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     Wed. Oct. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)

DIA latest price $265.4800 (-3.34%) ($265.0200 - $270.7500) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakdown
Trend Narrative  Correction
Average Daily Price Swing  $5.11 (1.82% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.1% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.6% (StdDev 1.1%)
Daily Moving Force  -1.6%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  0.07%
Trend   -0.22%
Trend Strength  -0.5%
Trend Clarity  -0.33(-0.6/5.11/281.39)
RSI   25
Momentum  1.7
Latest Price  $265.4800(-3.34%)
Forecasted Low Price  263.36(-0.8%)
Forecasted High Price  266.28(0.3%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-1.9%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  7.4% ((285.08))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  6%
Hourly Trend   -1.9% [$271.69(-5.12), $276.16(-3.75)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  1
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to upside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  DIA declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  DIA declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support DIA decline at-0.8% a week (94% probability)
  IVE(95%)    IWD(94%)    VYM(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLI(88%)  
Factors Impacting DIA price  DIA will decline at least -0.6% in a week (51% probabilities).
  VXX(-66%)    VIXM(-65%)    SHY(-27%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-25%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.1
 
Relative Volatility   0 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV   -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.3%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $265.85(0.14%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $281.39
5 Day Moving Average  $276.83(-4.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $279.9(-5.15%)
20 Day Moving Average  $281.39(-5.65%)
To recent high  -8.8%
To recent low  0.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  2%
Stage of the Market  Normal
 
One Year Target Price   $311.22 (17.23%)
 
Short-term volatility trend  Equity Bearish (1.1)
Mid-term volatility trend  Equity Bearish (1)
Risk Appetite   (0)
Fed Balance Sheet  7.146 T (Mon. Oct. 26, 2020) Reduction
Fed Fund Rate  1.58% (Wed. Feb. 12, 2020) No Change
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.1%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201128

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
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Weekly
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Force
Hourly
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TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
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Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Oct_28_2020281.39 (0%)279.9 (-0.4%)276.83 (-1.2%) 276.16 271.69(0%)265.48(-3.34%)265.02-270.75-1.4(-3.1)-1.7 -1.6%-0.6%0%0.07%-0.22%-0.5%251.7 Breakdown  Range(-0.5%)1-2.1-2.4Correction 259.64(-2.2%)258.73-263.315.78   -8.8%-0.8
2Oct_27_2020282.11 (0.2%)282 (-0.2%)280.12 (-0.6%) 279.91 276.81(0%)274.66(-0.84%)274.6-277.07-0.6(-1.8)-0.9 -1%-0.3%0%-0.11%-0.1%-0%371.4 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.9%)1-2.5-0.6Correction 271.67(-1.09%)271.13-273.882.98   -5.7%-4.3% 
3Oct_26_2020282.18 (0.2%)283.25 (-0%)281.78 (-0.4%) 281.63 280.63(0%)277(-2.24%)273.7-280.39-0.1(-1.3)-1.1 -0.6%-0.3%0%0.19%-0%0.4%531.4 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)2-2-0.2Correction 275.45(-0.56%)275.07-2775.11   -4.9%-5.2% 
4Oct_23_2020282.19 (0.2%)284.43 (-0%)282.79 (-0.2%) 283.05 283(0%)283.34(-0.11%)281.51-284.540.3(0.3)0.2 %-0%0%0.12%0.06%0.8%541.6 Correction  Range(0.1%)3-1.50.8Correction 282.91(-0.15%)282.02-2842.16   -2.7%-7.6% 
5Oct_22_2020281.65 (0.2%)284.68 (0%)283.31 (-0.1%) 283.25 282.62(0%)283.65(0.6%)280.3-284.160.4(0.4)0.9 -0.2%0.1%0%0.18%0.12%1.1%631.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.1%)4-0.60.6Uptrend 284.44(0.28%)283.26-284.962.29   -2.6%-7.7% 
 
