Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIS: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 3, 2021

Trading Signals: DIS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Mar. 3, 2021)

(Walt Disney)
DIS latest price $192.2600 (-0.87%) ($192.2100 - $196.8100) on Wed. Mar. 3, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Correction
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $5.47 (2.9% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.3% (StdDev 2.53%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.2%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.32%
Trend Strength   1.5%
RSI   54
Momentum   1.1
Latest Price   $192.2600(-0.87%)
Forecasted Low Price   191.11(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price   194.37(1.1%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   0.5% (191.3)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.7%
Hourly Trend -0.1% [$194.62(-0.16), $193.12(-0.08)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   6
Intraday Reversal Probability   There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend   DIS declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DIS advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIS advance at 0.1% a week (69% probability)
JETS(71%)    SDY(70%)    IVE(69%)    IWD(68%)    XLE(68%)
Factors Impacting DIS price   DIS will advance at least -0% in a week (27% probabilities).
VXX(-39%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-10%)    ROBT(-8%)    TBT(-3%)
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.3

Relative Volatility -1 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.4% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV -2.5 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Next Day Open Price   $191.53(-0.38%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Support Level   $188.81
5 Day Moving Average   $192.24(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $191.58(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $188.81(1.83%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $342.415b

Option Sentiment

Earning Release Date   Tue. Feb. 9, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price   $149.95 ($115.00 - $170.00)
  22 analysts (last updated on Thu. Nov. 26, 2020)
% to Average Target Price   -22.01%
% to Low Target Price   -40.19%
% to High Target Price   -11.58%

The Walt Disney Co. is a diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise. It operates through the following segments: Media Networks, Parks, Experiences and Products, Studio Entertainment and Direct-to-Consumer and International (DTCI). The Media Networks segment includes cable and broadcast television networks, television production and distribution operations, domestic television stations, radio networks and stations. The Parks, Experiences and Products segment owns and operates the Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; the Disneyland Resort in California; Aulani, a Disney Resort & Spa in Hawaii; the Disney Vacation Club; the Disney Cruise Line; and Adventures by Disney. The Studio Entertainment segment produces and acquires live-action and animated motion pictures, direct-to-video content, musical recordings and live stage plays. This segment distributes films primarily under the Walt Disney Pictures, Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and Touchstone banners. The DTCI segment licenses the company's trade names, characters and visual and literary properties to various manufacturers, game developers, publishers and retailers throughout the world. It also develops and publishes games, primarily for mobile platforms, and books, magazines and comic books. This segment also distributes branded merchandise directly through retail, online and wholesale businesses. The Walt Disney was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. DIS price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 2.53% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DIS price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Mar_3_2021	188.81 (0.6%)	191.58 (0.2%)	192.24 (-0.5%)	193.12	194.62(0%)	192.26(-0.87%)	192.21-196.81	0.8(0.6)	-2.5	-0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.32%	1.5%	54	1.1	Correction	Range(0.5%)	6	1.3	0.1	Uptrend	193.07(0.42%)	191.7-193.65	8.72	-2.7%-25.5%
2	Mar_2_2021	188.08 (0.6%)	191.03 (0.2%)	193.29 (-0.3%)	193.2	194.78(0%)	193.94(-0.53%)	193.49-197.96	1(1)	-0.2	0.7%	0.5%	0%	0.38%	1.6%	57	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	5	1.2	0.5	Uptrend	194.91(0.5%)	192.87-195.78	8.3	-1.8%-26.6%
3	Mar_1_2021	186.98 (0.6%)	190.28 (0.2%)	193.92 (0.3%)	193.81	191.62(0%)	194.98(3.14%)	191.39-196.9	1.1(1.2)	0.4	%	0.5%	0%	0.4%	1.8%	56	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	4	1.2	0.3	Uptrend	196.29(0.67%)	193.56-197.47	10.68	-1.3%-30.5%
4	Feb_26_2021	185.69 (0.6%)	189.51 (0.4%)	193.28 (0.6%)	193.9	191.63(0%)	189.04(-1.02%)	185.45-191.61	1.1(0.4)	-0.8	-1%	0.1%	0%	0.42%	2.1%	61	1.6	Downtrend Reversal Correction	Range(-0.4%)	5	1.2	0.4	Uptrend	190.76(0.91%)	188.46-191.76	15.82	-4.3%-28.5%
5	Feb_25_2021	184.88 (0.6%)	189.69 (0.4%)	192.2 (0.8%)	193.46	196.01(0%)	190.98(-3.31%)	190.38-197.96	1.1(0.8)	0	0.5%	0.3%	0%	0.44%	2.6%	65	1.8	Uptrend Dip	Higher(2.5%)	6	1.4	0.5	After Top	192.34(0.71%)	187.84-196.01	12.67	-3.3%-29.8%

