3	19.36	19.56	20.04	20.04	19.51	19.63(2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-190	-6	59	2.5	51%		5.4	5.09%	-0.5	0.2	53	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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