6Oct_21_2020280.93 (0.2%)284.77 (0.2%)283.59 (-0.2%) 284.27 283.1(0%)281.97(-0.35%)281.83-284.470.6(0.2)-1.6 -0.2%0%0%0.09%0.14%1.4%582.1 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0%)5-0.80.1Uptrend 282.9(0.33%)281.68-283.442.87   -3.2%-7.1% 
7Oct_20_2020280.27 (0.2%)284.92 (0.2%)284.22 (-0.3%) 284.47 283.88(0%)282.95(0.33%)282.25-285.660.8(0.4)-1.3 -0.4%0.2%0%-0.15%0.18%1.7%612.2 Correction  Range(-0.2%)6-0.40.2Uptrend 284.08(0.4%)282.49-284.783.32   -2.8%-7.5% 
8Oct_19_2020279.78 (0.2%)284.92 (0.2%)284.98 (-0.5%) 285.15 285.43(0%)282.03(-1.38%)281.28-287.061(0.4)-1.9 -0.1%0.1%0%-0.4%0.22%1.7%642.3 Correction  Higher(0.7%)7-0.31.2Uptrend Consolidation 281.69(-0.12%)281.09-283.52.82   -3.2%-7.1% 
9Oct_16_2020279.28 (0.2%)284.49 (0.4%)286.27 (0%) 285.87 285.07(0%)285.97(0.33%)285.9-288.371.3(1.1)0.2 %0.3%0%-0.01%0.28%1.9%672.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)7-0.70.9Uptrend 288.09(0.74%)284.86-289.472.4   -1.8%-8.6% 
10Oct_15_2020278.78 (0.2%)283.63 (0.4%)286.26 (0.1%) 286.2 284.87(0%)285.04(-0.03%)281.66-285.41.4(1)-0.5 -0.4%0.2%0%0.08%0.32%1.7%712.2 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.2%)8-1.50.7Uptrend 287.29(0.79%)283.96-288.733.12   -2.1%-8.3% 
 
11Oct_14_2020278.46 (0.2%)282.98 (0.4%)286.11 (0.2%) 286.74 286.68(0%)285.13(-0.56%)284.58-287.951.6(1.1)-1.9 -0.1%0.2%0%0.02%0.36%1.6%752.2 Uptrend Correction Range(0.4%)9-1.90.9After Top 286.98(0.65%)281.52-291.442.26   -2.1%-8.3% 
12Oct_13_2020278.2 (0.2%)282.24 (0.6%)285.67 (0.6%) 286.19 287.53(0%)286.74(-0.6%)286.02-288.111.7(1.5)-0.1 0.4%0.3%0%-0.05%0.4%1.5%782 Uptrend Dip  Higher(1%)10-2.20.9Growing Uptrend 290.18(1.2%)285.13-291.432.43   -1.5%-9.8% 
13Oct_12_2020277.83 (0.2%)281.02 (0.4%)283.86 (0.5%) 284.85 286.8(0%)288.46(0.88%)286.68-289.611.6(2)1 0.6%0.4%0%-0.03%0.36%1.1%681.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)10-2.71.3Uptrend 290.62(0.75%)286.5-292.382.53   -0.9%-10.5% 
14Oct_9_2020277.36 (0%)279.72 (0.4%)282.47 (0.7%) 282.93 284.85(0%)285.93(0.58%)284.41-286.811.4(1.8)1.3 0.6%0.4%0%-0.05%0.34%0.9%681.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)10-1.31.1Growing Uptrend 288.45(0.88%)284.56-289.422.53   -1.8%-11.2% 
15Oct_8_2020276.86 (0%)278.3 (0.4%)280.65 (0.4%) 281.55 282.9(0%)284.29(0.48%)282.69-284.681.1(1.7)0.9 0.6%0.5%0%0.04%0.26%0.5%571.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)9-0.41.1Growing Uptrend 285.85(0.55%)283.04-286.562.13   -2.4%-10.5% 
 