6	Feb_24_2021	183.56 (0.6%)	189.54 (0.4%)	190.6 (1.2%)	190.86	196.16(0%)	197.51(0.21%)	195.33-200.6	1.1(1.5)	2.3	2.1%	0.6%	0%	0.44%	3.3%	77	2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.7%)	6	1.7	1.1	Uptrend	199.47(0.99%)	194.78-201.47	16.22	0%-34.2%
7	Feb_23_2021	182.15 (0.4%)	188.52 (0.4%)	188.39 (1.2%)	187.46	190.91(0%)	197.09(2.78%)	188.66-198.94	1(1.7)	1.7	2%	0.5%	0%	0.4%	3.5%	75	2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.5%)	6	2.2	1.5	Uptrend	198.61(0.77%)	194.16-200.51	23.14	0%-35%
8	Feb_22_2021	180.85 (0.4%)	187.69 (0.4%)	186.24 (0.4%)	185.19	185.55(0%)	191.76(4.42%)	181.53-194.02	0.8(1.3)	1.6	0.5%	0.6%	0%	0.44%	3.8%	77	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	6	1.8	1.7	Uptrend	193.37(0.84%)	189.72-194.93	18.72	0%-31.4%
9	Feb_19_2021	179.87 (0.4%)	186.65 (0.6%)	185.42 (-0.8%)	185.07	184.02(0%)	183.65(0.36%)	182.79-184.78	0.8(0.5)	-1.1	-0.6%	0.2%	0%	0.5%	3.8%	75	1.9	Correction	Range(-0.4%)	6	0.5	1.9	Uptrend Consolidation	182.88(-0.42%)	181.96-185.62	8.68	-3.8%-30.2%
10	Feb_18_2021	179.27 (0.4%)	186.41 (0.8%)	186.87 (-0.7%)	186.68	184.83(0%)	183(-1.85%)	182.84-186.4	1(0.4)	-2.6	-0.7%	0.3%	0%	0.64%	4%	67	1.9	Confirmed Correction	Range(0.5%)	7	0.3	1.9	Uptrend Consolidation	182.67(-0.18%)	181.72-185.57	12.37	-4.1%-29.7%

11	Feb_17_2021	178.81 (0.4%)	185.89 (1%)	188.2 (-0.2%)	188.09	186.12(0%)	186.44(0.05%)	182.16-187.63	1.3(0.9)	-1	-0.8%	0.4%	0%	0.82%	4%	78	1.9	Confirmed Correction	Range(-0.4%)	8	0.8	2.1	Uptrend	189.72(1.76%)	185.13-191.7	11.39	-2.3%-32.2%
12	Feb_16_2021	178.08 (0.4%)	185.02 (1.2%)	188.55 (-0.4%)	188.98	188.54(0%)	186.35(-0.7%)	184.86-188.45	1.6(1)	-1.2	-0.5%	0.7%	0%	0.9%	3.9%	67	1.9	Correction Correction	Range(0.6%)	9	0.8	2	Uptrend	190.15(2.04%)	184.83-192.42	11.57	-2.4%-32.1%
13	Feb_12_2021	177.32 (0.4%)	183.6 (1.2%)	189.28 (0.7%)	189.25	190.05(0%)	187.67(-1.7%)	186.56-193.85	1.9(1.3)	0.7	0.4%	0.8%	0%	0.96%	3.5%	65	1.8	Uptrend Dip	Higher(2.1%)	10	1.1	2.1	Uptrend Dip	197.24(5.1%)	183.79-200.59	27.17	-1.7%-38.5%
14	Feb_11_2021	176.56 (0.4%)	181.74 (1%)	187.98 (1.2%)	188.4	189.42(0%)	190.91(0.67%)	188.06-191.25	2.1(1.8)	4.7	0.8%	0.9%	-1.6%	0.86%	2.9%	66	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-2.6%)	10	1.9	2.2	Growing Uptrend	195.11(2.2%)	188.39-196.8	16.58	0%-40.9%
15	Feb_10_2021	175.74 (0.2%)	179.82 (1%)	185.85 (1.4%)	186.25	188.46(0%)	189.63(0.75%)	185.81-190.7	2.1(2)	5.6	1%	1.2%	-1.5%	0.78%	2.3%	67	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-2.2%)	9	2	2.2	Growing Uptrend	192.78(1.66%)	187.17-194.17	11.34	-0.2%-39.9%

