Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DLTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 23, 2020

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $95.4400 (1.76%) ($93.8100 - $96.0500) on Fri. Oct. 23, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $95.4400(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   DLTR advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(39%)    IVE(39%)    IWD(39%)    SDY(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    VXX(-12%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    EDOC(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $94.9(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.36(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.28(2.32%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $22.638b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.92%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.9%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.46%(88%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.98%(13%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_23_2020	93.45	93.28	95.36	94.9	95.01	94.64	95.44(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-20	1	71	2.03	46%	0.02	72.3	1.65%	1.1	0.9	67	1.1
2	Oct_22_2020	93.43	92.99	95.2	94.93	95.05	94.57	93.79(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-30	-40	68	1.63	43%	-0.01	72.6	1.64%	-1.6	0.3	60	1.2
3	Oct_21_2020	93.44	92.74	95.03	95.46	95.49	95.39	94.83(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10	-9	93	1.17	43%	-0.02	72	1.64%	-1	0.7	59	0.9
4	Oct_20_2020	93.46	92.35	94.64	95.53	95.72	95.53	95.45(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10	-4	96	1.74	43%	-0.01	65.6	1.65%	-0.8	1	62	0.6
5	Oct_19_2020	93.47	91.93	94.02	95.77	95.65	95.59	95.01(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-16	94	1.31	43%	-0.03	62.9	1.66%	-2	1	66	0.7

6	Oct_16_2020	93.5	91.49	93.54	95.88	95.95	95.91	95.56(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-0	13	108	1.86	43%	-0.02	60.6	1.66%	0.1	1.3	63	1.4
7	Oct_15_2020	93.52	91.11	93.07	95.5	95.85	95.71	96.48(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	0	16	108	1.49	43%	0.1	56.9	1.66%	0.7	1.7	69	1.6
8	Oct_14_2020	93.43	90.69	92.57	94.51	95.22	95.71	95.15(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	80	30	107	1.32	43%	0.11	50	1.66%	-0.9	1.6	69	2
9	Oct_13_2020	93.33	90.38	92.17	93.59	94.2	95.99	96.64(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	103	150	94	130	2.04	43%	0.04	39.6	1.67%	0.8	2.4	77	2.1
10	Oct_12_2020	93.29	89.95	91.46	92	92.65	94.46	95.58(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	105	160	103	111	2.47	43%	0.15	24.7	1.67%	1.2	2.5	75	2.7

11	Oct_9_2020	93.15	89.59	90.95	90.87	91.16	92.4	93.64(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	75	100	69	93	2.04	39%	0.13	7.9	1.65%	1.3	2.2	74	2.6
12	Oct_8_2020	93.03	89.38	90.51	90.32	90.36	90.84	91.56(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	40	29	72	1.65	33%	0.14	-9	1.63%	1.1	1.4	61	1.7
13	Oct_7_2020	92.9	89.3	90.21	90.39	90.27	89.92	90.51(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-30	-10	59	1.75	33%	0.11	-20.8	1.63%	0.5	0.8	56	1
14	Oct_6_2020	92.8	89.34	89.86	90.56	90.73	89.88	88.69(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-60	-35	46	1.9	24%	0.11	-23.9	1.61%	-2.4	-0.4	49	0.3
15	Oct_5_2020	92.7	89.4	89.72	90.79	91.19	90.62	89.97(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-30	-30	45	2.21	24%	0.17	-37.2	1.68%	-1.1	0.4	55	0.6

16	Oct_2_2020	92.54	89.45	89.35	90.98	91.16	91.57	90.89(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	40	-0	51	1.79	24%	0.16	-42.9	1.69%	-1.1	0.9	56	0.4
17	Oct_1_2020	92.39	89.53	89.06	90.69	91.1	91.75	91.88(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	60	53	60	1.78	24%	0.2	-53.7	1.68%	0.8	1.3	54	0.8
18	Sep_30_2020	92.21	89.63	88.7	90	90.31	90.75	91.36(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	40	35	32	1.92	24%	0.16	-76.2	1.68%	0.8	0.8	52	0.8
19	Sep_29_2020	92.06	89.72	88.45	89.08	89.51	90.46	89.86(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	90	40	4	1.23	24%	0.14	-99.6	1.67%	0.1	0.1	40	0.9
20	Sep_28_2020	91.93	90	88.31	88.47	88.73	89.86	90.91(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	53	100	71	-2	1.68	24%	0.14	-101.4	1.67%	1.4	0.3	52	0.7

21	Sep_25_2020	91.8	90.17	88.08	87.48	87.69	88.57	89.46(1.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	25	80	47	-43	2.64	32%	0.14	-113.5	1.66%	1.7	-0.3	42	0.6
22	Sep_24_2020	91.67	90.5	88.1	87.2	86.95	87.59	88.43(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	40	22	-68	1.92	32%	0.14	-108.1	1.71%	1.6	-0.7	33	0.3
23	Sep_23_2020	91.54	91.24	88.26	87.23	86.96	86.81	86.73(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	-20	2	-94	1.93	28%	0.11	-75.8	1.69%	0.4	-1.1	23	0.1
24	Sep_22_2020	91.44	92	88.74	87.74	87.32	86.3	86.8(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-58	-100	-41	-109	1.39	28%	0.1	-62.9	1.69%	0.1	-1.1	28	0.7
25	Sep_21_2020	91.35	92.75	89.06	88.11	87.98	87.11	86(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-70	-56	-130	1.98	28%		-56.8	1.7%	-1	-1.3	21	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.