Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 11, 2019

Trading Signals: DLTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar Tree)
DLTR latest price $91.5000 (-0.03%) ($91.5000 - $91.5000) on Wed. Dec. 11, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $91.5000(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DLTR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLTR declines -6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(44%)    IVE(44%)    IWD(44%)    SDY(44%)    PAVE(43%)
Factors Impacting DLTR price   DLTR will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    VXX(-17%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $98.77
5 Day Moving Average   $91.86(-0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.14(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.77(-7.36%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $21.704b

Dollar Tree, Inc. owns and operates discount variety stores offering merchandise at the fixed prices. It operates through Dollar Tree and Family Dollar segments. The company offers selection of everyday basic products and its supplement these basic, everyday items with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. The merchandise mix consists of three types: Consumable, Variety categories and Seasonal merchandise. The Consumable merchandise includes candy and food, health and beauty care, and household consumables such as paper, plastics and household chemicals and in select stores, frozen and refrigerated food. The Variety categories merchandise includes toys, durable house wares, gifts, party goods, greeting cards, soft lines and other items. The Seasonal goods include Easter, Halloween and Christmas merchandise. Dollar Tree was founded by J. Douglas Perry and Macon F. Brock, Jr. in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, VA.

$. DLTR price fluctuates within 8.87% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.38%(36%) Average negative next day return: -2.52%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 3.06%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -10.45%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.39%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.57%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2019	105.47	98.77	91.14	91.86	92.12	91.52	91.5(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-40	-12	-184	2.24	24%	-0.14	-50.7	2.3%	-0.4	-0.8	28	0.3
2	Dec_10_2019	105.62	99.58	91.44	91.42	91.95	92.37	91.53(-1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-49	50	5	-212	2.66	24%	-0.15	-55.2	2.31%	-1.4	-0.9	29	-0.1
3	Dec_9_2019	105.78	100.45	93.33	90.86	91.39	92.72	93.2(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	120	47	-195	3	24%	-0.14	-59.2	2.31%	0.3	-0.8	28	-0.2
4	Dec_6_2019	105.93	101.3	94.77	90.12	90.27	91.54	92.24(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	100	42	-209	3.17	28%	-0.17	-62.3	2.3%	0	-1	27	1.1
5	Dec_5_2019	106.11	102.31	96.25	89.95	89.59	90.07	90.84(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-43	30	17	-223	4.67	33%	-0.21	-62.4	2.31%	0	-1.3	24	0.6

6	Dec_4_2019	106.33	103.43	97.85	90.38	89.73	89	89.29(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-78	-80	-25	-237	4.04	37%	-0.22	-62.9	2.32%	0	-1.6	22	0.4
7	Dec_3_2019	106.56	104.66	99.64	91.51	90.65	89.11	88.71(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-131	-150	-91	-249	3.45	37%	-0.22	-63.3	2.35%	0	-2	22	-0.5
8	Dec_2_2019	106.79	105.89	101.72	96.27	92.21	90.47	89.52(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-160	-260	-143	-211	7.98	37%	-0.21	-55.1	2.35%	0	-2.2	22	0.6
9	Nov_29_2019	107.02	107.07	103.74	100.18	97.96	92.19	91.42(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-128	-480	-119	-155	2.99	41%	-0.22	-50.2	2.39%	0	-2.5	22	1.5
10	Nov_27_2019	107.26	108.1	105.58	103.49	102.37	93.95	92.97(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-250	-610	-272	-182	7.35	45%	-0.18	-49.9	2.41%	0	-3	21	1.9

11	Nov_26_2019	107.45	109.12	107.26	106.34	106.12	103.73	94.93(-15.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3	-185	-160	-204	-129	23.9	45%	-0.14	-52.7	2.4%	0	-3.7	23	2
12	Nov_25_2019	107.6	110.07	108.68	108.73	109.19	110.79	112.52(3.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	91	120	121	-1	3.34	65%	0.03	-77.2	1.39%	0	1.2	44	2.1
13	Nov_22_2019	107.57	110.09	108.27	108.04	109.19	108.52	109.05(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	40	34	-65	2.03	58%	0.01	-88.3	1.37%	0	-0.5	36	1.6
14	Nov_21_2019	107.56	110.34	108.36	108	107.79	107.6	107.98(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	-20	13	-81	1.54	61%	-0.02	-85	1.37%	0	-0.9	34	1.3
15	Nov_20_2019	107.58	110.71	108.78	108.15	108	107.06	107.21(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-70	-44	-93	1.34	57%	-0.02	-80.8	1.4%	0	-1.3	39	1.3

16	Nov_19_2019	107.6	111.18	109.31	108.39	108.38	107.98	106.9(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-30	-43	-84	1.26	60%	-0.03	-72.4	1.45%	0	-1.4	32	1.5
17	Nov_18_2019	107.63	111.74	109.94	108.55	108.76	108.95	109.05(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	20	13	-57	1.36	63%	0.02	-69.4	1.45%	0	-0.9	36	1.8
18	Nov_15_2019	107.61	112.11	110.25	108.51	108.42	108.79	108.84(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	20	3	-67	1.16	63%	0.01	-66.2	1.46%	0	-1.1	32	2
19	Nov_14_2019	107.6	112.51	110.55	108.81	108.43	108.58	108.73(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	343	-0	425	98	1.31	63%	-0.01	-60.5	1.46%	0	-1.2	29	1.5
20	Nov_13_2019	107.61	112.95	110.74	109.55	88.14	108.06	108.43(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	315	1000	392	82	1.6	66%	0	-50.4	1.47%	0	-1.5	25	1.3

21	Nov_12_2019	107.61	113.38	111.12	110.42	68.06	108.28	107.68(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	1405	2990	1674	599	1.7	66%	-0.05	-39.4	1.54%	0	-1.9	20	1.5
22	Nov_11_2019	107.66	113.84	111.63	111.54	48.19	68.23	108.88(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	1434	1210	1707	614	1.39	66%	-0.04	-26.1	1.53%	0	-1.9	18	1.4
23	Nov_8_2019	107.7	114.17	112.1	112.2	28.05	27.85	110.32(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-2300	-15	-72	1.3	62%	0	-16.4	1.57%	0	-1.6	30	1.2
24	Nov_7_2019	107.7	114.43	112.52	112.49	28.17	28.15	112.44(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-2250	2	-69	1.21	64%	0.03	-15.2	1.55%	0	-0.9	33	1.1
25	Nov_6_2019	107.67	114.52	112.81	112.09	28.13	28.26	112.79(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-2210	7	-81	0.83	64%		-18.5	1.55%	0	-0.8	33	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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