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     Wed. Feb. 19, 2020

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)

DIA latest price $294.1000 (0.39%) ($293.3850 - $294.7200) on Wed. Feb. 19, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.66% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $294.1000(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  DIA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  DIA advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVE(97%)    IWD(97%)    SPY(96%)    SDY(93%)    VYM(90%)  
Factors Impacting DIA price  DIA will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-63%)    VXX(-27%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV   0.7 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
5 Day Moving Average  $294.43(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average  $293.61(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average  $290.74(1.16%)
To recent high  -0.5%
To recent low  6.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0.9
One Month Target Price  > $294.1
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $284.39
 
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.1% away from the target price of 294.1.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2   Average positive next day return: 1.26%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -1.79%(50%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next three day return: 0.1%(50%)   Average negative next three day return: -5.73%(50%)
Sample size 2   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(100%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200319

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Feb_19_2020280.62290.74293.61294.43 294.05 293.47294.1(0.39%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   6   -20   -30   115   1.46    55%0.1123.40.66%0.70.9621
2Feb_18_2020280.32290.6293.06294.43 294.34 293.72292.95(-0.54%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -32   -10   -75   98   2.4    55%0.1325.40.66%-10.6600.8
3Feb_14_2020279.95290.58292.25294.19 294.48 294.63294.54(-0.09%)UDOpenLong750.1   45   10   15   135   1.86    55%0.132.50.65%-1.61.1660.9
4Feb_13_2020279.68290.47291.1293.52 293.75 294.96294.82(-0.3%)UDOpenLong750.4   95   30   83   132   2.63    55%0.0932.30.65%0.51.2560.6
5Feb_12_2020279.42290.22290.45293.31 293.03 294.34295.72(0.95%)UTOpenLong750.7   162   30   164   154   2.77    55%0.136.10.65%1.41.6541
 
6Feb_11_2020279.13289.87289.57292.74 292.63 292.53292.94(0%)UTHoldLong500.1   99   -0   96   107   1.99    52%0.0938.70.64%0.61500.1
7Feb_10_2020278.89289.66288.98291.76 292.17 291.71292.95(0.6%)N/AN/A00.4   -6   -10   -18   31   2.85    52%0.0934.30.64%0.21.1500.2
8Feb_7_2020278.65289.41288.21289.96 291.28 292.72291.19(-0.87%)UDOpenLong750.4   94   50   115   29   3.83    52%0.0821.90.64%-1.10.645-0.1
9Feb_6_2020278.44289.32288.02288.21 289.41 292.62293.74(0.3%)UTOpenLong751.8   274   90   340   76   2.83    55%0.087.60.63%1.11.5490.2
10Feb_5_2020278.22288.98287.69287.17 287.15 289.84292.86(1.67%)UTOpenLong752   285   70   357   67   3.28    55%0.0820.63%1.51.3530.1
 
11Feb_4_2020278288.62287.48286.05 285.97 286.2288.04(1.43%)RBSmallLong200.7   100   0   146   -38   2.98    50%0.06-7.10.6%1.2-0.248-0.7
12Feb_3_2020277.83288.58287.81285.9 286.01 284.45283.98(0.55%)DPOpenShort-75-0.7   -150   -40   -148   -154   3.16    46%0.04-8.20.58%-0.5-1.641-1.4
13Jan_31_2020277.71288.74288.74286.18 286.64 285.75282.42(-2.12%)DTOpenShort-75-1.4   -173   -20   -181   -147   4.9    49%0.04-5.40.59%-1.9-2.340-2.4
14Jan_30_2020277.6289.09289.83287.66 286.8 287.58288.54(0.44%)DPOpenShort-750.4   -60   10   -59   -64   3.41    57%0.06190.52%0.2-0.248-0.4
15Jan_29_2020277.43288.94290.02288.26 287.77 287.53287.29(0%)UDOpenLong65-0.4   75   -10   93   20   2.13    57%0.0625.90.52%0.5-0.752-0.7
 
16Jan_28_2020277.25288.83290.26289.16 288.46 286.02287.29(0.68%)DPOpenShort-75-0.8   -236   -70   -282   -98   2.99    57%0.0735.30.52%-0.1-0.657-0.7
17Jan_27_2020277.05288.81290.48290.07 289.8 288.02285.36(-1.53%)DTOpenShort-75-1.8   -329   -50   -400   -117   4.12    55%0.0646.20.52%-1.4-1.349-1.9
18Jan_24_2020276.88288.87290.48291.65 291.57 290.9289.8(-0.6%)N/AN/A0-0.7   -78   -20   -119   46   3.61    62%0.0870.80.48%-1.10.4630
19Jan_23_2020276.65288.65290.86292.28 292.18 291.59291.54(-0.09%)CRSmallShort-20-0.3   -44   -20   -86   83   1.87    65%0.179.10.47%-0.21.1581.2
20Jan_22_2020276.37288.34290.47292.04 292.51 292.23291.81(-0.01%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   21   -0   -12   119   2.07    65%0.1281.30.47%-01.3671.1
 
21Jan_21_2020276.05287.97289.89291.52 291.92 292.77291.83(-0.49%)UDOpenLong750.1   76   20   54   140   4.79    65%0.181.30.47%0.21.5691.4
22Jan_17_2020275.77287.59289.4290.96 291.19 292.78293.27(0.12%)UTOpenLong750.9   251   40   264   213   2.14    62%0.11820.48%0.32.2651.9
23Jan_16_2020275.46287.08288.69289.95 290.05 291.07292.93(0.89%)UTOpenLong751.3   203   30   213   171   2.18    62%0.1287.30.48%1.62.6652.2
24Jan_15_2020275.13286.59288.21289.28 289.25 289.6290.35(0.39%)UTOpenLong750.5   89   10   79   120   2.19    59%0.12101.40.47%0.71.9642
25Jan_14_2020274.79286.22287.68288.69 289.08 289.04289.22(0.07%)UTOpenLong750.3   76   0   68   100   2.19    59%104.50.48%0.21.6612.3
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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