16	Feb_9_2021	174.97 (0.2%)	177.18 (0.8%)	183.21 (1.2%)	183.71	187.38(0%)	188.21(-0.94%)	186.04-189.25	1.9(2.1)	1.7	1.6%	0.9%	0%	0.56%	1.3%	62	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(3%)	8	1.9	2	Relative Overbought	187.31(-0.48%)	180.68-192.73	11.12	-0.9%-38.9%
17	Feb_8_2021	174.41 (0.2%)	175.25 (0.6%)	180.96 (2.2%)	180.97	184.04(0%)	190(4.88%)	183.3-190.64	1.7(2.8)	2.6	2%	0.9%	0%	0.42%	0.5%	65	1.1	Breakout	Higher(2.9%)	7	2.5	1.8	Approaching Top	187.89(-1.11%)	181.45-193.15	15.99	0%-40.2%
18	Feb_5_2021	173.74 (-0%)	173.29 (0.4%)	177.15 (1.5%)	178.17	180.04(0%)	181.16(0.52%)	179.33-182.32	1(1.7)	3.4	1.3%	0.4%	0%	0.22%	-0.3%	60	0.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	6	0.7	1.7	Uptrend Reversal	182.61(0.8%)	181.39-183.41	6.54	-0%-42.7%
19	Feb_4_2021	173.54 (-0.2%)	172.35 (0.2%)	174.55 (1%)	175.48	177.9(0%)	180.23(2.15%)	176.49-181.38	0.4(1.6)	6.3	1.1%	0.4%	0%	0.08%	-0.7%	56	0.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	5	0.6	1.5	Uptrend Reversal	181.6(0.76%)	180.44-182.37	9.01	-0.5%-44.1%
20	Feb_3_2021	173.42 (-0.2%)	171.37 (0%)	172.88 (1.6%)	172.77	176.3(0%)	176.43(-0.3%)	175.76-178.43	-0.1(0.7)	1.5	1.6%	0.1%	0%	-0.06%	-1.2%	49	0.8	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.9%)	5	0.2	1.7	Rebound	174.98(-0.82%)	176.43-174.37	5.49	-2.6%-42.3%

21	Feb_2_2021	173.42 (-0.2%)	171 (-0.2%)	170.18 (0.9%)	170.87	173.06(0%)	176.96(3.5%)	172.8-179.76	-0.7(0.8)	1.7	1.8%	0.2%	0%	-0.22%	-1.4%	50	0.8	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(2%)	4	0.4	1.4	Rebound	175.07(-1.07%)	176.54-174.43	12.18	-2.3%-47.3%
22	Feb_1_2021	173.47 (-0.2%)	170.45 (-0.4%)	168.7 (-0.1%)	167.87	169.24(0%)	170.97(1.66%)	168.03-171.73	-1.3(-0.6)	1.2	0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.34%	-1.7%	39	0.8	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	3	-0.4	1.1	After Bottom	171.12(0.09%)	169.43-172.51	8.02	-5.6%-42.3%
23	Jan_29_2021	173.96 (-0.2%)	170.48 (-0.4%)	168.89 (-0.5%)	168.07	168.68(0%)	168.17(-2.16%)	165.79-169.81	-1.5(-1.4)	-0.4	0.4%	-0.3%	0%	-0.38%	-2%	35	0.9	Rebound	Range(1.2%)	2	-0.6	0.2	Downtrend	167.58(-0.35%)	166.94-169.09	12.83	-7.2%-40%
24	Jan_28_2021	174.6 (-0.2%)	171.01 (-0.4%)	169.81 (0.1%)	168.92	166.49(0%)	171.88(5.49%)	165.86-172.88	-1.5(-0.6)	0.5	-0.5%	-0.2%	0%	-0.36%	-2.1%	39	0.9	Downtrend Pop	Range(-0.7%)	1	-0.6	0.6	After Bottom	172.03(0.09%)	170.29-173.47	14.33	-5.1%-45.1%
25	Jan_27_2021	174.88 (-0.2%)	171.37 (-0.4%)	169.69 (-1.3%)	169.97	167.47(0%)	162.93(-3.91%)	160.52-166.34	-1.7(-2.6)	-2.2	-1.8%	-0.7%	0%	-0.38%	-2%	18	0.9	Breakdown	Range(-0.5%)	1	-1.9	0.9	Growing Downtrend	162.57(-0.22%)	161.67-164.93	18.21	-10.1%-37.5%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low