16Oct_7_2020276.4 (-0%)276.7 (0.2%)279.42 (0.4%) 279.48 281(0%)282.92(1.87%)280.23-283.670.8(1.6)1.3 0.3%0.4%0%0.2%0.16%0.1%521.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)80.70.7Uptrend Reversal 284.28(0.48%)283.13-285.052.38   -2.8%-10% 
17Oct_6_2020276.19 (-0%)275.18 (0.2%)278.33 (0.2%) 278.69 280.2(0%)277.72(-1.35%)277.25-283.520.5(0.4)-0.8 0.5%0.1%0%-0.47%0.04%-0.4%441.4 Uptrend Dip Downtrend Pop Higher(1.3%)70.40.3Uptrend Reversal 278.97(0.45%)277.92-279.694.36   -4.6%-8% 
18Oct_5_2020276.07 (-0.2%)274.68 (0%)277.67 (0.4%) 277.86 277.96(0%)281.51(1.7%)278.75-281.590.4(1.4)2.2 0.4%0.3%0%0.09%-0.02%-0.5%491.4 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.7%)60.20.5Rebound 278.95(-0.91%)281.51-277.851.84   -3.3%-9.4% 
19Oct_2_2020276.02 (-0.2%)273.61 (-0%)276.55 (0.4%) 277.86 277.18(0%)276.8(-0.48%)273.6-278.510(0.2)-0.9 %-0%0%-0.03%-0.1%-0.9%431.4 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(0.2%)50.50.7Rebound 276.27(-0.19%)276-276.44.75   -4.9%-7.6% 
20Oct_1_2020276.31 (-0.2%)273.51 (-0.2%)275.53 (0.7%) 276.52 277.76(0%)278.14(0.23%)276.57-280.35-0.2(0.4)0.4 0.7%-0.1%0%-0.1%-0.14%-1%511.5 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.6%)4-0.20.9Rebound 276.97(-0.42%)277.27-276.842.95   -4.5%-8.1% 
 
21Sep_30_2020276.88 (-0.2%)273.54 (-0.2%)273.52 (0.7%) 274.19 275.87(0%)277.5(1.12%)275-280.17-0.6(0.1)0.9 0.5%-0.1%0%-0.32%-0.2%-1.2%521.9 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)30.50.8Rebound 276.64(-0.31%)275.89-276.964   -4.7%-7.9% 
22Sep_29_2020277.29 (-0.2%)273.77 (-0.2%)271.54 (0.1%) 271.9 275.29(0%)274.42(-0.54%)273.29-275.98-1(-0.5)0.2 0.6%-0.2%0%0.17%-0.26%-1.3%422 Confirmed Rebound  Higher(0.7%)300.9Downtrend 272.55(-0.68%)271.56-274.851.97   -5.8%-7.2% 
23Sep_28_2020277.76 (-0.2%)274.31 (-0.2%)271.22 (0.3%) 270.91 272.5(0%)275.9(1.55%)274.72-277.12-1.3(-0.3)1.2 0.9%-0.2%0%-0.06%-0.24%-1.2%512 Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(0.7%)30.10.9After Bottom 274.6(-0.47%)271.94-276.782.78   -5.3%-7.8% 
24Sep_25_2020278.27 (-0.2%)274.7 (-0.2%)270.33 (-0.4%) 269.94 268.51(0%)271.7(1.34%)266.23-272.31-1.7(-1.1)1.4 -0.3%-0.2%0%0.29%-0.28%-1.3%382 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)20.41.1After Bottom 271.46(-0.09%)266.73-275.313.6   -6.7%-8.5% 
25Sep_24_2020278.94 (-0.2%)275.26 (-0.4%)271.29 (-0.8%) 270.27 269.32(0%)268.1(0.19%)265.27-270.88-1.8(-1.8)-1.1 -0.8%-0.3%0%-0.29%-0.28%-1.3%312 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.1%)20.71.2After Bottom 268.82(0.27%)263.26-273.394.42   -7.9%-7.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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